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Week 1 ATS: 9-7
Overall 9-7
Buffalo will need to contain Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, who racked up 100 yards each in Week 1 – can the Bills disrupt that timing? Josh Allen spread the ball among different receivers while James Cook gained 103 total yards on running plays alone for Buffalo. Miami is currently 1-5 against them under Mike McDaniel; however, Thursday Night Football stage makes this matchup unpredictable. The Dolphins look to be the better team overall in this one.
Dallas triumphed 27-17 at Caesars Superdome during their last meeting, and we can expect something similar tonight. The Saints and Cowboys were both dominating in their season openers. Getting to the quarterback decides this game. Expect a close game, as the Saints will be looking to prove they are for real.
Rematch of an NFC Divisional playoff from last season promises to be exciting. Baker Mayfield had 289 yards and four touchdowns in Week 1, but took four sacks and threw two interceptions in Detroit’s 31-23 playoff loss last year. David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs’ relentless running game accumulated 163 yards during Week 1, proving a pivotal element to Detroit’s win – while Mayfield may even have the chance at scoring a late game-winner.
Deshaun Watson of Cleveland completed just 53.3 percent of his passes in their opening game against Dallas; Myles Garrett recorded one of three sacks for the Browns; Trevor Lawrence completed 57.1 percent in Miami, while Travon Walker recorded two sacks. These teams have similar strengths and weaknesses, which make this matchup close. We will pick the home team.
Sam Darnold led an error-free performance for Minnesota hitting Justin Jefferson for a touchdown and Aaron Jones excelling as an all-purpose back. Although their offense appears functional enough to beat non-Super Bowl contenders like Washington or Atlanta, will it hold up against Super Bowl contenders like the 49ers?
Jim Harbaugh led his Chargers to victory in Week 1, with JK Dobbins recording 135 yards. Harbaugh will look to use running plays to open up more vertical shots for Justin Herbert, Carolina gave up 180 rushing yards last week! The Chargers dominate on the ground in this one.
The highest line of the week belongs to this game as Baltimore amassed 452 yards against Kansas City last week in Week 1, leading Lamar Jackson’s offense with Derrick Henry on the ground and tight end Isaiah Likely’s nine receptions for 111 yards and one TD catch in Week 1.
Kyler Murray will need to incorporate rookie receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. more fully in their offense after seeing only three targets and one reception in his debut. Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Rams passed for 317 yards with only two sacks taken against them against Detroit; Cooper Kupp caught 14 passes for 110 yards and scored one TD.
Pittsburgh has struggled in Denver in the past four trips yet won its opening game with an outstanding defensive effort that forced three turnovers. Justin Fields was efficient without giving away possession. Rookie quarterback Bo Nix will need to minimize mistakes when facing J.J. Watt, who recorded one sack and two tackles for loss last week.
Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase will look to build off of Chase’s six catches for 62 yards in Week 1. Patrick Mahomes comes through again when needed, and Cincinnati falls to 0-2, with Mahomes averaging 245.6 yards per game while scoring nine touchdowns and only two interceptions against them over their past five meetings; making this game filled with playoff intensity; the Bengals are not the same team at the start of the season and that will be painfully obvious in this game.
Caleb Williams will make his Sunday Night Football debut for Houston against Houston’s C.J. Stroud, who boasts an outstanding 108.3 QB rating at home and a 5-5 ATS record since last season. While Williams may show improvement and have his moments, Stroud will throw more touchdown passes, and Joe Mixon may score one as well.
Both teams have offensive issues, with Jayden Daniels offering some threat on the ground; he amassed 88 rushing yards and one touchdown during Week 1. As opposed to this week, Daniel Jones attempted 42 passes with two interceptions on Sunday against the Minnesota Vikings. the Giants are a bad football team, the Commanders are not much better but they are better.
The Patriots scored an upset on the road last week. Now, can they make it two straight victories under new coach Jerod Mayo in his home debut, as Seattle coach Mike Macdonald is also trying to do? Geno Smith passed for 171 yards and one touchdown, while Kenneth Walker III ran for 103. New England limited Cincinnati to only 224 total yards with their defense, while Rhamondre Stevenson rushed 120 yards with a score.
This line shifted dramatically after Jordan Love’s injury; Malik Willis will use a low-risk passing attack in his first start for Green Bay. Anthony Richardson gained 218 passing yards on just nine completions last week; Green Bay will need to stop any big plays made by Anthony Richardson, Brandon Jacobs, or Jonathan Taylor to stay competitive against Green Bay (now 0-2). Green Bay may fall back into an unfamiliar losing streak, but this game should remain close throughout.
The Titans outplayed the Bears but made critical mistakes, while the Jets showed that their defense was not as great as predicted. I expect a close game in this one that goes down to the wire.
The Falcons may be at risk of going 0-2 with Kirk Cousins under center, who did not play well in week one. Meanwhile, Jalen Hurts appears to have developed into a more dangerous QB with the addition of Saquon Barkley (132 total yards) and Bijan Robinson (113 total yards) as additions for Jalen Hurts’ offense.
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