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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Betting Tips / Top 4 Prop Bets for Eagles–Giants Thursday Night Football

Top 4 Prop Bets for Eagles–Giants Thursday Night Football

NFL Betting Tips · - ·

Publish Date: 10/08/2025
Fact checked by: Mike Goodpaster

It’s Super Bowl champion quarterback Jalen Hurts versus rookie Jaxson Dart on Thursday Night Football. Both NFC East foes are looking to bounce back after Week 5 losses as the Eagles (4-1) host the Giants (1-4). Here are four bets that stand out ahead of kickoff.

Jaxson Dart Anytime Touchdown (+300)

Dart’s competitiveness and willingness to run have already stood out in his first two starts. Against the Saints, he attempted to extend plays with his legs and finished with 220 passing yards, 40 yards rushing, and two total touchdowns. The Giants have used more 12 personnel sets since losing star receiver Malik Nabers, and that has opened running lanes in the red zone. Dart is taking ownership of the offense and showing a tendency to scramble near the goal line. He has 17 carries in two starts. Dart is a live candidate to punch one in himself against a stiff Eagles’ front.

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Tip: Jaxson Dart Anytime Touchdown
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Jaxson Dart Over 7.5 Rushing Attempts

Dart has been decisive when escaping pressure, averaging over seven designed runs or scrambles per game. With receiver Darius Slayton unlikely to play and the Eagles ranking top five in pressures per dropback, expect more improvisation from the rookie. Dart’s fumble against New Orleans came on a designed run, but his willingness to pull the ball down hasn’t changed. The Eagles are favored by more than a touchdown at MetLife Stadium. If the Giants trail early, Dart’s legs will again become their best playmaker.

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Tip: Jaxson Dart Over 7.5 Rushing Attempts
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Saquon Barkley Longest Rush Over 17.5 Yards

Barkley has voiced frustration with his limited touches, logging only six carries in last week’s loss despite averaging nearly eight yards per touch. His 47-yard receiving touchdown reminded everyone of why he was last year’s Offensive Player of the Year. Philadelphia’s inconsistent offense and league-worst 47.2% three-and-out rate make them heavily reliant on Barkley for big plays. Barkley has recorded a rush of at least 15 yards in three of five games this season.

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Tip: Saquon Barkley Longest Rush Over 17.5 Yards
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Jalen Hurts Under 196.5 Passing Yards

Hurts has struggled to find rhythm in the passing game, particularly against zone coverage, where his EPA per dropback sits at -0.15. Philadelphia ranks 31st in time to snap and often burns clock pre-snap, limiting total play count and reducing passing volume. Against Denver, Hurts’ accuracy wavered late as the offense bogged down with penalties and protection issues. The Giants’ defense has been inconsistent, but their coverage tendencies force underneath throws and shorten drives. The Giants’ pass rush features sack leader Brian Burns, All-Pro defensive tackle Dextor Lawerence, and No. 3 pick Abdul Carter. The Eagles will need quick throws to neutralize the Giants’ pass rush. That bodes well for Hurts’ passing under.

DraftKings
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Tip: Jalen Hurts Under 196.5 Passing Yards
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Conclusion

The Giants enter as heavy underdogs but have the kind of dual-threat quarterback and the complementary pass rush capable of testing an unsteady Eagles’ offense. The Eagles are 4-1, but their offense remains one of the league’s most inconsistent in sustaining drives. Monday night sets up as a grind-it-out divisional matchup where the underdogs’ ground game props—and a dart of confidence in their rookie quarterback—could deliver the best returns.

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