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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Betting Tips / NCAA Football USC Trojans vs Michigan Wolverines

NCAA Football USC Trojans vs Michigan Wolverines: Odds, Tips and Predictions 09/19/24

Football Betting Tips · - ·

Publish Date: 09/19/2024
Fact checked by: Simon Briffa

Welcome to your new residence, USC!

This marks only the 11th time these two historic institutions have met.

Michigan needs this win against the Trojans to rekindle their dream of defending its College Football Playoff national championship title.

Losing this matchup would make running the table virtually impossible and getting back to the CFP improbable.

USC is on an exciting roll after its victories over LSU and Utah State—now is when the real fun begins!

Next week, Wisconsin will visit LA before the Trojans travel to Minnesota, and then Penn State will visit USC on the coast; USC won’t get another home game until late December or January.

USC Trojans vs Michigan Wolverines

  • Point Spread: USC -5.5
  • Moneyline USC -215
  • Moneyline Michigan +176
  • Over/Under 44.5

Can Michigan exert any kind of pressure against Moss?

So far, one of the more surprising aspects of Michigan Wolverine football has been their poor third down defense – partly due to not having good enough pass rushers.

A major hurdle will be the offensive downfield plays; they will make some headway but not enough to counterbalance Orji’s turnovers.

Michigan’s offense hasn’t been successful.

Michigan’s offense has struggled, while USC’s defense has played outstandingly through two games. They have now had time off to recuperate and prepare for their third contest.

The Wolverines lack an effective passing game, and their ground attack—which managed over 300 yards against Arkansas State—found it difficult to score against the Arkansas State Red Wolves; only 28 points were scored.

Michigan has had trouble on third downs; against Fresno State, it was okay, but against Texas, it was dismal. Yet Arkansas State still managed to convert seven out of 12 chances it had.

Miller Moss of USC has shown himself to be very effective when facing pressure, not making mistakes and not incurring penalties, keeping chains moving as planned.

What it gets down to is, that the Trojans are the better, more complete football team.

USC vs Michigan Moneyline

There is no moneyline value unless you are betting on Michigan, and that is a bad bet. Just take USC and give the points. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the best sports betting app

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet USC -5.5
  • Moss to have big game
  • Michigan at home
  • Michigan offense struggling
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USC vs Michigan Over/Under Analysis

This over/under of 44.5 is not a lot of points, but Michigan has struggled to score. I will bet the over, figuring that the Trojans will score at least 30 points.

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet the Over 44.5
  • USC will dominate on third downs
  • Michigan is one-dimensional on offense
  • Trojans will cover
Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly!
Go to DraftKings

Prediction

Michigan will be able to run, and that’s about it. The Trojans will dominate this game. USC 34  Michigan 14

USC -5.5

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