NBA Playoff Game 5 Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets: Odds, Tips and Predictions 4/29/24

Game 5 looks to be another exciting battle between these two teams. With the status of Nuggets star Murray up in the air, the game promises to be another tight affair. Anthony Davis has been a beast in this series and will have to have another huge game for the Lakers to extend this series.

Lakers vs Nuggets

• Spread: Nuggets -7.5
• Moneyline Lakers +245
• Moneyline Nuggets-300
• Over/Under 217

These odds were updated at 6 am EST on 04/27/24, coming from Draft Kings.

Our Best Pick: Lakers to Cover

Murray’s status will play a massive role in this game, as bench production has been Denver’s biggest unknown factor this season. They haven’t gotten much outside of Christian Braun, and his production has been inconsistent at best. When healthy, Denver doesn’t need much assistance outside their starting five; that changes when one starter goes down.

The Nuggets were 13-10 without Murray during the regular season and 8-15 against the spread (ATS). If he remains sidelined, Jackson is expected to see an uptick in usage, assist rate, effective field goal percentage, and shot quality, according to pbpstats.com. This makes him likely to start in Murray’s absence, although we might see increased minutes from Braun or any of their starters regardless.

Nikola Jokic could see increased usage without Murray on the court and could look to increase his scoring output due to increased usage and scoring opportunities. Murray’s status will be key, so we will need to closely follow any injury updates or reports before making any plays for the Denver side. Check out the latest Western Conference odds for the 2024 NBA Playoffs.

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Lakers to Cover

• Nuggets are the better team
• Murray is questionable
• Can Anthony Davis have a big game again

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Lakers vs Nuggets Moneyline

The Nuggets always seem to win when they play the Lakers, but with Murray out, an underdog bet on the Lakers looks better than expected. If you wait to see if Murray will play that will let you know whether to make a moneyline bet on the Lakers. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the best sports betting app

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Lakers to Cover

• Davis to have a Big Night
• Lakers will keep it close
• Will Murray play

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Lakers vs Nuggets Over/Under Analysis

The Over/Under is 217 in this game. The first three out of four games in this series have went under and this game should be more of the same, especially if Murray doesn’t play.

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet the Under 217

• Odds favor game in the 90s
• Nuggets to control tempo
• Nuggets should win

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Lakers vs Nuggets Spread Analysis

The spread is too big at -7.5. The Nuggets are the better team but most of the games in this series have been tightly contested so far and with Murray’s status for game five up in the air the spread should be more in the -5 to -6 range.

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet the Nuggets to Cover

• Nuggets will control tempo
• Nuggets Home Court Advanatage
• Big night for the Nuggets

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Lakers vs Nuggets Head-to-Head

The Nuggets have dominated the last 12 games between these two teams winning the last eleven. Check out our guide to betting on NBA Playoff Parlays.

Injuries and Suspensions

Lakers Injury Report

• James- probable
• Davis- Questionable

Nuggets Injury Report

• Murray- Questionable

Conclusion

The Lakers have played the Nuggets tough in this series, and with Nuggets star Murray a game-time decision, a +7.5 spread beat on the Lakers seems like the right play in this one. I stillexpect Jokic to dominte the game, but the Lakers will hang close. Prediction Nuggets 108  Lakers 103