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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Betting Tips / Top 4 Prop Bets: USC vs. Notre Dame

Top 4 Prop Bets: USC vs. Notre Dame

NCAAF Betting Tips · - ·

Publish Date: 10/17/2025
Fact checked by: Mark Lewis

This Saturday’s marquee clash pits the USC Trojans against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in South Bend — a defined rivalry renewed in the Big Ten era. USC heads into the season with Jayden Maiava slated as the starting quarterback. Notre Dame rolls with CJ Carr at quarterback, part of a young but highly touted QB room. Both teams bring playmakers on offense and defenses that can be stretched. Let’s dig into four props that look interesting.

Jayden Maiava Over 282.5 Passing Yards

Maiava enters 2025 as USC’s lead QB after earning the nod this offseason. USC’s passing offense is expected to remain aggressive under Lincoln Riley, with weapons like Makai Lemon and Ja’Kobi Lane to stretch the field. Notre Dame’s secondary is young and has shown susceptibility to deep and intermediate throws in prior games. If USC opens with positive drives, Maiava could be in for heavy volume. The 282.5 mark gives room for him to pace his output.

Caesars
Caesars
4.4/5
Tip: Jayden Maiava over 282.5 passing yards
  • USC leans passing
  • Lemon & Lane threats
  • ND secondary in transition
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CJ Carr Over 241.5 Passing Yards

Notre Dame’s offense is under the direction of CJ Carr, a true freshman quarterback with promise. Though ND emphasizes balance, Carr will need to produce through the air in this matchup. USC’s defense is strong up front, which may force more dropbacks and quick throws. If Notre Dame stays in contention or needs to respond late, Carr could push past 241.5 yards.

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Tip: CJ Carr over 241.5 passing yards
  • Carr trusted in offense
  • USC front strong
  • ND may need to throw often
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Makai Lemon Over 87.5 Receiving Yards

Lemon is set to be Maiava’s primary vertical weapon.  Notre Dame will likely match coverage aggressively, but its secondary may struggle against explosive receivers. Lemon’s ability on deep comebacks, verticals, and sideline throws gives him multiple paths to production. Given USC’s potential volume and Lemon’s target share, clearing 87.5 receiving yards looks realistic.

DraftKings
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Tip: Makai Lemon over 87.5 receiving yards
  • Lemon top target
  • Deep threat
  • ND struggles vs pass catchers
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Eli Raridon Anytime Touchdown (+155 to +190)

At Notre Dame, Eli Raridon is one of their more experienced tight ends and a red-zone asset. USC’s defense can give up tight end looks, especially when they drop into zone or miscommunicate. Raridon’s size and blocking ability make him a candidate in play-action sets near the goal line. Given expected red-zone trips for Notre Dame, Raridon at those odds provides good upside.

BetMGM
BetMGM
4.5/5
Tip: Eli Raridon anytime touchdown (+155-190)
  • Raridon red-zone use
  • USC defense vulnerable vs TEs
  • Carr target inside 20
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Conclusion

This year’s USC vs. Notre Dame offers intriguing angles: an ascending QB in Maiava against a young ND secondary, and Carr needing to show poise in a hostile environment. Lemon’s explosiveness and Raridon’s red-zone potential round out a prop slate that leans toward passing yards and touchdown opportunities.

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