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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Betting Tips / NBA Playoff Game 5 Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics: Odds, Tips and Predictions 5/01/24

NBA Playoff Game 5 Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics: Odds, Tips and Predictions 5/01/24

NBA Betting Tips Β· - Β·

Publish Date: 05/01/2024
Fact checked by: Mark Lewis

Game five returns to Boston as the 8-seed Miami Heat (46-36) take on the 1-seed Boston Celtics (64-18). Boston won both games played in Miami by comfortable margins – game three by 20 points and game four by 14. In their most recent contest, Derrick White became a key factor with 38 points while shooting 50% from both floor and three point range.

Heat vs Celtics

  • Spread: Celtics -14
  • Moneyline Heat +700
  • Moneyline Celtics -1100
  • Over/Under 199.5

These odds were updated at 6 am EST on 05/01/24, coming from Draft Kings.

Our Best Pick: Heat to Cover

Two key factors will tip this game in favor of Miami covering: Erik Spoelstra’s coaching and the fight within this Miami Heat squad will play key roles. Under Spoelstra, they have never surrendered easily under pressure, and they will give everything possible to keep this contest close. Porzingis’ injury was another key factor; his absence changed the entire dynamic for the Celtics on both ends of the floor. While averaging 12.3 PPG in playoff playbacks he averaged 20.1 points a game during regular season action.

Bam Adebayo has been Miami’s best player this series. After noting Al Horford wasn’t himself anymore, and he put up 25-17 in game 4 it helped that he was not required to deal with Porzingis on the perimeter; Adebayo can now cover more frequently for Tatum and Brown with smaller players like Caleb Martin guarding Horford at times; keeping this game closer than 14. The Heat have maintained their superior defense thus keeping this contest within 14 points apiece.. Check out the latest Western Conference odds for the 2024 NBA Playoffs.

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Heat to Cover
  • Heat too many injuries
  • Bam to have a big night
  • Celtics will win
20% up to $1000
Go to DraftKings

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Heat vs Celtics Moneyline

Stay off the money line unless you think the Heat will win. They already pulled off the upset as 14 point underdogs in game two, it won’t happen again. Bet the Heat and take the points.. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the best sports betting app

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet Heat to Cover
  • Heat will play hard
  • Celtics to win
  • Celtics at home
20% up to $1000
Go to DraftKings

Β 

Heat vs Celtics Over/Under Analysis

The Over/Under is 199.5 in this game. This is a tricky over/under, but I would lean towards the under as the game will be played at a slower pace, the Heat have to control the tempo to stay in this game.

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Over 199.5
  • Odds favor game in the 90s
  • Heat to control tempo
  • Celtics should win
20% up to $1000
Go to DraftKings

Β 

Heat vs Celtics Spread Analysis

The spread is about right at -14. The Celtics are the better team, and the Heat will once again be without Jimmy Butler. The Celtics are the home team, and they did lose game two under similar circumstances. Look for the Heat to cover this spread.

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Heat to Cover
  • Heat will control tempo
  • Heat Home Court Advanatage
  • Heat injury issues
20% up to $1000
Go to DraftKings

Β 

Heat vs Celtics Head-to-Head

No, Jimmy Butler has changed this series completely; Butler is known for playing his best in his biggest games. Even with a healthy Butler the Celtics would have won this series, it may have taken six games instead of five. Check out our guide to betting on NBA Playoff Parlays.

Injuries and Suspensions

Heat Injury Report

  • Butler- Out
  • Jaquez- Qut
  • Rozier- Out
  • Richardson- Out

Celtics Injury Report

  • Porzingis- Out
  • Tatum- Probable

Β 

Conclusion

The Celtics will be missing a key piece to their team, the Heat will be missing more than one key piece to their team. The Heat are a well-coached tough tough-minded team that will play tough defense and control the temp on offense. In the end, the Celtics will win the game but the Heat are tough enough to cover. Celtics 99Β  Heat 89.

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