Oklahoma City’s Thunder were dominant in their 117-95 win against Dallas Mavericks in Game 1 of the Western Conference semifinals, showing no sign of fatigue after nearly an entire week without playing basketball.
As opposed to this trend, the Mavericks appeared as though they had returned from an extended absence after recent series against the Clippers. If you were an ardent Mavericks supporter, chances are good you saw enough warning signs to keep you awake at night.
- Spread: Thunder -5
- Moneyline Mavs +168
- Moneyline Thunder -200
- Over/Under 218.5
These odds were updated at 6 am EST on 05/08/24, coming from Draft Kings.
Our Best Pick: Thunder to Cover
After dominating in game one, Oklahoma City appears poised for another easy victory in game two of this series. Their defense has been one of Dallas’ weak points recently and that showed when they struggled shooting the ball. That shouldn’t change anytime soon either – Oklahoma City also boasts one of the greatest three-point shooting advantages and homecourt advantage among NBA teams; these factors give Oklahoma City confidence they will come out on top this time around. They have covered the spread twice against Dallas since December (in four straight overall games and eight of nine total), so expect them to continue winning this one as well! Check out the latest
Western Conference odds
for the 2024 NBA Playoffs.
Tip: Bet Thunder to Cover
- Thunder tough to beat at Home
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Thunder defense will be the difference
- Mavericks have to win on the Glass
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Mavs vs Thunder Moneyline
Stay off the money line unless you think the Mavericks will win. If you are betting Thunder it makes more sense to give the points as the money line value is not there.To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the
best sports betting app
Tip: Bet Thunder to Cover
-
No Money line value on the Thunder
-
Money line value for the Mavs
-
Thunder will win at home
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Mavs vs Thunder Over/Under Analysis
The Over/Under in this game is 218.5. This is a tricky over/under, but I would lean towards the over. I expect the Thunder to control the tempo again, the Thunder will shoot the ball well again, and this will be an old-fashioned barn-burner, until the fourth quarter when the Thunder will pull away.
- Odds favor game in the 100s
-
Thunder to control tempo
- Thunder to control the boards
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Mavs vs Thunder Spread Analysis
I think this line is still a little low at -5. I probably would have set this line at -6 to -7 points, which is why I am betting on the Thunder, the Thunder are almost unbeatable at home and they feed off the crowds energy.
Tip: Bet the Thunder to Cover
- Thunder will control tempo
-
Thunder Home Court Advanatage
-
Thunder are the better team
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Mavs vs Thunder Head-to-Head
The Thunder won three out of the four regular season matchups between these teams and they won game one of this playoff series. All of the games have been high-scoring and the Thunder look like clearly the better team. Check out our guide to betting on
NBA Playoff Parlays.
Injuries and Suspensions
Mavs Injury Report
- Kleber- Out
- Prosper- Out
- Doncic- Questionable
Thunder Injury Report
Conclusion
The Thunder are at home and they have the better team. this is a no brainer especially if Luka is not on top of his ggame. i expect Luka to bounce back and this will be a great game until the fourth quarter when the Thunder slowly pull away. Thunder 122 Mavs 112.
