AFC Divisional Playoffs Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs: Odds, Tips, and Predictions-01-18-25/

The Kansas City Chiefs are looking to become the first team to win three straight Super Bowls, while the Houston Texans are looking to pull off a shocking upset. The Chiefs have won close game after close game this season and their starters haven’t played in three weeks after mailing in a season ending loss to the Denver Broncos. The Chiefs will be rusty and if the Texans can get off to a fast start an upset is possible in this game.

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs

• Point Spread: Chiefs -8.5
• Moneyline Texans +360
• Moneyline Chiefs -460
• Over/Under 41.5

In Patrick Mahomes’ first six seasons as the starting quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs, the team reached six AFC Championship Games. The last time an AFC title game didn’t feature the Chiefs, the starting quarterbacks were Tom Brady and Blake Bortles. It seems almost inevitable that Mahomes and the Chiefs will make it seven for seven. The Texans played well against the Chargers last week, but they finished the second half of the season with a 4-5 record and have already lost once at Arrowhead Stadium this year. The Chiefs only lost one game all season when they were fully trying, and that defeat was against a very strong Buffalo Bills team. While the Chiefs’ pursuit of a third consecutive Super Bowl win hasn’t garnered widespread support among NFL fans, leading to some fatigue regarding Kansas City, their run is unlikely to end this week.

The Texans hold a significant advantage with their edge rushers, Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter, who had outstanding seasons. Last week, the Texans’ pass rush performed exceptionally well against the Chargers. Meanwhile, the Chiefs have struggled with their tackle positions on offense throughout the season. The situation became so dire that they moved left guard Joe Thuney to left tackle late in the year. While Thuney played well in that position due to his All-Pro caliber, it is still not his natural role. D.J. Humphries returned from injury to play in Week 18, but he has participated in only two games this season after joining midseason. The Chiefs have not confirmed whether Thuney or Humphries will start at left tackle. Regardless of who starts on the Kansas City offensive line, the Texans must dominate that matchup decisively.

Houston vs Kansas City Moneyline

Moneyline value exists for betting on the underdog Texans and yes, they can win this game. If you are betting on the Chiefs give the points. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the best sports betting app

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Houston +8.5

• Texans must pressure Mahomes
• Chiefs starters rusty
• Kansas City at Home

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Houston vs Kansas City Over/Under Analysis

I am going to bet the over here, I think this game will be played in the mid-high 20s. I will not bet a lot on it though.

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet the under 41.5

• Stroud to play well
• turnovers will be key
• Both teams are tough on defense

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The Chiefs are the better all-around team, but the Texans get after the passer well and the Chiefs starters have not played for the most part in over three weeks. Expect the Texans to grab the early lead and pit up a fight the entire game. I like the Chiefs to pull it out in the end, but I like the Texans to cover. Chiefs 27  Texans 23

Bet Texans +8.5