NBA Playoff Game 4 Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers: Odds, Tips and Predictions 05/27/24

Is this the end for the Indiana Pacers? The Pacers could easily be up two games to one in this series, but they have fallen apart in two of the three games. In game three, they blew an eighteen-point lead, and now the series looks to be over. Tyrese Haliburton will probably miss game four, and it’s hard to imagine the Pacers being able to match what they did in game three to extend this series back to Boston.

The Celtics have struggled in this series but always seem to find a way to pull it out. Will the Pacers have anything left after a heartbreaking loss in game three? Will the Celtics finally put together a complete 48-minute game?

Celtics vs Pacers

• Spread: Celtics -8
• Moneyline Pacers +250
• Moneyline Celtics -310
• Over/Under 222.5

These odds were updated at 6 am EST on 05/27/24, coming from Draft Kings.

Our Best Pick: Celtics to Cover

Game 3 was a devastating loss for the Pacers.

Now that Haliburton is out, their shooting performance won’t matter much as the Celtics outmatched them too effectively in 3-point attempts with 49% and only making 21% from distance; also shooting only 16-of-43 (37%). As for 3-point attempts from distance from Pacers (4-20), that efficiency could offset their subpar 3-point performance by their superior efficiency on 2-point attempts.

Offensively, the Pacers attempted 46% of their shots from mid-range and only 32% at the rim. On top of outlier shooting from 2s by the Pacers, I don’t anticipate that same level of effort from Boston; even if they play without urgency most of the game again, they have already shown they can beat this opponent without playing at 100% capacity.

The Pacers need to find ways to increase 3s and rim attempts without Haliburton present, yet that seems unlikely to occur.

On the other side of the court, Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown appear able to get to the rim regardless of who defends them; unfortunately, the Pacers don’t possess enough defensive personnel at their disposal at the moment to keep the ball in front of them and prevent rotations.

The Celtics outscored the Pacers with an incredible 77% rim and 3-rate as opposed to just 54% from them, leading them down a dangerous path of offense in 2024 NBA basketball.

As long as Boston avoids getting bogged down in isolation plays, I anticipate them continuing their dominance of this Pacers defense. They have averaged 124.3 PPG since Game 1, while not shooting particularly well from 3-point range. As long as this situation continues to favor them, expect their scoring power to continue rising here. Check out the latest Western Conference odds for the 2024 NBA Playoffs.

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet the Celtics to Cover

• Rebounding will be the key
• Pacers at Home
• Haliburton questionable

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Pacers vs Celtics Moneyline

The Pacers on the moneyline is a great value pick. the problem is I don’t see them winning this game, unless Haliburton plays and even if he did he would not be healthy enough to make a dufference. There is no value in the Celtic’s money line. If you are looking for the best sportsbook, we’ve got you covered as we break down the best sports betting app

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet Celtics to Cover

• Money line value on Pacers
• Haliburton status?
• Tatum to have a big game

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Pacers vs Celtics Over/Under Analysis

The Over/Under is 222.5 in this game. This is tricky over/under, but I would lean towards the over. I expect the Pacers to score points even without Haliburton, but without him, the Celtics will score even more.

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet the Over 225

• Odds favor game in the 100s
• Game will be played at a fast pace
• Rebounding will be key

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Pacers vs Celtics Spread Analysis

The Pacers are dangerous because they are capable of scoring a lot of points quickly, which makes them a dangerous team. As I have repeatedly said Haliburton is the key. If he plays the spread is slightly too big, if he doesn’t play it should be even bigger. I don’t think he plays so value does exist in the Celtics -8.

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Bet the Celtics to Cover

• Which team controls the post
• Celtics are more experienced
• Pacers need to shoot lights out

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Pacers vs Celtics Head-to-Head

The Celtics won all the regular-season games between these two teams. Of course, that means nothing come playoff time, but the Celtics matchup well against the Pacers and have won all three in this series so far. Check out our guide to betting on NBA Playoff Parlays.

Injuries and Suspensions

Pacers Injury Report

• Haliburton- Out

Celtics Injury Report

• Porzingis- Out
• Kornett- Doubtful

Conclusion

I am assuming that Haliburton will not play, and if he doesn’t the Pacers will be dead in the water. they will fight hard but this series and the way they have lost two of the three games has to take a toll at some point. Celtics 121  Pacers 109.