NCAA Football Week 9: Betting All Top 25 Games against the Spread

week one Against the spread: 8-8

Week Two Against the Spread 9-7

Week Three Against the Spread 10-5

Week Four Against the Spread 10-8

Week Five Against the Spread 12-7

Week Six Against the Spread 11-6

Week Seven Against the Spread 7-9

Week 8 Against the Spread 10-6

Overall 77-56

Week 9

Syracuse at No. 19 Pitt

• Point Spread: Pitt -5.5
• Moneyline Syracuse +164
• Moneyline Pitt -200
• Over/Under 62.5

Amazingly, Syracuse hasn’t won on the road against Pitt since 2001! Kyle McCord currently ranks second in FBS with 360.1 passing yards per game, while Desmond Reid of Pitt ranks second with 182.6 all-purpose yards per game – making this game more than enough offence between teams that rank third and fourth, respectively, in points per game. Both Panthers and Orange have already played seven Power 4 opponents together, with six being one-score games; why would this one differ?

Prediction: Pitt 27  Syracuse 23

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Syracuse +5.5

• McCord to play well
• Evenly-matched
• Pitt at home

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No. 17 Boise State at UNLV

• Point Spread: Boise State -3.5
• Moneyline Boise State -162
• Moneyline UNLV +134
• Over/Under 66.5

This game could determine which group from 5 will represent it in the College Football Playoff. It is a matchup of strength-on-strength, with both teams boasting the top two rushing attacks (Broncos: 289.9 yards per game; Rebels: 251.4 yards per game) in their respective Mountain West Conferences, as well as having some of the top rush defenses. UNLV quarterback Hajj-Malk Williams averages at least five yards per carry, while Boise State’s Ashton Jeanty (1,249 yards, 17 touchdowns) averages 9.9 yards per carry – an ongoing streak dating back to 1977!

Prediction: Boise State 35  UNLV 24

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Boise State -3.5

• Jeanty to dominate on offense
• UNLV to struggle passing
• UNLVat home

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Nebraska at No. 4 Ohio State

• Point Spread: Ohio State -25.5
• Moneyline Nebraska +1600
• Moneyline Ohio State -4500
• Over/Under 48.5

Nebraska is coming off of an embarrassing performance against Indiana, in which they committed five turnovers and allowed 495 total yards. Ohio State responded well during a bye week by allowing 6.8 points per game against unranked opponents while going 2-2 ATS at home; they’ve won seven meetings between these two schools by an average margin of 30-8 points per matchup!

Prediction: Ohio State 48  Nebraska 13

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Ohio State -25.5

• Buckeyes to roll on the ground
• Huskers will struggle on third down
• Ohio State at home

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No. 12 Notre Dame vs. No. 24 Navy

• Point Spread Notre Dame -12.5
• Moneyline Notre Dame -450
• Moneyline Navy +340
• Over/Under 51.5

Blake Horvath averages 7.9 yards per carry while contributing ten rushing and ten passing touchdowns a game for Navy, making him a matchup nightmare. Since Week 2, Notre Dame has not allowed more than 4.0 yards per carry in any game except their Week 2 loss against Northern Illinois; their dominant rushing attack averages 5.8 yards per carry while Riley Leonard protecting the ball will help immensely; their line has dropped 1.5 points from its opening, giving good value if you like Notre Dame here – they’ve won each time by an average margin.

Prediction: Notre Dame 31  Navy 27

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet CNavy +12.5

• Explosive running attacks
• Riley leonard to be the difference
• Navy at home

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Oklahoma at No. 18 Ole Miss

• Point Spread: Ole Miss -20.5
• Moneyline Oklahoma +890
• Moneyline Ole Miss -1700
• Over/Under 47.5

Oklahoma fired offensive coordinator Seth Littrell after their 35-9 loss to South Carolina. Oklahoma has scored only 12 points over their past two losses and are facing Ole Miss after their bye week, where Jaxson Dart is the most efficient passer in SEC play and has averaged 23.3 points per game in conference play – making Jackson Arnold’s start here even more critical if Ole Miss wins this matchup!

Prediction: Ole Miss 41  Oklahoma 17

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Ole Miss -20.5

• Oklahoma struggles on offense
• Jaxson Dart to play well
• Ole Miss at home

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Washington at No. 13 Indiana

• Point Spread: Indiana -6.5
• Moneyline Washington +190
• Moneyline Indiana -235
• Over/Under 50.5

This line dropped a half point due to Kurtis Rourke’s (thumb) absence. Tayven Jackson will take over under center, relying on an average 202.4 yard per game rushing attack led by Justice Ellison and Ty Son Lawson for Indiana. Meanwhile, the Huskies rank 14th in run defense while having made both time zone trips this season and are 0-2 S/U against them when making one of these.

Prediction: Indiana 38  Washington 17

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Indiana -6.5

• Indiana to run for 200 yards
• Indiana defense to play well
• Indiana at home

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No. 20 Illinois at No. 1 Oregon

• Point Spread: Oregon -21.5
• Moneyline Illinois +980
• Moneyline Oregon -2000
• Over/Under 54.5

Illinois presents Oregon with an intriguing challenge as they strive for victory at Autzen Stadium this Saturday afternoon. Illinois boasts a plus-7 turnover ratio and can grind out games using their 4.0 yards-per-carry rushing attack, led by Luke Altmyer, who has thrown 15 touchdowns against only one interception this year. Oregon will find success against an Illinois defense which gave up 200+ rushing yards against Penn State and Purdue. Illinois has gone undefeated as an underdog this season – going 4-0.

