NFL Week 5 New Orleans Saints vs Kansas City Chiefs: Odds, Tips and Predictions 10-07-24

Kansas City and New Orleans kicked off the 2024 NFL season on a positive note, both looking strong contenders.

As both squads prepare to meet at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday Night Football (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN), things look unfamiliar.

The Kansas City Chiefs have lost several key offensive weapons this season, with running back Isiah Pacheco, wideout Rashee Rice, and wide receiver Hollywood Brown placed on injured reserve (IR). Meanwhile, the New Orleans Saints’ win-loss record has dropped significantly since Weeks One and Two, with only 182.5 passing yards per game over their two games combined.

New Orleans Saints vs Kansas City Chiefs

• Point Spread: Chiefs -6.5
• Moneyline Saints +190
• Moneyline Chiefs -230
• Over/Under 43.5

As a departure, we’re taking the home favorite against the spread. Too much emphasis has been put on Kansas City being injury-riddled and facing off against an impressive offense, while too little attention has been paid to their being 4-0 with one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL and possessing top-five defense.

Casual bettors make themselves visible on Monday Night Football, and this week, their bets have overwhelmingly supported road underdog Saints – at last glance, over 60% of SIA moneyline and spread bets had been placed on them!

Bettors appear to be betting against Kansas City because it has won 10 straight games (including playoffs) since being an underdog. This outcome typically makes sense…until Patrick Mahomes, Andy Reid and Arrowhead Stadium come into the picture!

What have the Saints done recently to suggest they can upset Patrick Mahomes at home? Two Sundays ago they lost to Philadelphia 15-12 before allowing Atlanta 26 points last week.

How can Derek Carr and the “Who Dat?” boys limit mistakes against Chris Jones’ Chop Nation squad, or how will Saints D prevent Patrick Mahomes’ dominating performance on Monday Night Football?

Saints vs Chiefs Moneyline

Moneyline value exists on the Saints only as you are more than a 2-1 favorite betting on the Chiefs to win, might as well give the points. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the best sports betting app

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4.5/5

Tip: Bet Chiefs -6.5

• Chiefs defense to have big game
• Chiefs at home
• Turnovers will decide the game

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New orleans Saints vs Kansas City Chiefs Over/Under Analysis

As this season’s Buccaneers have used an extremely conservative passing attack and the Falcon’s defence prevents yards after the catch to an impressive degree, Cousins has struggled against blitzes this year; I believe an underbet should be placed.

Referee Ron Tolbert will officiate this game. Since 2020, he has been the most profitable referee for under teams, with an astounding 43-26 record in this span.

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet the Under 43.5

• Referee Ron Tolbert makes a difference
• Kirk Cousins has struggled
• Cousins must limit turnovers

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Prediction

The Chiefs are the better team, and they are at home, plus the referees tend to favour the Chiefs if the game is close. I look for the Chiefs to win this game. Chiefs 27  Saints 17

Chiefs -6.5