NFL Week 3 New England Patriots vs New York Jets: Odds, Tips and Predictions 9-19-24

The Patriots nearly reached an unbeaten start this season but fell to the Seattle Seahawks in overtime, in spite of competent play from Jacoby Brissett and Rhamondre Stevenson on offense. Meanwhile Aaron Rodgers finally earned his first win thanks to Breece Hall and Braelon Allen excelling behind him.

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

• Point Spread: Jets -6.5
• Moneyline Patriots +215
• Moneyline Patriots -260
• Over/Under 38.5

I don’t believe the Jets have reached a level where they warrant an almost one-touchdown wager in this situation.

Through two weeks, both offenses have gone three-and-out on more than 40% of their possessions – placing both in the bottom eight in terms of NFL statistics. On defense, however, New England holds an edge as they allow only 5.1 yards per play (14th) while New York allows an unimpressive 5.4 average.

Two matchups within this match-up increase the odds that New England and New York will compete closely throughout.

On offense, we know what the Patriots want to do: lean heavily on Rhamondre Stevenson in the running game. Stevenson leads all NFL running backs with 20 or more carries in terms of missed tackles forced. Furthermore, his 3.09 yards after contact per attempt ranks eighth among running backs with 20+ attempts. Unfortunately, New York currently ranks 30th regarding yards after contact per attempt allowed when defending runs.

Second, New England Patriots cornerback Christian Gonzalez has quickly established himself as one of the league’s top cover corners. Gonzalez effectively contained DK Metcalf last Sunday by covering 82% of his routes en route to three catches for 24 yards. If they can contain Garrett Wilson on Thursday night – Aaron Rodgers has read Wilson 35% of all times this season- it would bode well for their chances of an upset victory.

Patriots vs Jets Moneyline

If you like the upset pick in this one the Patriots payoff at more than 2 to 1. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the best sports betting app

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Patriots +6.5

• Patriots are more physical
• Jets at home
• Both offenses struggling

Bet $5, Get $250 in Bonus Bets and 1 month of NFL+ Premium on us!

Go to DraftKings

The best NFL betting sites

To satisfy the ever-growing market of NFL bettors, the best football sportsbooks offer unique user experiences, huge payouts, and fantastic bonuses. Gamers no longer have to go to casinos to find some physical action. Online bookies let you play the game of risk from the comfort of your own home. We hope our guide can point you in the right direction so you can find the best gambling experiences on the internet.

Award

BetMGM Bonus

Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win

T&Cs apply, 21+

Get bonus now

Award

FanDuel Bonus

Bet $5 Get $200 in Bonus Bets + 3 Weeks of NFL Sunday Ticket

T&Cs apply, 21+

Get bonus now

Award

Bet365 Bonus

Bet $5 Get $200 or $1000 First Bet Safety Net

Get bonus now

Whatever the sport. Whatever the moment. It’s Never Ordinary at bet365. That’s why if you sign up now you’ll get the choice of two great New Customer Offers, the First Bet Safety Net up to $1000 or Bet $5 and Get $200 in Bonus Bets. Deposit required. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply.Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler 21+

Patriots vs Jets Over/Under Analysis

This over/under is tricky; 38.5 is not a lot of points, but both teams will struggle to score. That fact would make me lean towards betting the under in this game.

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet the Under 38.5

• Patriots will dominate on the ground
• Expect a close game
• Patriots will cover

Bet $5, Get $250 in Bonus Bets and 1 month of NFL+ Premium on us!

Go to DraftKings

Prediction

The Patriots’ running game will keep the game close, but I expect Aaron Rodgers to make enough plays to win it. Jets 20   Patriots 16

Patriots +6.5