Game four between the 1-seed Boston Celtics (64-18) and 8-seed Miami Heat (46-36) will take place Monday evening at the Kaseya Center in Miami at 7:30 EST, with Boston holding a 2-1 advantage in this best-of-seven series. After dominating Game 1 104-84 as favorites and easily covering its 9.5-point spread, Jayson Tatum scored 22 points while Jaylen Brown added 21. Boston is listed as 10.5-point favorites heading into this contest; tipoff time for that game will begin around 7:30 EST from Kaseya Center Miami at 7:30 EST.
- Spread: Celtics -10.5
- Moneyline Celtics -500
- Moneyline Heat +380
- Over/Under 203.5
These odds were updated at 9 pm EST on 04/27/24, coming from Draft Kings.
Our Best Pick: Celtics to Cover
The Celtics will take control of the series in Game Four with a big win. Miami only showed signs of life in Game Two, and this is because they made 23 threes while shooting over 50% from downtown. This will not be repeated, as the Heat shot only 37.0% from deep on the season. The Celtics are far more likely to put up big numbers from three; they are averaging 15.0 made threes in the playoffs, which leads the NBA. All five of the Boston starters can shoot from a distance, allowing them to space the floor for driving lanes for Tatum and Brown.
Boston has already covered 14.5 and 9.5-point spreads against the Heat in this series, so covering 10.5 will not be a problem for them. Miami lacks talent with Butler and Rozier out, and they cannot keep up scoring with Boston if they continue to start Jovic, Jaquez, and Martin. Miami has few options, while Boston is at full strength and set on their eight-man rotation. Take the Celtics to win big in Game Four. Check out the latest
Western Conference odds
for the 2024 NBA Playoffs.
Tip: Bet Celtics to Cover
- Celtics are the better team
-
Game 2 was a fluke
- Celtics can shoot from three
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Celtics vs Heat Moneyline
The Celtics will win this game, but the best way to bet is to give the -10.5. The odds on a money line when are not good enough to justify that kind of bet. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the
best sports betting app
Tip: Bet Celtics to Cover
-
Tatum to have a Big Night
-
Celtics to dominate
-
Heat are not consistent
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Celtics vs Heat Over/Under Analysis
The Over/Under is 217 in this game. The offenses should dominate, and I recommend betting the over. The Heat will be desperate and hang in for three quarters, but the Celtics talent will overwhelm them in the fourth quarter. The Celtics are just better and tougher.
- Odds favor game in low 100s
-
Look for an Offensive explosion
- Celtics will win
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Celtics vs Heat Spread Analysis
The spread is right; the Celtics are the better team and will pull away in the fourth quarter. The Celtics are superior and the game 2 Heat win was a fluke as the Heat do not shoot the ball well.
Tip: Bet the Celtics to Cover
- Celtics will control tempo
-
Heat Home Court Advanatage
-
Big night for the Celtics
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Celtics vs Heat Head-to-Head
The Celtics have dominated the Heat during this series except for game 2 when the Heat shot out of their mind in game 2. That is highly unlikely to happen again. The Celtics have every advantage in this matchup and should finish this series in five games. Check out our guide to betting on
NBA Playoff Parlays.
Injuries and Suspensions
Celtics Injury Report
Heat Injury Report
- Butler- Out
- Richardson- Qut
- Rozier- Out
- Wright- Probable
Conclusion
The Celtics are at full-strength while the Heat will likely miss three important pieces. Even with those pieces the Heat would be underdogs, without them the Heat look to be closing out their season in the next two games. Pick: Celtics 109 Heat 97.
