The
No. 9 Vanderbilt Commodores (7–1, 3–1 SEC)
have turned into one of the country’s most surprising stories under
Clark Lea, riding the dual-threat brilliance of
Diego Pavia
and a defense that refuses to break. After knocking off multiple ranked opponents, Vanderbilt now faces its toughest road test yet — a trip to Austin to take on the
No. 7 Texas Longhorns (6–2, 3–1 SEC).
Texas
remains formidable behind
Arch Manning
and a loaded roster, but the betting market has tightened — the Longhorns are only
2.5-point favorites
at home. Vanderbilt’s poise, balance, and red-zone efficiency make this a true toss-up that could tilt toward another Commodores statement win.
🏈 Prop Overview
Matchup:
Vanderbilt Commodores at Texas Longhorns
Location:
Darrell K Royal–Texas Memorial Stadium (Austin, TX)
Kickoff:
Saturday, 7:00 PM ET
Spread (est’d):
Texas –2.5
Total (est’d):
54.5
🪶 1) Diego Pavia – Over 247.5 Passing Yards
Pavia has been Vanderbilt’s difference-maker, averaging nearly 260 yards per game and hitting multiple 50+ yard completions this season. Texas’ secondary is talented but has given up explosive plays to mobile quarterbacks who extend downs. Pavia’s play-action game and improvisation make 250+ yards realistic.
Tip: Best Odds for Pavia Over 247.5 Passing Yards
- Excellent range of sports betting markets
- Straightforward user experience
- Competitive odds
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
Open BetMGM
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA) 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). Rewards are non-withdrawable bonus bets that expire in 7 days. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. See BetMGM.com for Terms. US promotional offers not available in DC, Mississippi, New York, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.
🧱 2) Eli Stowers – Over 64.5 Receiving Yards
Stowers has become Pavia’s top target and matchup problem, averaging 18 yards per catch over the last month. Texas’ linebackers can be exposed by athletic tight ends in space, and Stowers’ physicality after the catch gives him consistent chunk potential. Look for him to clear 65 yards.
Tip: Best Odds for Stowers Over 64.5 Receiving Yards
- Exceptional range of betting markets
- A fluid in-play betting section
- Competitive odds
Bet $1, Double your Winnings on your Next 20 Wagers. Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost
Open Caesars
21+ New users only. Must register using eligible promo code. First bet after registration must qualify. Max. Bonus Bet: $1,000. Bonus Bet expires 14 days after receipt. Void where prohibited. See Caesars.com/promos for full terms. Gambling Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537)
🧡 3) Arch Manning – Over 0.5 Interceptions
Vanderbilt’s secondary has quietly been opportunistic, forcing 11 turnovers in their last 4 games. Manning is elite, but he’s thrown picks in three straight outings under heavy pressure. With Vandy disguising coverage and forcing off-schedule throws, one interception is a strong play.
Tip: Best Odds for Manning Over 0.5 Interceptions
- Well-known company
- Excellent range of markets
- Clever site design
Bet $5 Get $150 in Bonus Bets If Your Bet Wins!
Open FanDuel
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit RG Help . Call 1-888-789-7777 or visit Helpline and Chat – CONNECTICUT COUNCIL (CT). Hope is here. Home or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Visit Home (MD). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). 21+ (18+ D.C.) and present in select states (for KS, in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino). First online real money wager only. $5 first deposit required. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable bonus bets which expire 7 days after receipt. See terms at FanDuel Sportsbook
🌩️ 4) Game Total – Under 54.5 Points
Despite two capable offenses, both teams prefer to control tempo and rely on physicality. Vanderbilt’s balanced attack milks the clock, while Texas has leaned on its run game to protect leads. Add in late-season defensive sharpness, and the Under 54.5 looks logical.
Tip: Best Odds for Under 54.5 Total
- Superb range of different sporting leagues
- Effective in-play betting feature
- Exciting fantasy team building
New Customers: Bet $5+ Get $300 in Bonus Bets If Your Bet Wins + 3 Months of League Pass On Us!
Open DraftKings
💰 Betting Strategy & Final Thoughts
The ideal approach: stack
Pavia Over Passing Yards
with
Stowers Over Receiving Yards
for Vanderbilt’s offensive connection. Add
Manning Over 0.5 INTs
for defensive correlation and hedge with
Under 54.5
in case the game slows.
Final Score Prediction:
Vanderbilt 27, Texas 23
Favorite Props:
Pavia Over, Stowers Over, Manning INT Over, Under 54.5