Prediction: Oregon 27 Illinois 13

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Illinois +21.5

• Oregon to roll on the ground
• Illinois must cause turnovers
• Oregon at home

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No. 11 BYU at UCF

• Point Spread: BYU -1.5
• Moneyline BYU -125
• Moneyline UCF +104
• Over/Under 55.5

This upset pick will likely prove popular given BYU’s recent dramatic victory against Oklahoma State, and this spread could end up as close to a coin flip as kickoff approaches. BYU feeds off turnovers, winning at SMU and Baylor this year so far; their strength lies in taking their show on the road in unpredictable games such as this one against UCF (four-game losing streak); can you trust a UCF side that seems determined to find ways of keeping their streak alive here? Eventually the Cougars find ways to remain unbeaten!

Prediction: BYU 30  UCF 17

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet BYU -1.5

• BYU defense will cause turnovers
• UCF has lost four in a row
• UCFat home

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No. 21 Missouri at No. 15 Alabama

• Point Spread: Alabama -13.5
• Moneyline Missouri -400
• Moneyline Alabama -550
• Over/Under 56.5

Alabama and Missouri both face pivotal moments in their seasons on Saturday. Alabama’s offense has faltered the last few weeks, and their SEC and College Football Playoff hopes are on a thin line. At the same time, Missouri looks to prove itself after suffering an embarrassing 41-10 blowout loss against Texas A&M on its last road trip. Alabama has become increasingly one-dimensional, recently averaging 2.5 yards per carry against South Carolina and Tennessee, respectively; should Missouri’s run defense continue its impressive play with only the loss against Texas A&M being an exception, this should be an intriguing contest

Prediction: Alabama 31  Missouri 13

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Alabama -13.5

• Missouri is not that good
• Turnovers will be crucial
• Alabama at home

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No. 5 Texas at No. 25 Vanderbilt

• Point Spread: Texas -18.5
• Moneyline Texas -1100
• Moneyline Vanderbilt +680
• Over/Under 53.5

The Commodores are ranked! Will they catch the Longhorns on the same emotional hangover Alabama had on Oct. 5? Vanderbilt continues to be a solid play with QB Diego Pavia. Vandy has committed just two turnovers this season, and if they can avoid game-changing mistakes, this one could be close. Texas will get the running game going with Jaydon Blue, and Quinn Ewers will have a bounce-back game against the 11th-best pass defense in the SEC.

Prediction:  Texas 30  Vanderbilt 27

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Vandy +18.5

• Texas will be strong on the ground
• Vandy passing game will be huge
• Vanderbiltat home

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Florida State at No. 6 Miami, Fla.

• Point Spread: Miami -20.5
• Moneyline Florida State +810
• Moneyline Miami -1450
• Over/Under 54.5

Florida State has struggled regarding turnover ratio and scoring since Week 0. Although its pass defense has improved slightly since then, that won’t be enough against a Hurricanes team that averages 577.3 yards per game with Heisman Trophy candidate Cam Ward leading them. Will rivalry play any factor here? Florida State has won all three of the previous meetings between these schools, but if the Hurricanes get any chance to press home their advantage this time, they might take it!

Prediction: Miami 44  Florida State 17

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Miami -20.5

• Cam Ward to have a big game
• Seminoles are struggling
• Miami at home

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No. 3 Penn State at Wisconsin

• Point Spread: Penn State -6.5
• Moneyline Penn State -230
• Moneyline Wisconsin +188
• Over/Under 47.5

Wisconsin will enter Camp Randall Stadium  facing one of the top five teams in the nation, at least according to the rankings. While Wisconsin has averaged 245.3 rushing yards over their three-game winning streak, none of those teams were Penn State, who allow just 3.2 yards per carry with Drew Allar being over 70% in his last four games.

Prediction: Penn State 27  Wisconsin 17

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Penn State -6.5

• Penn State will win
• Wisconsin inconsistent
• Wisconsin at home

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No. 8 LSU at No. 14 Texas A&M

• Point Spread: Texas A&M -2.5
• Moneyline LSU +118
• Moneyline Texas A&M -142
• Over/Under 53.5

Texas A&M is on a roll since their season-opening loss to Notre Dame, while Garrett Nussmeier must continue his impressive play and avoid turnovers. At the same time, Caden Durham (101 yards, three touchdowns in Week 8!) must provide running game momentum for LSU.

Prediction: LSU 27  Texas A&M 24

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet LSU +2.5

• Texas A&M tough at home
• Nussmeier to play well
• Small upset

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No. 22 SMU at Duke

• Point Spread: SMU -11.5
• Moneyline SMU -465
• Moneyline Duke +350
• Over/Under 48.5

Duke has surprised many by going 6-1 under first-year coach Manny Diaz without facing a ranked opponent yet this season, yet their struggles rushing the football (3.5 yards per game) remain underwhelming and one turnover per game. SMU averages 40.7 points per game while ranking third in the ACC with 199.6 rushing yards per game.

Prediction: SMU 41  Duke 20

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet SMU -11.5

• SMU offense is on fire
• Dukeat home

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Kansas at No. 16 Kansas State

• Point Spread: Kansas State -10.5
• Moneyline Kansas +290
• Moneyline Kansas State -375
• Over/Under 55.5

Kansas State is on a roll, winning 15 straight in this series against Kansas. But Kansas can still pull off an upset, as evidenced by their 42-14 win over Houston in Week 8. At home, however, they defeated Arizona and Oklahoma State by an average margin of 23 points each time; Avery Johnson also recently had one of his finest games ever for Kansas State while their rushing defense led the Big 12 with 83.1 yards per game allowed.

Prediction: Kansas State 34  Kansas 20

DraftKings

4.6/5

Tip: Bet Kansas State -10.5

• Avery Johnson to have a big game
• Kansas State at home

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