NCAA Football Week 11: Betting All Top 25 Games against the Spread

week one Against the spread: 8-8

Week Two Against the Spread 9-7

Week Three Against the Spread 10-5

Week Four Against the Spread 10-8

Week Five Against the Spread 12-7

Week Six Against the Spread 11-6

Week 7 Against the Spread 7-9

Week 8 Against the Spread 10-6

Week 9 Against the Spread 8-7

Week 10 Against the Spread 8-5

Overall 85-63

Week 11

No. 4 Miami at Georgia Tech

• Point Spread: Miami -11.5
• Moneyline Miami -430
• Moneyline Georgia Tech +330
• Over/Under 63.5

Last season was familiar – Miami fumbled instead of kneeling at the end of their game, and Haynes King led a miracle drive for a 23-20 victory. This season the Hurricanes average 43.6 points per game in ACC play while going 3-1 against the spread when away.

Prediction: Miami 34  Georgia Tech 24

 

Florida at No. 5 Texas

• Point Spread: Texas -21.5
• Moneyline Florida +1100
• Moneyline Texas -2500
• Over/Under 48.5

Texas will enter this match-up after enjoying their bye week, and will look to quarterback Quinn Ewers to lead them. He has posted an impressive 66.1% completion percentage since returning from injury, averaging 232.2 yards per game while scoring six touchdowns with four interceptions in those three contests. Florida might be without DJ Lagway (hamstring injury), prompting third-string walk-on quarterback Aidan Warner. Florida recently endured an unfortunate three game stretch against Texas A&M, Tennessee and Georgia by an average margin of 11 points each.

Prediction: Texas 37  Florida 17

 

No. 17 Iowa State at Kansas

• Point Spread: Iowa State -2.5
• Moneyline Iowa State -142
• Moneyline Kansas +118
• Over/Under 50.5

Iowa State recently suffered its first season loss and will face Kansas after its bye week, the Cyclones are the better team, but the Jayhawks will hang tough.

Prediction: Iowa State 24  Kansas 17

 

Purdue at No. 3 Ohio State

• Point Spread Ohio State -37.5
• Moneyline Purdue N/A
• Moneyline Ohio State N/A
• Over/Under 53.5

Notre Dame and Oregon outscored Purdue by a combined score of 105-7, as the Boilermakers have been 3-4 against the spread as road underdogs with Ryan Walters as head coach. Ohio State should find success running with Quinshon Judkins and TreVeyon Henderson against a Purdue defense that allows an average of 5.1 yards per carry against its defense, average 29 points per game in Big Ten play but should experience even greater success against its weakest defense – still, Ohio State was only 1-1 against betting spread when being favored by 25 points or more!

Prediction: Ohio State 55  Purdue 10

 

No. 18 Army at North Texas

• Point Spread: Army -5.5
• Moneyline Army -220
• Moneyline North Texas +180
• Over/Under 63.5

Army is expected to win, though quarterback Bryson Daily may be in doubt following an injury against Air Force. North Texas quarterback Chandler Morris leads all FBS quarterbacks with 26 touchdown passes, but their opponents Tulane and Memphis combined for 257 rushing yards per game during recent losses for North Texas; Army beat North Texas 52-49 last year. Who is more comfortable under pressure in the fourth quarter?

Prediction: Army 34  North Texas 27

 

No. 19 Clemson at Virginia Tech

• Point Spread: Clemson -6.5
• Moneyline Clemson -240
• Moneyline Virginia Tech +195
• Over/Under 53.5

Clemson is coming off an embarrassing performance against Louisville and now must deal with Virginia Tech, which suffered a loss against Syracuse last week. Clemson allowed 210 rushing yards last week – the Hokies lean heavily on run-heavy attack with Kyron Drones and Bhaysul Tuten both missing from Syracuse; their status for Clemson remains uncertain as Cade Klubnik may need another big performance late to remain relevant in ACC race.

