NCAA Basketball Ohio State vs Purdue: Odds, Tips and Predictions 03/11/23

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Prediction: Bet Purdue to cover

• Over/Under: Ohio State vs Purdue (139)
• Spread: Purdue -7
• Pick: Bet Purdue to cover

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The Big Ten Tournament has a surprise guest in 13th-seeded Ohio State and an expected guest in number one Purdue. Ohio State upset Michigan State on Friday, while Purdue struggled with Rutgers but finally pulled it out. Ohio State opens this matchup as 7-point underdogs. The total is set at 139.

Purdue’s record is 26-5. They commit 13.5 fouls per match and go 74.7% from the charity stripe. They assist teammates 15.3 times per game (41st among college basketball players) and give up possession 11.2 times each contest. Purdue has scored 2,268 points in the past year (73.2 points per game) and averages 38.7 rebounds. The Boilermakers rank 90th in D-1 for offensive execution with a shooting percentage of 46.1%.

With 62.5 points per game, the Boilermakers are 21st among college hoops in terms of surrendered points. They force 10.1 turnovers per match and allow teams to shoot 41.7% from the floor (60th in college hoops). Purdue’s defense allows 31.1% for 3-point shots (195 out of 628) while their opponent makes 73.1% of its free throws. They allow 12.2 assists per game and 27.6 total rebounding, ranking them 1st and 141st in college basketball.

Ohio State enters this game with a record of 15-18 for their season. They turn it over 10.9 times per match and commit 16.1 personal fouls each night. Ohio State, as a team, is bringing in 36.3 boards per game and 382 assists, ranking them 264th in passing. The Buckeyes connected on 36.1% of 3-point shots (219 out 607) and 74.2% at the free-throw line. They average 72.8 points per game, ranking 154th in the country. However, they shoot 46.3% from the foul line.

The Buckeyes force 10.7 turnovers per night on the defensive side of the court and draw 15.5 fouls. They give up 32.1% for shots from long distance, and rank 143rd in D-1 PPG (69.0) compared to their opponents. They surrender 32.9 boards per game as a team and give up a 42.9% opponent field goal percentage (830 of 1,933). With 405 surrendered assists for the season, they rank 181st among college basketball teams.

The Boilermakers won both contests between these teams. They pulled out a close win at Ohio State and later blew the doors off the Buckeyes at Mackey arena.

The Ohio State Buckeyes are talented and should have been much better this season. Over this week they have lived up to what they were supposed to be. I think Ohio State will put up a huge battle against the top-seeded Boilermakers. In the end, a fourth game in as many days leads to tired legs. The Buckeyes run out of gas at the end and lose, take Purdue to pull out the cover.

Tip:

Purdue to cover

Best Odd

-7

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