NEW YORK, USA, August 31: Serena Williams of the United States celebrates her victory against Anett Kontaveit of Estonia on Arthur Ashe Stadium in the Women's Singles second round match during the US Open Tennis Championship 2022 at the USTA National Tennis Centre on August 31st 2022 in Flushing, Queens, New York City. (Photo by Tim Clayton/Corbis via Getty Images)
US Open Women’s odds
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Iga Swiatek (+230)
Caroline Garcia (+1000)
Serena Williams (+1100)
Aryna Sabalenka (+1200)
Coco Gauff (+1200)
L Samsonova (+1400)
Jessica Pegula (+1600)
Ons Jabeur (+1800)
Bianca Andreescu (+2100)
Belinda Bencic (+2200)
Madison Keys (+2200)
Danielle Collins (+2400)
Serena Williams/Ajla Tomljanovic
How To Watch
Date: Friday, September, 2
Game Time: 7 ET
How To Watch: ESPN
Serena Williams/Ajla Tomljanovic Preview
Ajla Tomljanovic (No. 46 ranking) will face Serena Williams (No. {}) in the Round of 32 of the US Open on Friday, September 2.
Williams has -175 odds to earn a spot in the round of 16 over Tomljanovic (+135).
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Serena Williams Betting Tips
Williams has failed to win any of her two tournaments this year played on hard courts so far this year, she has been just 1-2.
On hard courts, Williams has won 15.4% of her return games and 66.7% of her service games.
Williams is 308th in break points won on hard courts, converting four of seven (57.1%).
On August 16, Williams lost to No. 13-ranked Emma Raducanu, 4-6, 0-6, in the round of 64 of her most recent tournament, the Western & Southern Open.
These stats indicate that the way Williams has played this year indicates she has no chance. In the last round, those indications were still there, yet Williams bet the number two player in the world. The stat you can’t count is the heart that Williams has, and, she will not go down easy against anyone. Will she win it all? Probably not, because the question would be coming off an injury, and lack of playing time would indicate she will eventually run out of gas. This reminds me of the Jimmy Connors run to the semi-finals a few decades ago.
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In 10 tournaments on hard courts this year, Tomljanovic has gone 14-11 in matches. So she has played well but getting on a streak of wins has somewhat eluded here this year.
Tomljanovic has a 58.3% winning percentage in service games when playing on hard courts, and a 36.7% winning percentage in return games (123 of 211 service games, and 80 of 218 return games).
Tomljanovic’s 75 break points won on 162 total break points on hard courts (46.3% win percentage) ranks 124th.
In her most recent tournament (the Western & Southern Open), Tomljanovic came close to reaching the final before losing to Petra Kvitova in the quarterfinals 2-6, 3-6 on August 19.
The big question here will be how does she handle the pressure of a match the likes she has never seen? The whole world, for the most part, will be cheering against her and in New York the crowd can get wild.
Betting the match
The conversation surrounding Serena Williams at the US Open has changed from a sad swansong to one of excitement and hope. Williams’ confidence should be significantly boosted by the belief that she can go further. Williams’ level Wednesday was close to the level that saw her reach Grand Slam finals in 2019. The American can now leave the tournament on her terms, with her head up high. This makes her more dangerous, especially considering the partisan atmosphere that home fans have created. Despite being under the most difficult circumstances, Tomljanovic must keep her cool in her first-ever meeting with Williams. However, the odds seem to be against her. For Williams to win, I would expect it to be in three.
Prediction: Serena Williams in three sets
Betting Strategies
Are you a Tennis fan? If so, you’re a part of a huge following in the US. Tennis is one of the most popular sports in the world.
Potential earnings
If, like me, you like Serena Williams to advance to the round of 16, then you will be sad to know that at this point Williams is the favorite at a -175. So a 100-dollar bet to win on the Moneyline would pay you 67 dollars, plus you would get the 100 you bet back.
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