Prediction: Bet Chiefs to Cover
-
Over/Under: Denver vs Kansas City (47.5)
- Spread: Kansas City -10.5
- Pick: Bet Kansas City to cover
New DraftKings Customer: SPEND $5, GET $200 IN BONUSES
Get bonus now
To be eligible for DraftKings Sportsbook and the Promotion, you must be physically located in AR, AZ, CO, CT, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA (select parishes), MA, MD, ME, MI, MO, NC, NJ, NH, NY, OH, OR, PA, PR (residents only), TN, VA, VT, WY, WV, CA-ONT or CA-AB (each an “Eligible Jurisdiction” or, collectively, the “Eligible Jurisdictions”). Must be 21+ years of age or older (18+ if in DC/NH/PR/WY/CA-AB) (19+ in CA-ONT). GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA) Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/NH/PR/WY). Void in CAN. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $200 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets. Stake removed from payout. Reward issued as $50 in Bonus Bets every 7 days via click-to-claim for 21 days. Bonus Bets and click-to-claims expire 7 days (168hrs) after issuance. Terms: Promos | DraftKings Sportsbook . Ends 9/20/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.
Game preview Denver vs Kansas City
This game seems like a mismatch because it is. The point spread seems tighter than it should be as the Chiefs will look to continue their domination of the hapless Denver Broncos.
Will the Chiefs roll at home?
Even with Travis Kelce dealing with an ankle injury, this matchup won’t require him to produce big numbers to claim victory for Kansas City.
The Broncos’ defense ranks 32nd overall in DVOA and has been just as bad against both pass and run offense, ranking 31st and 32nd, respectively. As such, this allows the Chiefs to build their lead with an efficient pass-heavy offense and move the ball efficiently until they establish themselves with more run plays that they rely on later. They should continue moving the ball effectively and score when that time comes around.
Waiting until Kansas City builds a two-score lead before betting the total in-game could be wise in this game.
Even in such a game script, the Chiefs should still be able to generate explosive plays and score. While the market might overreact in this scenario, thinking the scoring environment will decrease significantly, that doesn’t appear likely.
Can the Broncos pull off the upset?
The Denver Broncos have had a disappointing start at 1-4, and most of their difficulties have come on defense. On the other hand, their offence has been relatively inefficient, with 16th in DVOA rankings for yards per drive and 11th for points per drive.
Russel Wilson may face more pressure this week against a Chiefs defense that ranks 11th in DVOA and fourth in pressure rate than usual, so we need to assess his performance when facing pressure compared to having an open pocket:
Our Betting Pick for Today – Bet the Chiefs -10.5
Weather could play a huge factor in this game as rain and wind look likely for this game—either way, I still expect the Chiefs to cover the -10.5 points. The Broncos look like a rudderless ship and the Chiefs should roll in this one.
Brand
Bet Now
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET. Call 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT). Hope is here. GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). 21+ (18+ D.C., KY, WY) and present in select states (for KS, in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino). First online real money wager only. Min $5 wager required for 7 consecutive days.$5 first deposit required. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable bonus bets which expire 7 days after receipt. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Call 1-877-770-7867 (LA). ™/© 2026 MLB
