NCAA Football Week 10: Betting All Top 25 Games against the Spread

week one Against the spread: 8-8

Week Two Against the Spread 9-7

Week Three Against the Spread 10-5

Week Four Against the Spread 10-8

Week Five Against the Spread 12-7

Week Six Against the Spread 11-6

Week Seven Against the Spread 7-9

Week 8 Against the Spread 10-6

Week 9 Against the Spread 8-7

Overall 85-63

Week 10

San Diego State at No. 15 Boise State

• Point Spread: Boise State -23.5
• Moneyline San Diego St +1180
• Moneyline Boise State -2800
• Over/Under 56.5

Sean Lewis will face an uphill climb against Boise State as first-year coach of the Aztecs, but they have found success when taking playing games decided by one score, such as their last four matches all decided by one score. Boise State averages 166.6 rushing yards per game, which could open the way for Ashton Jeanty to have a massive night on offense; on the other side of things, they are just 1-2 against the spread as double-digit favorites so far this season; Boise State should win, but won’t cover.

Prediction: Boise State 34  San Diego State 17

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet San Diego State +23.5

• Jeanty to play well
• Boise State better team
• Boise State at home

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No. 4 Ohio State at No. 3 Penn State

• Point Spread: Ohio State -3.5
• Moneyline Ohio State -184
• Moneyline Penn State +152
• Over/Under 46.5

The Ohio State Buckeyes weren’t dominant in Week 8 against Nebraska, who has comparable defensive statistics across the board to Penn State. Allar’s status may affect his line, while Beau Pribula could play in his place. The Nittany Lions will have their hands full trying to stop Jeremiah Smith — the freshman receiver made two touchdown connections with Will Howard to defeat Nebraska last week.

Prediction: Ohio State 30  Penn State 21

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Ohio State -3.5

• Jeremiah Smith to dominate on offense
• Penn State to struggle passing
• Penn State at home

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Duke at No. 5 Miami, Fla

• Point Spread: Miami -20.5
• Moneyline Duke +800
• Moneyline Miami -1400
• Over/Under 54.5

Manny Diaz, former Hurricanes coach, has made the Blue Devils competitive all season. Miami stands out with its high-scoring offense; they also have a strong defense. Conversely, Duke ranks second in ACC scoring defense (18.6); however, against SMU, they demonstrated they have what it takes to slow a high-powered offense like SMU down. However, Miami stands apart, with Cam Ward leading their squad without making too many turnovers.

Prediction: Miami 38  Duke 17

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Miami -20.5

• Ward to have a big day
• Duke will struggle on third down
• Miami at home

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No. 19 Ole Miss at Arkansas

• Point Spread Ole Miss -7.5
• Moneyline Ole Miss -265
• Moneyline Arkansas +215
• Over/Under 53.5

Ole Miss is another tricky team in the SEC, having failed to cover as a favorite in three of its last four games despite leading FBS scoring defense (11.0 per game), Jaxson Dart being the SEC’s most efficient quarterback (183.9), Arkansas being 4-1 against the spread against as underdogs this season, and five of these teams most recent eight meetings having been decided by eight points or fewer.

Prediction: Ole Miss 24  Arkansas 16

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Ole Miss -7.5

• Dart to play well
• Ole Miss better
• Arkansas at home

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Minnesota at No. 24 Illinois

• Point Spread: Minnesota -2.5
• Moneyline Minnesota -150
• Moneyline Illinois +125
• Over/Under 45.5

Illinois is considered a underdog against Minnesota due to the Gophers impressive defense that only allows 16.5 points per game and Max Brosmer’s impressive 227.3 passing average per game with six touchdowns and no interceptions during their three-game win streak. Oregon proved a wakeup call for the Illini, yet Luke Altmyer (1,667 yards, 15 touchdowns and three interceptions in three starts this year is a near mirror image of Brosmer in terms of efficiency. Illinois have won each matchup between them so far!

Prediction: Illinois 20  Minnesota 17

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Illinois +2.5

• Illinois struggles on offense
• Altmeyer to play well
• Illinois at home

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Washington at No. 13 Indiana

• Point Spread: Indiana -6.5
• Moneyline Washington +190
• Moneyline Indiana -235
• Over/Under 50.5

This line dropped a half point due to Kurtis Rourke’s (thumb) absence. Tayven Jackson will take over under center, relying on an average 202.4 yard per game rushing attack led by Justice Ellison and Ty Son Lawson for Indiana. Meanwhile, the Huskies rank 14th in run defense while having made both time zone trips this season and are 0-2 S/U against them when making one of these.

Prediction: Indiana 38  Washington 17

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Indiana -6.5

• Indiana to run for 200 yards
• Indiana defense to play well
• Indiana at home

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No. 2 Georgia (-16) vs. Florida

• Point Spread: Georgia -16.5
• Moneyline Georgia +780
• Moneyline Florida +530
• Over/Under 52.5

That number represents the magnitude of this rivalry game. Both teams return after bye weeks, and Georgia seems poised to score yet another statement victory in the SEC – having won its previous three meetings by an average margin of 24 points per contest! Florida is not in danger of dropping any more than two touchdowns since Miami and DJ Lagway should make his presence felt against Georgia’s secondary. We expect an exciting game for about a half.

