Quarterfinal: Defeated Palmeiras 2â1 (dominant in possession: 65%, 14 shots, 6 on target)
Round of 16: Narrow 3â2 extra-time win vs. Benfica
Recent Form: W-W-W-D-W (5âgame run)
Goals Scored in Tournament: 5
Goals Conceded: 3
đš Key Strengths:
Control-heavy midfield with
Enzo FernĂĄndez
and
Moises Caicedo
Depth up front: Pedro Neto, Nicolas Jackson, Noni Madueke
Strong xG differential: +1.3 avg in this tournament
đ´
Fluminense (Brazil)
Quarterfinal: Beat Inter Milan 1â0 in a stunning tactical upset
Round of 16: Beat Al Hilal 2â1
Recent Form: W-W-L-D-W (including Brasileirao)
Goals Scored in Tournament: 3
Goals Conceded: 1
đ´ Key Strengths:
Compact defensive structure
Experience and leadership from
Marcelo
and
Thiago Silva
Midfield grit from AndrĂŠ and Ganso (if fit)
â ď¸
Key Absences:
Fluminense: Juan Freytes (CB) and Martinelli (CM) suspended
Chelsea: Levi Colwill (CB) suspended, but Benoit Badiashile returns
đ Tactical Breakdown
đľ Chelsea:
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Tactics:
Build from the back through Caicedo
High pressing line, forcing turnovers
Fluid interchanges between wingers and fullbacks
Pedro Neto cuts in from the left, dragging defenders
đ§
Betting Implication: They concede counters when overcommitted. Slightly vulnerable to fast breaks.
đ´ Fluminense:
Formation: 3-5-2 / 5-3-2
Tactics:
Low block with man-marking in midfield
Long diagonal balls to Arias and Cano
Marcelo plays more as a roaming playmaker than true LB
đ§
Betting Implication: Expect a conservative first 45. Live bet second-half goals if Chelsea struggle early.
Fluminense vs Chelsea, Munich Moneyline
I expect a low-scoring conservative first half and the Chelsea talent to pull it out in the second half. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the
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Tip: Bet Chelsea ML
Fluminense relies on grit
High-Powered Matchup
Chelsea Favored
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Fluminense vs Chelsea Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Chelsea controls the game and wins it in the second half. I say Chelsea 2-0. Take the under.
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Under 2.5
Chelsea to dominate possession
Defense will be key
Contrasting styles
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Chelsea’s talent and midfield control should overwhelm Fluminense’s compactness.
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