This is a possible Super Bowl preview, as these two teams are as good as any in the NFL. Jared Goff and Josh Allen are both playing like they are the MVP of the league, and while both teams have some weaknesses, they are few and far between.
Buffalo Bills vs Detroit Lions
Point Spread: Lions -2.5
Moneyline Bilss +122
Moneyline Lions -144
Over/Under 54.5
On a strategic and offensive level, this game will play in Jared Goff’s play-action’s favor. Buffalo ranks near the bottom when it comes to first down run defense and on first-and-10 carries with an average 5.0 yard per carry allowed; by contrast, Detroit allows just 4.1 yards per carry, placing them among the top 10. The Lions are hitting explosive runs (10 yards or more) more often than any other team’s run defense can.
That puts the Bills defense in an awkward situation: If they dedicate more resources to slowing Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery on early downs, Goff has been highly effective with play action, which opens up significant matchup advantages for Amon-Ra St. Brown, Tim Patrick, Sam LaPorta as intermediate-range receivers off play action – not to mention Jameson Williams a as deep threat with Buffalo starting CB Rasul Douglas out due to injury.
But while Buffalo may worry about Detroit’s arsenal of passing game weapons, Detroit offensive line and Sonic and Knuckles combo can run around and past lighter fronts with ease. Goff and offensive coordinator Ben Johnson have proven adept at exploiting any advantages given by any defense; with Taylor Decker back at left tackle more opportunities are opening up for runs and screens on that side; making Detroit even harder to defend!
Special teams, from kicker and punter to return man and coverage, could be an asset for Detroit in this game. Brandon Codrington is an effective punt returner but rarely sees consistent blocking by Buffalo; Tyler Bass’s kicks are only 50/50 between 40 and 50 yards but have netted him one 61-yarder this year! Additionally, Dave Fipp’s Detroit special teams units and Dan Campbell’s “play to win” motto may play into Detroit’s favor in this contest.
On defense, the Lions man coverage on the outside was clearly superior to that of the Bills receiving corps at getting open. Don’t take this as evidence that their receivers don’t possess talent – like Khalil Shakir and recently acquired Amari Cooper, who remains a legitimate threat – it simply shows their passing game is more focused on tight throws and breaking tackles rather than creating open runners and forcing blown coverages; creating space for playmaking safeties like Kerby Joseph and Brian Branch to make big plays themselves.
A more balanced defensive front can help Detroit’s pass rush, too. Receiving DJ Reader and Josh Paschal back is great news because they are Detroit’s run-responsible defensive linemen – they make for great run defense! Instead of heavily relying on sacks or pressures as an offensive tactic, this one aims to contain Josh Allen by making him uncomfortable and impatient – readers and Alim McNeill occupying the front pocket will deny Allen easy escape routes or open running lanes to provide him with quick escape routes or open running lanes easily!
Bills vs Lions Moneyline
Moneyline value exists with both teams in what should be a tight game.To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the
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4.6/5
Tip: Bet Lions -2.5
Goff to play well
Lions run game will be exlposive
Lions at home
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Bills vs Lions Over/Under Analysis
Hit the over on this one, both Quarterbacks are elite and both teams can run the ball. This should be a game played at least in the mid-gigh 20s.
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Over 54.5
Lions play-action will be deadly
Bills must run the ball
Lions better all around team
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Prediction: Play-action puts the Lions offense over the top in this game. Lions 31 Bills 27
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