NFL Week 12 Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions: Odds, Tips and Predictions 11/23/23.

DraftKings

4.6/5

Prediction: Bet Detroit to cover

• Over/Under: Green Bay vs Detroit (46.5)
• Spread: Detroit -7.5
• Pick: Bet Detroit to cover

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The Lions are rolling and have a shot at the number-one seed in the NFC. The Packers have struggled with the inconsistent quarterback play, but the defense is still good enough to keep them in games. Expect a wild atmosphere in Ford Field, as the Lions are relevant on Thanksgiving day for the first time in years.

Jared Goff has had an outstanding season, averaging 274.3 yards per game. After one of his worst performances ever against Chicago – throwing three interceptions, but the team still pulled off an unlikely win – Goff will look to rebound against Detroit where two running backs (David Montgomery at 82.4 YPG, eight touchdowns; rookie Jahmyr Gibbs 64.0 yards per game, 5 touchdowns). Amon-Ra St Brown remains their go-to receiver as he averages 99.8 yards per game, while rookie tight end Sam LaPorta averages 49 YPG with four touchdowns!

Detroit currently sits 6th in scoring with 27.2 PPG and 22nd in defense, allowing 22.9 PPG. Linebacker Alex Anzalone leads with 81 tackles this year and three sacks, Aidan Hutchinson has recorded five and cornerback Jerry Jacobs has three interceptions for their defense – leading them to 12 takeaways while giving up 14 turnovers on offense.

Jordan Love completed his inaugural 300-yard game last week, throwing for 322 yards and two touchdowns. He averages 233.1 yards per game for the season with a 16-10 touchdown-interception ratio, often opting for shorter passes with an average yards per completion of 6.9. As Aaron Jones has been sidelined due to injuries this season, AJ Dillon has become the main running back, averaging 40.5 yards per game while running two touchdowns. Jayden Reed leads in receiving yards with four TDs at 46.3 yards per game, while Romeo Doubs averages 39.6 yards per game!

Green Bay ranks 21st in scoring at 20.2 points per game, but their defense has been their strong point, ranking 10th by allowing only 20.2 points per game. They have both scored and allowed exactly 202 points so far. Linebacker Quay Walker leads in tackles with 73 while Rashan Gary holds onto his spot as a leading slayer by amassing 5.5 sacks; safety Rudy Ford holds two interceptions while Green Bay boasts nine takeaways on defense but 12 turnovers on offense.

A divisional matchup on a short week makes -7.5 points seem scary in this game. The Lions are the better team at home and will win this game. Covering the spread will be tricky in this game, but I think the Lions will cover and win this game. Detroit 27  Green Bay 17.

Tip:

Lions to Cover

Best Odd

-7.5

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