Prediction: Georgia 37  Florida 13

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Georgia -16.5

• Carson beck to have a big game
• Florida must cause turnovers
• Rivalry

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Texas Tech at No. 11 Iowa State

• Point Spread: Iowa State -14.5
• Moneyline Texas Tech +420
• Moneyline Iowa State -580
• Over/Under 56.5

Iowa State returns from their bye week looking stronger than ever, powered by a high-percentage passing attack led by Rocco Becht and an aggressive defense that leads the country in passing efficiency (88.2). Iowa State is undefeated ATS as double-digit favourites against FBS opponents this season, and Texas Tech has given up an average of 47 points per game to Baylor and TCU; yet Texas Tech won both previous meetings between these teams, one a slugfest and one in a shootout, meaning this could be close.

Prediction: Iowa State 31  Texas Tech 23

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Texas Tech +14.5

• Rocco Becht to play well
• Red Raider defense has struggled
• Iowa State at home

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No. 13 Indiana (-7) at Michigan State

• Point Spread: Indiana -7.5
• Moneyline Indiana -280
• Moneyline Michigan State +225
• Over/Under 56.5

Will Kurtis Rourke return from injury for this game? Indiana is undefeated against the spread in Big Ten play and has found success by using their high-volume running game as the key factor against Washington. Their defense has forced seven turnovers over the past two weeks. Michigan State must respond after its loss against Michigan; whether first-year coach Jonathan Smith can guide quarterback Aidan Chiles towards improved performance will be key here;if Rourke plays the Hoosiers will win.

Prediction: Indiana 34  Michigan State 20

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Indiana -7.5

• Spartans have struggled
• Turnovers will be crucial
• Michigan State at home

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No. 17 Kansas State at Houston

• Point Spread: Kansas State -12.5
• Moneyline Kansas State -600
• Moneyline Houston +430
• Over/Under 46.5

Kansas State looks on their way to winning the Big 12 championship. Avery Johnson boasts an average of 223.3 rushing yards per game on the road, and their run defense has been stellar.

Prediction: Kansas State 27  Houston 13

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Kansas State -12.5

• TKansas State will be strong on the ground
• Houston must cause turnovers
• Houston at home

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No. 10 Texas A&M at South Carolina

• Point Spread: Texas A&M -2.5
• Moneyline Texas A&M -144
• Moneyline South Carolina +120
• Over/Under 44.5

The Aggies remain undefeated in SEC play, although it remains uncertain which of Conner Weigman or Marcel Reed will start on the road against South Carolina.South Carolina should present an uphill challenge; nevertheless, nine of ten meetings against South Carolina have gone to Texas A&M’s favor regarding wins.

Prediction: South Carolina 30  Texas A&M 27

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet South Carolina +2.5

• Who will start at QB for the Aggies
• Cocks are tough
• South Carolina at home

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No. 1 Oregon at Michigan

• Point Spread: Oregon -15.5
• Moneyline Oregon -850
• Moneyline Michigan +570
• Over/Under 45.5

Oregon has covered each of the last three weeks, and a dominating victory at the Big House would be a huge statement to the rest of the Big Ten. Will Michigan be able to score against an Oregon defense that allowed just nine points in blowout wins against Purdue and Illinois. The Ducks allowed 127 passing yards per game and a 50.9% completion percentage in those games. This is a kitchen-sink game for the Wolverines, but the disparity at quarterback is too much.

Prediction: Oregon 31  Michigan 14

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Oregon -15.5

• Oregon will win
• Michigan can’t throw the ball
• Michigan at home

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Louisville at No. 11 Clemson

• Point Spread: Clemson -10.5
• Moneyline Louisville +310
• Moneyline Clemson -400
• Over/Under 60

Clemson has just returned from its bye week, during which time it averaged 45 points per game in ACC play. Clemson has become a physical team that’s tough to stop. Meanwhile, Louisville is 0-2 against the spread as an underdog this year but has won five straight close contests decided by 10 points or less and ranks 10th against run offense in the ACC; will that hold up on the road?

Prediction: Clemson 34  Louisville 20

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Clemson -10.5

• Clemson tough at home
• Cards need to force turnovers
• Clemson is just better

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Kentucky at No. 7 Tennessee

• Point Spread: Tennessee -16.5
• Moneyline Kentucky +550
• Moneyline Tennessee -820
• Over/Under 45.5

The Wildcats have suffered three consecutive losses and could use Brock Vandagriff and Gavin Wimsatt against Tennessee in this rivalry matchup. Tennessee is winless as double-digit favorites . Tennessee’s relentless running game and defense coming off of their bye week.

Prediction: Tennessee 26  Kentucky 17

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Kentucky +16.5

• Tennessee relentless on the ground
• Tennessee at home

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No. 18 Pitt at No. 20 SMU

• Point Spread: SMU -7.5
• Moneyline Pitt +240
• Moneyline SMU -300
• Over/Under 59.5

Who could have predicted this game would become such a crucial contest in the ACC race? Pitt boasts one of the top run defenses in the conference and must slow down a Mustangs 201-yard running game on the road for victory. Quarterbacks Kevin Jennings and Eli Holstein may feel extra pressure after having had poor games last week; should that trend continue, they could face defeat from Pitt outright. The Mustangs currently have nine turnovers between their last two contests; should Pitt capitalize on those miscues, they could easily defeat them.

Prediction: Pitt 28  SMU 27

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Pitt +7.5

• SMU turnover issues as of late
• SMU at home

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