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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Betting Tips / NBA Pacers vs Mavericks: Top 4 Prop Bets

NBA Pacers vs Mavericks: Top 4 Prop Bets

NBA Betting Tips ¡ - ¡

Publish Date: 10/29/2025
Fact checked by: Simon Briffa

The Western Conference spotlight turns to Dallas tonight as the Pacers visit the Mavericks in a matchup between two teams trending in opposite directions. Indiana enters the game significantly shorthanded with key guards out, while Dallas still features veteran star Anthony Davis and rising pieces looking to assert themselves. With both teams capable of scoring in bunches—though one is hampered by injuries—the player-prop market offers sharper value than the spread or total.

Anthony Davis Over 9.5 Rebounds

Davis continues to anchor the Mavericks’ frontcourt and has recorded double-digit rebounds in three of his last four games. Indiana’s injury-depleted roster means they lack depth on the interior and often surrender second-chance opportunities. Their weak guard rotation also allows more offensive rebounds from the shooting guard/small forward spots. With the Mavericks expected to push the pace and attack the glass, Davis should easily clear this number.

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Tip: Bet Anthony Davis Over 9.5 Rebounds
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  • Pacers weak inside
  • High pace game
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Cooper Flagg Over 4.5 Assists

Rookie Cooper Flagg has started showing signs of ramping up offensive involvement and playmaking in recent games. With the Mavericks missing several perimeter playmakers and relying on Flagg’s emerging drive/pass ability, the assist volume is trending upward. Indiana’s defense allows one of the higher assist rates in the league, further supporting this proposition. Expect moderation in his shot attempts but higher facilitation in this matchup.

DraftKings
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Tip: Bet “Cooper Flagg Over 4.5 Assists”
  • Rookie playmaking role growing
  • Pacers give up many assists
  • Matchup favours transitions
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Pascal Siakam Under 22.5 Points

With multiple Pacers guard options unavailable or limited, the burden of scoring falls heavily on Pascal Siakam. However, Dallas boasts size, length and defensive versatility—particularly when Davis is on the floor—that often keeps Siakam’s scoring in check. Given his recent output against teams with strong interior defenders and likely load-sharing with other Pacers forwards, the under presents value.

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Tip: Bet “Pascal Siakam Under 22.5 Points”
  • Dallas interior strength
  • Pacers guard injuries
  • Siakam role likely shared
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Max Christie Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made

Max Christie has become one of the up-and-coming shooters for Dallas, and tonight’s matchup grants him even more spacing opportunities. Indiana’s perimeter defense is severely undermanned due to injuries, allowing higher three-point volume and accuracy by opposing role shooters. Christie has attempted 5+ threes in each of his last three outings and the line of 1.5 seems modest given his volume and favorable matchup.

Caesars
Caesars
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Tip: Bet “Max Christie Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made”
  • Increased three-point role
  • Pacers vulnerable on perimeter
  • Good value line
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Conclusion

The Mavericks look to exploit the Pacers’ injury issues and depth erosion, while Indiana attempts to keep pace via their forwards and transition bursts. Davis’ rebounding chops and Christie’s perimeter shooting give the strongest edges, while Flagg’s assist line offers upside in a growing playmaking role. Siakam is a worthy fade on the scoring line given the matchup and context. Expect a fast-paced game with elevated prop-bet value across these angles.

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