Game five returns to Boston as the 8-seed Miami Heat (46-36) take on the 1-seed Boston Celtics (64-18). Boston won both games played in Miami by comfortable margins – game three by 20 points and game four by 14. In their most recent contest, Derrick White became a key factor with 38 points while shooting 50% from both floor and three point range.
Heat vs Celtics
Spread: Celtics -14
Moneyline Heat +700
Moneyline Celtics -1100
Over/Under 199.5
These odds were updated at 6 am EST on 05/01/24, coming from Draft Kings.
Our Best Pick: Heat to Cover
Two key factors will tip this game in favor of Miami covering: Erik Spoelstra’s coaching and the fight within this Miami Heat squad will play key roles. Under Spoelstra, they have never surrendered easily under pressure, and they will give everything possible to keep this contest close. Porzingis’ injury was another key factor; his absence changed the entire dynamic for the Celtics on both ends of the floor. While averaging 12.3 PPG in playoff playbacks he averaged 20.1 points a game during regular season action.
Bam Adebayo has been Miami’s best player this series. After noting Al Horford wasn’t himself anymore, and he put up 25-17 in game 4 it helped that he was not required to deal with Porzingis on the perimeter; Adebayo can now cover more frequently for Tatum and Brown with smaller players like Caleb Martin guarding Horford at times; keeping this game closer than 14. The Heat have maintained their superior defense thus keeping this contest within 14 points apiece.. Check out the latest
Western Conference odds
for the 2024 NBA Playoffs.
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Heat to Cover
Heat too many injuries
Bam to have a big night
Celtics will win
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Heat vs Celtics Moneyline
Stay off the money line unless you think the Heat will win. They already pulled off the upset as 14 point underdogs in game two, it won’t happen again. Bet the Heat and take the points.. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the
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DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Heat to Cover
Heat will play hard
Celtics to win
Celtics at home
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Heat vs Celtics Over/Under Analysis
The Over/Under is 199.5 in this game. This is a tricky over/under, but I would lean towards the under as the game will be played at a slower pace, the Heat have to control the tempo to stay in this game.
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Over 199.5
Odds favor game in the 90s
Heat to control tempo
Celtics should win
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Heat vs Celtics Spread Analysis
The spread is about right at -14. The Celtics are the better team, and the Heat will once again be without Jimmy Butler. The Celtics are the home team, and they did lose game two under similar circumstances. Look for the Heat to cover this spread.
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Heat to Cover
Heat will control tempo
Heat Home Court Advanatage
Heat injury issues
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Heat vs Celtics Head-to-Head
No, Jimmy Butler has changed this series completely; Butler is known for playing his best in his biggest games. Even with a healthy Butler the Celtics would have won this series, it may have taken six games instead of five. Check out our guide to betting on
NBA Playoff Parlays.
Injuries and Suspensions
Heat Injury Report
Butler- Out
Jaquez- Qut
Rozier- Out
Richardson- Out
Celtics Injury Report
Porzingis- Out
Tatum- Probable
Conclusion
The Celtics will be missing a key piece to their team, the Heat will be missing more than one key piece to their team. The Heat are a well-coached tough tough-minded team that will play tough defense and control the temp on offense. In the end, the Celtics will win the game but the Heat are tough enough to cover. Celtics 99 Heat 89.
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