NCAA First Round Utah State vs Missouri: Odds, Tips and Predictions 03/16/23

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Prediction: Bet Utah State to cover

• Over/Under: Utah State vs Missouri (155.5)
• Spread: Utah State -1.5
• Pick: Bet Utah State to cover

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This is a high-value game to bet for me. Utah State is under seeded big time and it is shown by the tenth seed being favored over the seventh seed. Utah State is a complete team that is capable of winning more than a game in this tournament.

Missouri is outscoring opponents by 4.9 points per game, for a net differential of +62 overall. They average 79.5 points per game (23rd in college basketball) and give up 74.6 per contest (306th).

Missouri typically loses the rebounding battle by an average of 6.5 boards per game, taking in 27.7 boards per game (353rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 34.2 per game.

Missouri averages 9.4 three-pointers per game (22nd in college basketball), compared to its opponents’ 8.9. It shoots 36.1% from deep while opponents shoot 35.4%.

Missouri averages 100.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (31st in college basketball), and concedes 93.9 points per 100 possessions (253rd).

At home, the Tigers average 83.6 points per game while on the road they score 73.3

Utah State boasts a +301 scoring differential, outscoring opponents by 8.9 points per game to rank 31st in college basketball and giving up 69.7 per contest to rank 162nd nationally in this department.

Utah State has won the rebounding battle by an average of 4.3 boards per game, ranking 89th among college basketball programs with 33.2 rebounds per game compared to its opponents’ 28.9 per outing.

The Aggies average 9.4 three-pointers per game (22nd in college basketball) at a 39.3% rate, far superior to their opponents’ 6.8 attempts per contest at 34.5% rate.

Utah State is ranked eighth in college basketball with an offensive efficiency rating of 102.9 points per 100 possessions, and they rank 170th defensively, allowing 91.3 points per 100 possessions.

On offense, the Aggies have fared better at home this year, scoring 81.3 points per game compared to 75 on the road.

These teams did not play this season.

Utah State will control the boards and the tempo of the game. Utah State 79  Missouri 68

Tip:

Utah State to cover

Best Odd

-1.5

Brand

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