Date:
Saturday, December 20, 2025 •
Time:
3:30 PM ET (2:30 PM CT)
Location:
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
TV:
TNT / TruTV / Max
Atmosphere:
Stripe Out (Red & Blue)
The Matchup at a Glance
#11 Tulane Green Wave (11–2)#6 Ole Miss Rebels (11–1)
Offense
Physical, run-first attack behind QB Jake Retzlaff (2,862 Pass Yds, 16 Rush TDs).Nation’s #3 offense (498.1 YPG) led by Trinidad Chambliss.
Defense
Top-30 vs the run; vulnerable vs the pass (#121 nationally).Landshark D with All-Americans Walter Nolen & Chris Paul Jr.
Turnovers
One of the best turnover teams (#11, +10 margin).Volatile (-2 margin, #81 in FBS).
Key Player
RB Jamauri McClure — breakout freshman (121 yards in AAC Title).RB Kewan Lacy — SEC TD leader (1,279 yards, 20 TDs).
The Coach Comparison: Stability vs. Succession
Jon Sumrall — Tulane
• Accepted the
Florida job, but staying to finish Tulane’s CFP run. • Power-run identity, controlled tempo. • Made national news donating
$100k to Tulane’s NIL fund
this week.
Pete Golding — Ole Miss
• Promoted from DC after Lane Kiffin left for LSU. • Defensive aggression + explosive offensive philosophy. • Hired LSU legend
Frank Wilson
to fortify future recruiting.
Quarterback Breakdown
Trinidad Chambliss (Ole Miss)
The D-II transfer who became a superstar. Over 3,000 passing yards, 18 TDs, and 114 rushing yards in the first meeting vs Tulane. The engine of the #3 offense in America.
Jake Retzlaff (Tulane)
A physical dual-threat dubbed
“The Sledgehammer.”
School-record
16 rushing TDs, dangerous on designed QB power. Improved as a passer late in the season and has won
8 of his last 9.
Keys to the Game
For Ole Miss to Win:
• Avoid a post-Kiffin slump — keeping OC Charlie Weis Jr. is massive. • Attack Tulane deep early; their
#121-ranked pass defense
is the biggest mismatch of the CFP first round. • Let Lacy dictate the pace in the red zone.
For Tulane to Win:
• Control the
“Middle Eight”
(last 4 min of 1H + first 4 min of 2H). • Force turnovers — Ole Miss has struggled in this area all season. • Keep Chambliss off the field with long, punishing drives.
Weather & Betting Odds
Weather:
62°F, broken clouds — ideal conditions.
Spread:
Ole Miss -17.5
Over/Under:
56.5
Moneyline:
Tulane +600 / Ole Miss -900
⭐
Top 4 Prop Bets for Ole Miss vs. Tulane
(Formatted exactly like the Alabama vs. Oklahoma preview)
1. Trinidad Chambliss Over 295.5 Passing Yards
Chambliss carved up Tulane in September and now faces one of the
worst pass defenses in the nation. Ole Miss will push tempo and attack vertically off RPOs. If Tulane crowds the box, Chambliss could hit 300+ by late third quarter.
Tip: Trinidad Chambliss over 295.5 passing yards
- Massive mismatch vs Tulane secondary
-
307 yards in first meeting
-
Ole Miss aggressive passing script
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2. Kewan Lacy Anytime Touchdown
The SEC’s touchdown king (20 TDs) is the Rebels’ unquestioned red-zone hammer. He gets goal-line work, RPO looks, and screen opportunities. In a game where Ole Miss should live inside Tulane territory, Lacy scoring is the safest TD prop on the board.
Tip: Kewan Lacy anytime touchdown
- SEC TD leader
-
Red-zone focal point
-
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3. Tulane Team Rushing Yards Over 169.5
Tulane’s only path to staying competitive: shorten the game and run downhill behind Retzlaff and McClure. Expect 40+ rush attempts. Their QB-driven ground system stresses Ole Miss horizontally.
Tip: Tulane rushing yards over 169.5
- Run-first identity
-
Retzlaff + McClure combo
-
Must control tempo
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4. Total Combined Sacks Over 4.5
Ole Miss’ front seven is elite, and Tulane’s defense thrives on chaos and pressure. Both OL units have struggled against top-tier fronts. In a CFP slugfest, expect pressure constantly.
Tip: Total sacks over 4.5
- Elite Ole Miss front
-
Tulane pressure packages
-
Playoff intensity = more sacks
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Final Prediction
This game will be far more competitive than September’s matchup — Tulane is tougher, more disciplined, and emotionally rallied around a coach finishing the fight.
But Ole Miss has too much speed, too much explosiveness, and the home-field advantage of a deafening
Stripe Out.
Prediction: Ole Miss 34, Tulane 20
