This matchup is being made even more intriguing because we aren’t even sure, due to injuries, who will play for either of these teams; the teams split their four games during the Regular season. Alex Caruso for the Bulls and Jimmy Butler for the Heat are both questionable and while the Bulls may survive without Caruso, they Heat may be done without Jimmy Butler.
Odds Bulls vs Heat
Spread: Heat -1.5
Moneyline Bulls +108
Moneyline Heat -124
Over/Under 208
These odds were updated at 9 am EST on 04/18/24, coming from Draft Kings.
Our Best Pick: Bulls to Cover
Motivation can go a long way, and the Bulls certainly possess it coming into this Play-In Final game against the Miami Heat. Last season’s Play-In Tournament saw the Heat end the Bulls season. The Bulls appear motivated and ready to return to South Beach this season. However, any potential loss of Butler for the Heat would be far more consequential than losing Caruso; though Caruso has been an outstanding distributor and reliable defender, Butler is the centerpiece of their squad. Check out the best
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Last season, Butler nearly carried the Heat to an NBA title, and his ability to isolate greatly hurt the Bulls role players. If Butler is unavailable, Bam Adebayo averaged 22 points per game against them this season – this figure should provide them with enough cushion. DeRozan and White have proven their worth on offense this season against Miami; DeRozan averaged 22 points per game against them and will certainly benefit if Butler is unavailable to defend him.
White averaged 20 points against Miami last season and will either be covered by Terry Rozier (who missed Sunday’s Sixers game with a sore neck) or potentially Herro, an offensive liability. Without Caruso on defense Chicago would be vulnerable against an offensively efficient team like Miami; they do not play to that level without Butler either; thus Chicago has an opportunity to avenge their loss from last year and move on to face the Celtics this weekend. If you are a Bulls fan, or even just a fan of the NBA make sure you check out our list of the
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DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Bulls to Cover
DeRozan will be the difference
Bulls have been playing well
No answers for DeRozan
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Bulls vs Heat Moneyline
As of right now, if Jimmy Butler plays, I would side with the Heat, but I think he will play but be limited; in that case, I am taking the Bulls as road underdogs. The key to betting this money line is finding the best odds for the bet you want to place. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the
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Tip: Bet Bulls to Win
Bulls are experienced
Bulls are well-coached
Bulls are playing better
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Bulls vs Heat Over/Under Analysis
Due to Jimmy Butler’s likely absence, the Miami Heat will find securing a victory more difficult than expected, increasing the Chicago Bull’s chances. While it is difficult to predict which team may emerge victorious in this matchup, our prediction suggests that points might not exceed their allocated limit in this encounter due to both teams lacking offensive talent.
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet the Under 208
Odds favor Low-Scoring game
Jimmy Butler is questionable
White to have a big night
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Bulls vs Heat Spread Analysis
The spread includes a guess, if Butler was for sure playing I think the line would be a -4 or -5. So we are playing a guessing game right now, and if I had to guess, I would err on the side of Butler plays but will not be 100 per cent.
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Bulls to Win
Bulls will control the tempo
Heat at home
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Bulls vs Heat Head-to-Head
These two teams split their four regular season games, and three of the four games hit on the over, with the absence of Jimmy Butler looking for a lower-scoring game.
Injuries and Suspensions
Heat Injury Report
Rozier- Qut
Richardson-Qut
Butler- Quest
Bulls Injury Report
Dosunmu- Quest
Bitim- Out
Drummond- Ouest
Caruso- Quest
Conclusion
It looks unlikely that Butler will play, which will cause significant trouble for the Miami Heat. These teams split the season-series, but no, Butler makes me lean towards the Bulls to not just cover but win this game. If Butler is deemed healthy take the Bulls and the points, if Butler doesn’t play take the Bulls on the money line.
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