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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Betting Tips / College Football Week 11Mississippi vs Georgia: Odds, Tips and Predictions 11/11/23

College Football Week 11Mississippi vs Georgia: Odds, Tips and Predictions 11/11/23

NCAAF Betting Tips Β· 11/11/2023 - 7:00 pm Β· Stanford Stadium

Publish Date: 11/09/2023
Fact checked by: Simon Briffa

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.5/5
Prediction: Bet Georgia to cover
  • Over/Under: Mississippi vs Georgia(58)
  • Spread: Georgia -10.5
  • Pick: Bet Georgia to cover
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Game preview Mississippi vs Georgia

Mississippi (8-1 overall, 6-2-1 against the spread, and 5-3-1 over/under) defeated Texas A&M 38-35 last Saturday and is now 5-1 in conference play – only one game behind Alabama for top honors in SEC West division play.

Georgia (9-0 SU, 3-6 ATS and 5-4 O/U) defeated 12th-ranked Missouri 30-21 last Saturday and now leads the SEC East with an unblemished 6-0 record.

The Dawgs are 10.5-point favorites against the Rebels, and both teams should be able to score some points in this one.

GeorgiaCan Georgia continue to roll?

Georgia defeated Missouri last weekend thanks to Nazir Stackhouse’s fourth-quarter interception, as he delivered a momentum-killing blow with two touchdowns by UGA to overcome being down 13-10 early in the second half. They won both the turnovers and time of possession battles, as well as going 7-14 on third and fourth down plays – something Missouri could only dream about! Junior quarterback Carson Beck is leading the Georgia Bulldogs offense with 2,716 passing yards, 16 touchdowns, four interceptions and an 82.8 quarterback rating, placing him tenth nationally. Beck has made 41 receptions for 567 yards and four TDs from junior tight end Brock Bowers (41 receptions totalling 567 yards and four scores) and 39 for 398 yards with two scores from Dominic Lovett (399 receptions totalling 398 yards with two scores). Georgia ground game leader is senior RB Daijun Edwards who has taken 111 carries for 633 yards with eight scores (111 totaling 633 totaling 8 scores).

The Bulldogs average 39.3 points per game (10th), totalling 492.9 yards on average (6th), including 325.3 passing yards (6th) and 167 rushing yards (47th). On third down they convert 56.3 percent of attempts (1st), scoring on 91.3 percent of visits to their red zone (20th).

Georgia ranks sixth nationally for scoring defense with 15.4 points per game allowed and 282.2 total yards (9th) allowed each week, including 182.2 passing yards (19th) and 100.0 rushing yards (15th). Georgia boasts 19 sacks and 11 interceptions against opponents while scoring on 89% of their red zone trips (5th).

Β 

Ole MissCan the rebels pull off the upset?

Ole Miss escaped Texas A&M last weekend by narrowly outlasting them, holding on for a three-point win thanks to an Aggies game-tying field goal missing its target. Ole Miss outgained A&M 518-457 while holding onto possession for 11 minutes less. Junior quarterback Jaxson Dart passed for 387 yards at 11.7 per completion average, helping power Ole Miss’s victory. Dart leads Ole Miss’ air attack with 2,467 passing yards, 16 touchdowns, four interceptions over 65.6 per cent completion and an 82.2 QBR, 12th best among NCAA QBs. Ole Miss features three pass catchers with more than 600 receiving yards, including Jordan Watkins, Tre Harris and Dayton Wade, who have combined for nearly 2000 receiving yards and 13 scores; sophomore RB Quinshon Judkins leads their rushing attack (169 carries for 793 yards and 12 scores).

Ole Miss averages 38.8 points per game (14th), covering 478.9 total yards (12th), including 297.7 passing yards (15th) and 181.2 rushing yards (35th). Additionally, Ole Miss converts 32.3 per cent of its third-down attempts (110th) while scoring on 88% of red zone trips (46th).

Mississippi ranks 45th overall and 61st nationally in defense, giving up 22.9 points and 365.7 total yards per game, including 228.4 passing yards (65th) and 137.2 rushing yards (55th). They have registered 31 sacks and ten interceptions so far, while opponents convert 41.3 per cent of third-down attempts (86th overall) and score on 85.7 per cent of visits to their red zone (74th).

Our Betting Pick for Today – Bet Georgia to cover

Georgia is the better all-around team, and the Bulldogs’ defense will be the difference. Expect this to be a close, competitive game until the fourth quarter. Georgia 31 OLEM Miss 21

Tip:
Georgia to Cover
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-10.5
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