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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Betting Tips / NFL Week 9 Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs

NFL Week 9 Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs: Odds, Tips and Predictions 11/05/23.

Football Betting Tips · 11/05/2023 - 9:30 am · Germany

Publish Date: 11/03/2023
Fact checked by: Simon Briffa

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Prediction: Bet Miami to cover
  • Over/Under: Miami vs Kansas City (50.5)
  • Spread: Chiefs -2.5
  • Pick: Bet Miami to cover
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Game preview Miami vs Kansas City

This is a battle of NFL Heavyweights in Germany, but they are Heavyweights with major concerns. The Dolphins’ concern is on defense and the offensive line, and the Chiefs’ concern has to be the way that Patrick Mahomes has played this season. He is still great but has not played up to his levels in previous years.

Will the Chiefs be able to slow down the Dolphins?

The Chiefs have an overall record of 6-2 this season. When they last took to the field against the Denver Broncos on December 4th, Patrick Mahomes finished the game with 241 yards on 24/38 passing while earning a QB rating of 59.2. Travis Kelce played an essential role for Kansas City in their passing game, collecting six balls for 58 yards (9.7 average reception). Isiah Pacheco ran eight times for 40 yards at Kansas City with an average yard per carry average of 5.0. Kansas City amassed 275 yards while running 57 plays (4.8 yards per play), running the ball for an average of 3.9 yards per attempt en route to 62 on 16 attempts and yielding 40 running attempts totalling 153 yards (3.8 yards per carry). Their secondary conceded a 63.2% completion rate on 12/19 passing attempts, which allowed for an accumulation of 87 yards passing.

In terms of points per game scored, the Chiefs rank 12th among league clubs by tallying 23.4 per game. So far in this season, the Chiefs have amassed 2,211 yards through pass plays while maintaining an average of 276.4 passing yards per game and ranking third overall in the NFL. Furthermore, their ground game averaged 105.1 yards per game while totalling 841 total yards gained this year. Kansas City Chiefs have averaged 381.5 yards per game and rank fourth in the league in total offense with 431 penalty yards accrued on 51 violations – 11th overall among opponents’ helper teams – as they threw ten interceptions while also allowing 6 fumble recoveries while earning 109 1st downs.

The Kansas City Chiefs have allowed 16.1 points per game this season and rank second overall among NFL teams, giving up 11 touchdowns through the air and 176.1 yards per contest, good enough for second place overall in league play. On the ground they’ve amassed 893 yards (11.6 per contest) as well as two touchdowns on ground (two total). Their defense has played 485 plays out on their opponent’s turf which ranks them 16th overall while earning 12 takeaways (7 fumble recoveries and five picks) overall and having given up 129 total points this season.

Will The Dolphins continue to roll on offense?

The Miami Dolphins average 33.9 points per outing and rank first in rushing at an average of 151.8 yards. Overall, they have amassed 3,626 total yards this year and earned 120 first downs as a unit while being flagged 48 penalties totalling 400 yards (eight interceptions and four fumbles lost). As for touchdowns scored this season by Miami, they have 19 passing touchdowns and 16 ground-based ones.

The Dolphins currently rank 25th in the NFL when it comes to team defense, allowing 25.5 points per game and allowing an average of 3.9 yards per rush on the ground and 107.9 yards overall per game over this season. They have given up 863 yards via running games in 8 games alone this season and 1,772 passing yards, which place them 21st overall with 221.5 average air yards per outing with an 69.5% completion percentage rate, giving up 329.4 total yards per game, giving up an overall average of 221.5 yards per outing which ranks them 15th overall in terms of total yards given up per game overall ranking them 15th among NFL teams.

 

Our Betting Pick for Today – Bet Miami to Cover

I believe the Dolphins can finally take down an elite opponent on the road, away from Hard Rock Stadium. Miami’s defense should play well throughout, while their offense comes through late for a win. Miami will need to keep possession after committing turnovers in five consecutive games. Miami 27  Kansas City 34

Tip:
Dolphins to Cover
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