It’s the 2024 No.1 pick Caleb Williams against No. 2 selection Jayden Daniels. Both teams are looking to prove they belong in the NFC playoff picture. Here are four player props worth backing for Bears-Commanders on Monday night.
Caleb Williams Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Williams has taken a major step forward in year two, slicing his sack rate in half and finding chemistry with Rome Odunze and Luther Burden III. Chicago’s offense ranks 14th in explosive completions, and Williams already owns 13 passes of 20-plus yards, including three touchdowns of at least 27 yards. The Commanders’ secondary has allowed 12.7 yards per completion, the worst mark in the NFL, and nine broken tackles in Week 5 alone.
Washington’s defense also struggles against quick reads, giving up 10.8 yards per first-read pass, second-worst in football. With Ben Johnson scripting early rhythm throws and the Bears averaging 31 first-quarter points this season, Williams should have multiple scoring chances through the air. Two touchdowns feels well within reach.
Tip: Caleb Williams Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
- Gaining Chemistry
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Active in the Passing game
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Washington struggles against quick reads
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Luther Burden III Longest Reception Over 12.5 Yards
Burden’s growing role adds juice to Chicago’s downfield attack. He already has a 27-yard touchdown this year and has become Williams’ go-to target on designed shot plays and flea-flickers. The Commanders have been torched on deep crossers and seam routes all season, surrendering more than 12 yards per completion and ranking near the bottom of the league in preventing explosive passes.
With Odunze commanding bracket coverage, Burden often draws single coverage on slants and posts. One catch could cash this over, and given the Commanders’ tackling issues, a short throw turning into a 15-yard gain is likely.
Tip:Luther Burden III Longest Reception Over 12.5 Yards
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Burden Growing role
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Active in the Passing game
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Burden draws single coverage
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Jayden Daniels Over 6.5 Rushing Attempts
Even with a brace on his knee, Daniels looked fully mobile in last week’s 27-10 win over the Chargers. He ran eight times for 39 yards, extending plays and sliding smartly when needed. His dual-threat ability remains central to Dan Quinn’s offense, and Chicago’s defense is allowing 6.2 yards per rush, second-worst in the NFL.
The Bears have struggled to contain mobile quarterbacks and edge-based runs, which fits Daniels’ scramble profile perfectly. Expect designed read-options early and improvised scrambles on third down. Seven or more rushing attempts is the safer bet than any yardage prop.
Tip: Jayden Daniels over 6.5 rushing attempts
- Daniels fully mobile
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Extends plays
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Bears struggle with mobile QBs
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Caleb Williams Longest Rush Over 11.5 Yards
Williams’ improved poise in the pocket has made his scrambles even more dangerous. When defenses drop into man coverage, he’s quick to recognize open lanes and attack space with burst. Washington’s front is aggressive. The rush often creates natural escape routes. With his athleticism and willingness to take off when plays break down, one extended scramble is all it takes to cash this prop.
Tip: Caleb Williams longest rush over 11.5 yards
- Improved Poise
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Quick read Passing
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One Extended Scramble is all you need
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Conclusion
This Monday night matchup is all about quarterback play, and both Williams and Daniels are built to deliver. Williams’ ability to extend plays and hit explosive throws should test a Washington defense that is giving up chunk gains at an alarming rate. Meanwhile, Daniels’ legs remain a constant weapon against a Bears front that has struggled to contain mobile passers. This game is set up for the overs to cash.
