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As we enter week 11 of the NFL, action begins Thursday night with an NFC East matchup between Washington Commanders (7-3) and Philadelphia Eagles (7-2). The winner will have the inside track to winning the NFC East and possibly even the number one seed come playoff time.
Jayden Daniels has had an up-and-down year yet remains one of the bright spots at quarterback for Washington this season, although their strength of schedule certainly has not been the toughest. Philadelphia boasts veteran talent on both sides of the ball and an edge in trench warfare; add that to Lincoln Financial Field’s intimidating environment, and I anticipate a blowout result here.
The Eagles are the more experienced and talented team. Jayden Daniels has looked great at times this season, but I doubt he can pull this game off. The Eagles have backed off Jalen Hurts. They don’t seem to expect as much from him, and they are running the ball more often to take some pressure off Hurts. The Eagles will win this game comfortably.
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My initial prediction for this game was the over. Washington has been an emphatic “over team,” going 6-2 against the spread in its last eight contests.
As such, this seems like an excellent opportunity to buy back on the under at an inflated number. I already discussed my reservations regarding Daniels above; now let’s focus on these two stout defenses; Philadelphia boasts one of the league’s best at only conceding 17.9 points per game (5th) while Washington falls just behind with 21.7 allowed per contest (12th). Both offenses rank fifth or better in run-play percentage: Philly leads at 55.01% while Washington sits fifth (50.48%), providing us with solid defense while an unpredictable clock thanks to running plays; therefore I’ll buy back under TNF.
Prediction: Eagles -3.5
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