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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Betting Tips / NBA Playoff Game 6 Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves: Odds, Tips and Predictions 5/16/24

NBA Playoff Game 6 Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves: Odds, Tips and Predictions 5/16/24

NBA Betting Tips ยท - ยท

Publish Date: 05/16/2024
Fact checked by: Simon Briffa

On Wednesday night at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma City will play host to the Dallas Mavericks in game five of their exciting series. Oklahoma City won game one but surprisingly lost game two at home and game three on the road before bouncing back to tie this series in Game 4. Oklahoma City looks to be the better team, and they are at home this s, but anything can happen as this series has proved so far!

Timberwolves vs Nuggets

  • Spread: Timberwolves -2.5
  • Moneyline Nuggets +110
  • Moneyline Timberwolves -134
  • Over/Under 213

These odds were updated at 6 am EST on 05/16/24, coming from Draft Kings.

Our Best Pick: Nuggets to Cover

Nikola Jokic took control of Game 5 during the third quarter and finished with 40 points and 13 assists on 15-of-22 shooting from the field – truly an epic performance by an NBA veteran who seems able to dominate without ever breaking stride. No other player can match him when on top like that!

if the Nuggets get that version of Jokic back, they could advance to the Western Conference Finals for a second straight season. Their offensive process was unrivaled in Game 5, when they attempted 47% of shots at the rim and converted on 73.5 of those attempts – an incredible showing in terms of conversion rate!

Defense has been one of Denver’s strongest attributes in their last few games. Minnesota averaged 95.8 points per 100 in half-court over their past three matches compared to Denver’s 80.6 average for this same time frame.

Minnesota has shown improvement during transition, averaging 135.2 points per play in this series. They should try and beat Denver down the court off live rebounds while taking advantage of any turnovers they encounter from Denver.

The Wolves must prioritize taking better care of the ball on offense, as they turned over 15.2% of their possessions in the last game. Their second-quarter performance was particularly poor, as there were nine turnovers and multiple playersโ€”such as Karl-Anthony Towns and Naz Reidโ€”got into foul trouble for offensive fouls.

I truly believe the Nuggets have dismantled the Wolves’ offense without Conley. With Towns having suffered from cramps after Game 5, their current form doesn’t possess enough offensive firepower to match up with Denver, and they may be mentally defeated due to three consecutive double-digit losses. Check out the latest Western Conference odds for the 2024 NBA Playoffs.

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Nuggets to Win
  • Rebounding will be the difference
  • Minnesota at Home
  • Jokic to dominate
20% up to $1000
Go to DraftKings

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Nuggets vs Timberwolves Moneyline

I love the Nuggets and the money line. They have the best player in the World in Jokic, and he will close this series out in an emphatic fashion. If you are looking for the best sportsbook, we’ve got you covered as we break down the best sports betting app

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Nuggets to win
  • Money line value on Nuggets
  • Denver to control the tempo
  • Nuggets to roll again
20% up to $1000
Go to DraftKings

ย 

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Over/Under Analysis

The Over/Under is 203 in this game. This is a tricky over/under, but I would lean towards the over. I expect Jokic to play out of his mind in this close out game and I think the Timberwolves will hang for most of the game. They will have no answer for Jokic.

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Over 203
  • Odds favor game in the low 100s
  • Denver to control tempo
  • Rebounding will be key
20% up to $1000
Go to DraftKings

ย 

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Spread Analysis

This point spread is way off to me, I would have the Nuggets favored by three points. I know Minnesota is at home but the Nuggets have won both games at Minnesota and they have figured out Minnesota. Great value betting on the Nuggets.

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Nuggets to Win
  • Which team controls the post
  • TWolves Home Court Advanatage
  • TWilves need to be consistent for forty minutes
20% up to $1000
Go to DraftKings

ย 

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Head-to-Head

The regular season means nothing at this point. What matters is the Nuggets have figured out the Timberwolves. Can Minnesota find an answer for what’s been happening to them? Check out our guide to betting on NBA Playoff Parlays.

Injuries and Suspensions

Nuggets Injury Report

  • Murray- Questionable
  • Cancar-Out

Timberwolves Injury Report

  • Clark- Out
  • Conley- Questionable

ย 

Conclusion

The Timberwolves need to find answers quick to respond to the Nuggets and force a game seven, Nikola Jokic is the best player in the world and even if they find answers I expect him to put the Nuggets on his back and dominate this game. Nuggets 109ย  Timberwolves 100

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