On Tuesday night, the Bucks made history when they became the first team in NBA history to win a playoff game without their top two regular-season scorers. Bobby Portis and Khris Middleton both contributed 29 points in a 23-point win for Milwaukee. Even Patrick Beverley made an impactful contribution with 13 points, as he also led in assists (12).
If the Bucks want to pull off an upset and force this series into Game 7, they must show similar offensive efficiency. Given how weak Indiana’s defense has been, we could well see them explode again as soon as Game 7.
The Pacers will look to force the pace of this game to wear the older Bucks out and finish off this series. The Pacers better get this series over tonight because the Bucks have shown they are a gritty bunch that will not go out easily.
Bucks vs Pacers
Spread: Pacers -8
Moneyline Bucks +280
Moneyline Pacers -350
Over/Under 213
These odds were updated at 6 am EST on 05/02/24, coming from Draft Kings.
Our Best Pick: Pacers to Cover
Even undermanned, the Bucks have made impressive performances over these last three games despite being shorthanded. They will not go down without a fight; limiting Indiana’s offensive rebounds and wide-open threes is key defensively; these shots haven’t been an issue so far in this series.
Offensively, the Bucks have been shooting well from all areas. In all ten matchups against the Pacers — regular season and postseason combined — they’ve scored at least 109 points each time; buckets should not be an issue regardless of who plays; expect this close battle to remain even. Check out the latest
Western Conference odds
for the 2024 NBA Playoffs.
The Pacers need to rebound the ball well and being at home should help that. The first five minutes of this game will be huge as the younger Pacers will look to push the legs of the older and injured team. I look for this game to be played at a fast pace and I think the Pacers pull away in the fourth quarter to win by 10-12 points.
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Pacers to Cover
Bucks too many injuries
Haliburton to have a big night
Pacers will win
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Bucks vs Pacers Moneyline
Stay off the money line unless you think the Bucks will win. The value in this game is betting the points and not the money line. The Pacers are a definite -8 bet. If you are betting on them, a moneyline bet simply does not make much sense in this game. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the
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DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Pacers to Cover
Bucks will play hard
Pacers to push pace
Pacers at home
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Bucks vs Pacers Over/Under Analysis
The Over/Under is 213 in this game. I would hammer the over in this contest as the Pacers will try to run the Bucks into the ground. Look for both teams to score well-over 100 points each.
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Over 213
Odds favor game in the 100s
Pacers to control tempo
Pacers should win
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Bucks vs Pacers Spread Analysis
The spread is about right at -8. Under the injury circumstances the Pacers are the better team, but -8 is a lot, but honestly if I was betting the Bucks -8 is about what it would take to get me to consider betting on the Bucks in game 6.
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Pacers to Cover
Pacers will control tempo
Pacers Home Court Advanatage
Bucks injury issues
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Bucks vs Pacers Head-to-Head
The Pacers have won seven out of the ten games these teams have played this season and they even dominated the Bucks when Giannis was healthy. Of course nothing ever comes easy for a young Pacers team that plays little defense.. Check out our guide to betting on
NBA Playoff Parlays.
Injuries and Suspensions
Bucks Injury Report
Giannis- Out
Lillard- Qut
Beverley- Probable
Middleton-Probable
Pacers Injury Report
Mauthrin- Out
Haliburton- Questionable
Conclusion
The Bucks have fought valiantly while short-handed this entire series and tonight will be no different. I think this game will be close for three quarters, but the Pacers’ youth and energy will take over in the final quarter. Pick Indiana 122 Bucks 108.
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