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Two new coaches will face off as Indiana travels to UCLA to try to start the season off with three straight wins. UCLA is 1-0 with a come-from-behind win at Hawaii. This promises to be an interesting Big ten matchup.
Everything points towards Indiana in this game. As was seen against Hawaii, when UCLA can’t run effectively, Garbers is not an effective quarterback who can throw over the top of defenses. If Indiana can continually thwart UCLA at the line of scrimmage, they won’t be able to move the ball effectively and move into scoring position.
Indiana’s offense has shown great improvement through its first few games, especially its running game. Hawaii lacks a competitive running attack, so this matchup will provide an important test for the Bruins, who recently suffered significant defensive line injuries. Blitzing Rourke won’t work; at Ohio last season, he averaged 8.3 yards per attempt with seven touchdowns and zero interceptions against aggressive pressure blitzes.
Cignetti may have gotten UCLA fired up, but I like Indiana at -3 as my value pick.
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This over/under is tricky; 46 is not a lot of points, but UCLA will struggle to score. That fact would make me lean towards betting the under in this game.
The Hoosiers run game, and ability to stop the run will lead to a decisive Hoosier victory. Indiana 27 UCLA 13
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