Prediction: Virginia Tech 27  Clemson 24

 

Michigan at No. 8 Indiana

• Point Spread: Indiana -13.5
• Moneyline Michigan +470
• Moneyline Indiana -670
• Over/Under 48.5

Indiana can reach 10-0 before its bye week – setting up what could be arguably its biggest game ever against Ohio State on Nov 23. Will Michigan try to be spoilers? Indiana leads the Big Ten with a rushing defense allowing 72.6 yards per game, as Kurtis Rourke leads a patient Indiana rush offense against them. Third down conversion rate should also play a factor; Texas and Oregon combined for an astounding 64.5% conversion rate against Michigan; this trend should continue here for Indiana as well.

Prediction: Indiana 45  Michigan 16

 

No. 2 Georgia at No. 16 Ole Miss

• Point Spread: Georgia -2.5
• Moneyline Georgia -137
• Moneyline Ole Miss +114
• Over/Under 54.5

Will Lane Kiffin win the signature game needed to keep the Rebels get in contention for the College Football Playoff (CFP) race? Jaxson Dart leads SEC quarterbacks with 21 touchdowns, three interceptions and a 192.4 passer rating; Carson Beck has not live up to expectations yet.

Prediction: Georgia 27  Ole Miss 24

 

No. 21 Colorado at Texas Tech

• Point Spread: Colorado -3.5
• Moneyline Colorado -154
• Moneyline Texas Tech +128
• Over/Under 62.5

This could be the game of the week! Colorado in November is buzzing with excitement, and this road trip could prove treacherous; Colorado and the Red Raiders rank second and third respectively in Big 12 passing offense, respectively; Shedeur Sanders tied for the conference lead in touchdown passes, while Behren Morton has been phenomenal at home – 16 touchdowns to one interception! Red Raiders head coach Joey McGuire’s home underdog record stands at 2-1 since 2022, too – it could make for an exciting showdown! But look out for Travis Hunter to make game-changing plays both ways that ensure this matchup becomes an instant classic!

Prediction: Texas Tech 44  Colorado 41

 

South Carolina at No. 24 Vanderbilt

• Point Spread: South Carolina -3.5
• Moneyline South Carolina -164
• Moneyline Vanderbilt +136
• Over/Under 45.5

Two unexpected teams square off in an afternoon SEC game. South Carolina, led by quarterback LaNorris Sellers’s 106 yard performance against Texas A&M in 44-20 win, is currently unbeaten against SEC teams overall and road favorites; Diego Pavia led Vanderbilt to an upset of Alabama and near-upset of Texas at home before hosting South Carolina for this showdown. If Vanderbilt can stop South Carolina’s pass rush then another upset might happen; no one could have predicted this to be must-see TV!

Prediction: Vanderbilt 26  South Carolina 24

 

Mississippi State at No. 7 Tennessee

• Point Spread: Tennessee -23.5
• Moneyline Mississippi State +1060
• Moneyline Tennessee -2300
• Over/Under 60.5

Mississippi State allows 211.7 rushing yards per game, and Dylan Samspon leads the SEC with 980 yards and 19 touchdowns. Still, Jeff Lebby’s Bulldogs have been undefeated against oddsmakers this season as underdogs of 20 points or more.

Prediction: Tennessee 31  Mississippi State 13

 

No. 11 Alabama at No. 14 LSU

• Point Spread: Alabama -2.5
• Moneyline Alabama -146
• Moneyline LSU +122
• Over/Under 58.5

LSU has gone 13-0 under Brian Kelly in night games, which will undoubtedly be mentioned throughout this week leading up to Alabama’s visit. Alabama had a bye week and boasts a running game that should travel well against an inconsistent Tigers run defense. Their defensive unit has forced ten turnovers in its last three games alone; we think Alabama finds a way in the form of Jalen Milroe making key plays that lead to victory at Tiger Stadium as Nick Saban went 6-2 S/U there himself! These games really matter!

