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The Cincinnati Bengals are in trouble at 4-7; another loss today all but end their 2024 season. The Steelers, on the other hand, are in contention to win the AFC North Title and need a win here to stay up on the Baltimore Ravens.
Expect an old-school AFC North battle.
An unpredictable matchup like that usually favors one team: Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh’s odds board really helps: Pittsburgh should be supported as an underdog on the road. Anyone familiar with our content knows this when backing Mike Tomlin.
First and foremost, Tomlin boasts an impressive 23-11 (68%) record against the Bengals against the spread. That’s an encouraging start.
Now, for some underdog trends.
Tomlin holds an impressive 25-9-2 (74%) underdog record against AFC North competition.
Tomlin’s Steelers have gone 49-20-1 (71%) against the spread as underdogs since Week 5, including 42-28 straight up wins. When only taking into account divisional play, their winning percentage increases to 82%; Tomlin also boasts an 81% success rate when coming off of losses.
Helping our cause here, is that the Steelers have consistently kept games close all year, with three losses coming by three, three and five points respectively.
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I bet the under as the weather will be rough, and the Bengals will struggle to run the ball, while the Steelers will be able to control the game on the ground.
Prediction: Steelers +3
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