
Saturday, September 12, 2026 Time: 7:30 PM ET Location: TQL Stadium — Cincinnati, Ohio TV/Streaming: Apple TV Moneyline: FC Cincinnati +105 | Draw +350 | Charlotte FC +230 Over/Under: 3.5 Goals
FC Cincinnati returns to TQL Stadium Saturday night desperately needing a response when Charlotte FC arrives for an important Eastern Conference matchup.
Cincinnati enters 8-8-7 with 31 points after a disastrous 5-0 loss at Philadelphia on Wednesday. That defeat followed a 4-0 loss at Nashville, meaning the Orange and Blue have been outscored 9-0 in their last two matches.
Making matters worse, Cincinnati will be without two of its most important midfielders. Evander is suspended because of yellow-card accumulation, while Obinna Nwobodo is suspended following his red card against Philadelphia. Evander leads MLS with 24 goal contributions and 11 assists, making his absence particularly significant.
That puts considerably more responsibility on Kévin Denkey, Pavel Bucha and Gerardo Valenzuela to create offense. Denkey scored against Charlotte in the teams’ first meeting this season, a 2-2 draw at Bank of America Stadium on May 9.
Charlotte enters in much better form. The Crown improved to 10-7-7 after defeating CF Montréal 2-1 Wednesday night and sits ahead of Cincinnati in the Eastern Conference standings. Charlotte also played Houston to a scoreless draw on September 5.
Pep Biel remains the centerpiece of Charlotte’s midfield. His assist against Montréal made him just the 22nd player in MLS history to record consecutive 10-goal, 10-assist seasons. Charlotte also has dangerous wide attackers in Allan Saint-Maximin and Liel Abada, who combined brilliantly for Abada’s goal against Montréal.
Cincinnati’s home field gives the Orange and Blue a chance to reset, but trying to break down Charlotte without Evander while simultaneously replacing Nwobodo’s defensive presence creates a difficult challenge.
With Evander unavailable, Cincinnati will need Denkey to become the focal point of the attack.
He already scored against Charlotte in May, finishing a rebound after Kristijan Kahlina stopped an Evander free kick.
Without Cincinnati’s primary creator, expect the Orange and Blue to look for more direct opportunities into Denkey through crosses, set pieces and early service into the penalty area.
Biel is one of Charlotte’s most consistent attacking players and enters this match after helping create the equalizer at Montréal.
His latest assist secured another 10-goal, 10-assist MLS season, highlighting his ability to influence matches both as a scorer and facilitator.
Cincinnati will also be without Nwobodo, normally one of its most important defensive midfielders. That could give Biel additional space between the lines.
Charlotte has already earned a 2-2 draw against Cincinnati this season and arrives in substantially better form.
Cincinnati has lost consecutive games by a combined score of 9-0 and now must play without both Evander and Nwobodo. Charlotte, meanwhile, took four points from its last two matches against Houston and Montréal.
Backing Charlotte to win or draw provides protection against Cincinnati’s home-field advantage.
The current primary total sits at 3.5 goals, with the under available around -126 at some books.
Cincinnati has failed to score in consecutive matches and now loses its best creator. Charlotte has also demonstrated that it can play disciplined defensive soccer, recording a 0-0 draw against Houston before allowing only once at Montréal.
Three total goals would still cash the under.
Kévin Denkey — FC Cincinnati: Cincinnati’s primary finishing threat becomes even more important with Evander unavailable. Denkey scored in the first meeting against Charlotte.
Pavel Bucha — FC Cincinnati: Bucha will be asked to provide more creativity and midfield leadership with both Evander and Nwobodo suspended.
Roman Celentano — FC Cincinnati: Cincinnati’s goalkeeper could face considerable pressure from a Charlotte attack featuring Biel, Saint-Maximin and Abada.
Pep Biel — Charlotte FC: One of MLS’s premier attacking midfielders and now a 10-goal, 10-assist player in consecutive seasons.
Allan Saint-Maximin — Charlotte FC: The former Premier League winger provides elite one-on-one ability and created Abada’s goal against Montréal.
Liel Abada — Charlotte FC: Dangerous wide attacker who scored against Montréal and has the pace to challenge Cincinnati’s back line in transition.
FC Cincinnati 1, Charlotte FC 1
Charlotte FC +0.5Under 3.5 Goals Kévin Denkey Anytime Goal scorer Pep Biel Anytime Goal Contribution
TQL Stadium gives Cincinnati a much-needed opportunity to stabilize after two ugly road defeats, but this is an extremely difficult matchup to play without Evander and Nwobodo.
Charlotte arrives with confidence, quality in midfield and dangerous options on both wings. The Crown should create opportunities against a Cincinnati side that has struggled defensively and leads MLS with six red-card dismissals this season.
Cincinnati should show considerably more fight at home, and Denkey gives the Orange and Blue enough finishing ability to get back on the scoresheet. However, without Evander directing the attack, expecting Cincinnati to completely control Charlotte is difficult.
Expect a competitive, physical Queen City matchup with both clubs creating chances but neither doing enough to take all three points.
Prediction: FC Cincinnati 1, Charlotte FC 1.
Current moneyline prices have FC Cincinnati around even money to +105, Charlotte around +230 and the draw around +350. Betting markets can move before kickoff, so confirm final odds, injuries and starting lineups before wagering.

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