It’s time for Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Finals between the Florida Panthers and the New York Rangers, in a fabulous series so far. With the series tied at 2-2, Game 5 tonight in New York promises to be a critical matchup as both teams strive to gain an edge and come within one game of playing for the Stanley Cup. It feels like the Panthers have controlled the series, but the Rangers always find a way to stay close, and if the Rangers stay close, they are a resilient bunch that seems to find ways to win.
Game 5 in an NHL playoff series holds significant importance. Historically, the team that wins Game 5 goes on to win the series approximately 72.8% of the time since 1942.
Panthers vs Rangers
Moneyline Panthers -120
Moneyline Rangers +100
Over/Under 5.5
These odds were updated at 6 am EST on 05/28/24, coming from Draft Kings.
Our Best Pick: Bet the Rangers to Win
The Rangers have had an intriguing journey this season. After finishing 12th in Corsi % for regular-season play, they have struggled to maintain possession in playoff games and now rank 14th of 16 playoff teams in terms of Corsi %.
New York continues to defy expectations in these playoffs, edging out teams with superior advanced metrics at even strength through its power play’s ability to rank fourth during regular season play and third during post-season competition.
The Rangers had an average xG % throughout the regular season and has seen its rank improve to ninth since. New York’s Expected Goals For (xGF) also fell from 12th during regular season play to last among remaining playoff teams this postseason; high-danger chances have become an area of focus with New York ranking 15th during regular season action and last in playoff action.
New York has been solid if unspectacular on defense. They ranked 13th in terms of xGA during the regular season, then improved to third during playoff play; showing resilience under pressure. High-danger chances against were an area of concern for New York; they finished 10th during regular season play before rising up the ranks to second during playoff play. Their penalty kill performance has been somewhat mixed; they allowed only two penalty kill goals during regular season action while in playoff action they have allowed more goals than any of the remaining teams combined.
Igor Shesterkin has been incredible this season. In the regular season he ranked 16th for save percentage and GAA; during playoffs this jumped up to sixth and second respectively.
The Panthers have been an offensive powerhouse all season, ranking second in Corsi % during the regular season and maintaining that aggressive puck control into playoffs with the highest Corsi % among remaining teams. Furthermore, their expected goals percentage also placed second during regular season play while now leading the playoff leaderboard.
The Panthers have proven their ability to generate scoring opportunities with a strong performance this season and playoffs, ranking second and third respectively in terms of expected Goals For (xGF). Their regular season power play ranked seventh and second respectively during both periods.
Defensively, the Panthers have been formidable. They ranked fifth in Expected Goals Against (xGA) during the regular season – an indicator of their ability to limit quality scoring opportunities for opponents – before becoming even stronger in the playoffs by ranking first for Expected Goals Against.
High-danger chances against have also been greatly reduced, with the Panthers ranking 11th during regular season play and first place during playoffs.
Florida was one of the teams with the 16th-most penalty-kill goals during regular season action but have become the tightest defense in playoff action, allowing only six goals during their run to victory.
Sergei Bobrovsky has been an integral component of their defensive strength, ranking 11th in save percentage and seventh in GAA during the regular season. However, during playoff play-offs he ranks fourth for GAA among starting goalies while also coming in sixth for goals saved above expected–proving he remains at his elite form. Check out the
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DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Rangers to Win
Goaltending will be the key
Rangers at Home
Ranger Toughness prevails
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Panthers vs Rangers Moneyline
The moneyline gives you solid lines for betting on the Rangers at +100; if betting on the Panthers, the -120 is still a good moneyline bet. If you are looking for the best sportsbook, we’ve got you covered as we break down the
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DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Rangers to Win
Money line value on Both Teams
Take the Rangers at home
Goaltending will determine the outcome
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Panthers vs Rangers Over/Under Analysis
The Over/Under is 5.5 in this game. This is tricky over/under, but I would lean towards the Over. This is the teams fifth game in nine days and they both look like they are starting to wear down, and that will lead to a higher scoring game.
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Over5.5
Odds favor High-scoring game
Two of the top Goalies in the NHL
Physical game
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Panthers vs Rangers Head-to-Head
The Panthers dominated the season series, but all of the games were razor-close. In the playoffs, all the games have been razor-close except for game one, but the Rangers have won of the last three games.
Injuries and Suspensions
Panthers Injury Report
Lomborg- Questionable
Rangers Injury Report
Wheeler- Out
Conclusion
I look forward to this being a great game, and the winner will most likely take this series. By all metrics, this series should be over, as the Panthers have dominated the first four games. With that being said, there is something special about this Rangers team, and I like them at home tonight in a classic. Rangers 4 Panthers 3.
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