NFL Week 17 Kansas City Chiefs vs Pittsburgh Steelers: Odds, Tips and Predictions 12-25-24

The Chiefs are playing to clinch the number one seed, while the Steelers are in a tie for first place with the Ravens. This is a big game for both teams and really a meaningful game for a handful of other teams who will be watching on Christmas day, hoping the team they need to lose will do just that, lose.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Pittsburgh Steelers

• Point Spread: Chiefs -2.5
• Moneyline Chiefs -140
• Moneyline Steelers +120
• Over/Under 43.5

Kansas City will enter this game hampered by injury issues. Not only could George Pickens return, but the Steelers may not have to deal with Chris Jones, Jawaan Taylor, and Jack Cochrane probably being out—making life hard on Kansas City as they travel on a short week trip.

The Chiefs may have an impressive 14-1 record, but their metrics do not support that success. Their middle-of-the-road performance in most categories, late-game heroics, and favorable bounces have been key factors in their success—something that won’t happen against an opponent as disciplined and well-coached as the Steelers.

I will take the points with the Steelers on Christmas on their home field.

Chiefs vs Steelers Moneyline

Moneyline value exists on both teams, the better value is the Steelers, who I think are primed for an upset in what should be a close game. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the best sports betting app

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Steelers ML

• Wilson to play well
• Pockens to go off
• Steelers at home

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Chiefs vs Steelers Over/Under Analysis

43.5 points is about right on this line, I would make a small under bet on this game as I think points will be hard to come by in the first half.

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet the Under 43.5

• Steelers defense will be the difference
• No Chris Jones
• Huge game

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Prediction: This will be a low-scoring tight battle that will be decided late in the fourth quarter; with Pickens back for the Steelers, I think they will have enough offense to get it done late at home. Steelers 20  Chiefs 17