Prediction: Alabama 31  LSU 26

 

Maryland at No. 1 Oregon

• Point Spread: Oregon -24.5
• Moneyline Maryland +1280
• Moneyline Oregon -3500
• Over/Under 57.5

Maryland had a bye week to prepare for an upset attempt against Oregon, and their run defense allows only 3.3 yards per carry – despite giving up 40+ points twice during Big Ten play. Oregon will find success through their air game led by Dillon Gabriel, who averages 296.1 yards per game and is pushing for Heisman Trophy consideration.

Prediction: Oregon 41  Maryland 10

 

Florida State at No. 10 Notre Dame

• Point Spread: Notre Dame -25.5
• Moneyline Florida State +2000
• Moneyline Notre Dame -7000
• Over/Under 42.5

Mike Norvell’s job security as Florida State head coach hangs in the balance. Notre Dame had an extra week of preparation during their bye week and currently ranks fourth in scoring defense (12.2 ppg.). Florida State quarterbacks combined have posted a 49.6% completion percentage while they were out-rushed 289-42 by North Carolina last week; yet Florida State hasn’t lost by more than 26 points this season! How much fight does Florida State still possess?

Prediction: Notre Dame 41  Florida State 17

 

Utah State at No. 20 Washington State

• Point Spread: Washington State -20.5
• Moneyline Utah State +860
• Moneyline Washington State -1600
• Over/Under 69.5

Both teams had a bye week to prepare, and Washington State should fare well against a Utah State defense that ranks 133rd nationally for scoring defense (41.5ppg). Quarterback John Mateer has 28 total touchdowns this season, while Washington State continues its stellar Pac-12 representation by averaging 48.7 points per home game.

Prediction: Washington State 41  Utah State 13

 

Washington at No. 6 Penn State

• Point Spread: Penn State -13.5
• Moneyline Washington +400
• Moneyline Penn State -550
• Over/Under 45.5

Will Penn State experience an emotional letdown following their loss to Ohio State? Not likely; over the past three seasons they’ve won their next game by an average margin of 17 points after being defeated by Ohio State. Washington is winless against S/U teams on the road this season and could struggle in this “Whiteout” environment, providing an opening for Drew Allar and Penn State running game to dominate in the second half.

Prediction: Penn State 27  Washington 17

 

Nevada at No. 12 Boise State

• Point Spread: Boise State -24.5
• Moneyline Nevada +1200
• Moneyline Boise State -3000
• Over/Under 60.5

Boise State currently ranks No.1 among Group 5 teams in the polls, and Ashton Jeanty will have his chance to shine against a Nevada rushing defense that has allowed an average of 188 yards per game over its last four games. Although Nevada has allowed no more than 38 points during any of its games this season, Boise State boasts a perfect home record with 54.3 average scoring output per contest at home – making for an interesting battle between these two sides on Saturday afternoon.

Prediction: Boise State 48  Nevada 14

 

Virginia at No. 23 Pitt

• Point Spread: Pitt -7.5
• Moneyline Virginia +235
• Moneyline Pitt -295
• Over/Under 57.5

Virginia is coming off a bye week and looking to snap a three-game losing streak. The Panthers have struggled in the running game the last two weeks – averaging just 3.3 yards per carry. Pitt is 3-1 ATS at home against ACC opponents, and the Panthers will get the offense on track around Eli Holstein here. Virginia is 2-0 ATS as an underdog, but we are going against that trend.

Prediction: Pitt 27  Virginia 16

 

No. 9 BYU at Utah

• Point Spread: BYU -3.5
• Moneyline BYU -182
• Moneyline Utah +150
• Over/Under 42.5

Utah has played spoiler, winning five of six meetings between these teams since 2006. They currently boast a minus-5 turnover ratio in Big 12 play, while BYU has taken advantage of opponents’ errors this season. Utah averaged only 12.5 points per game over its last four weeks, while both had bye weeks to prepare. Both are 7-1 against the spread this season, and they will need late-night drama to come through. We think this one comes down to a late BYU win.

Prediction: BYU 30  Utah 24