This past Sunday Ross Chastain picked up his second win of the season at Talladega with an exciting last-lap finish. Much like Kyle Busch the week prior Chastain won by avoiding the inevitable mayhem on the last lap that comes with racing at superspeedways and was in the right position to win at the right time. This week Nascar’s top circuit heads to the Monster Mile at Dover Motor Speedway, a track that has one of the richest histories in Nascar. For this week’s Top 5 best bets I will look for drivers who typically run well at Dover and intermediate-length tracks. One thing to watch for this week is tire wear, the track surface at Dover is concrete and we have not seen how these new tires will react to it when they heat up. Don’t forget to join Steve Risley, Joe Spilman, and Ryan Peters on The Grueling Truth Nascar Show Wednesdays at 7 pm as they recap all the action from the previous week and give you their top picks for the next race. You can Find the Grueling truth on Facebook, YouTube, Twitch, Google Podcast, and I Heart radio, Find the best bookmakers for betting on the races!
Kyle Larson is the favorite for this week’s race at Dover. In Larson’s last three races at Dover, he has one win, a second-place finish, and a third-place finish. Larson has raced at Dover thirteen times in his career and has finished with at least a top 10 finish nine times with six of those being a Top 5 finish with one win in 2019. Larson is +400 to win, +130 to finish in the top 2, and -165 to finish in the top 5.
Kevin Harvick historically runs well at intermediate tracks. Of the last six Nascar Cup races at Dover, Harvick has four top 5 finishes with one win. Harvick is still looking for his first win in 2022 and this week may be one of Harvick’s best chances to lock himself into the postseason. Harvick is +1200 to win, +340 to finish in the top 3, and +125 to finish in the top 5.
Chase Elliott has 11 cup series starts at Dover and out of those 11 races he has finished with eight top 5’s and one win. Elliott is also still looking for his first win of 2022, and even though he has turned in some strong performances and is leading in the point standings there is still a possibility he could miss the playoffs without a win. I look for Elliott and his team to do everything they can to get him into victory lane this weekend. Elliot is +900 to win, +250 to finish in the top 3, and -110 to finish in the top 5. Check out the top sports betting sites!
Martin Truex Jr. won last year’s race at Dover and historically runs well at the Monster Mile. He has competed in 31 cup events at Dover taking home three wins, nine top 5’s, and 18 top 10’s. If Truex Jr can stay out of trouble during the race I would expect to see him in contention when the checkered flag waves. Truex Jr. is +1200 to win, +340 to finish in the top 3, and +125 to finish in the top 5.
Alex Bowman has one win and four top 5 finishes at Dover in his last five races there. Bowman has had an excellent 2022 season thus far and has already locked himself into the playoffs with a win at Las Vegas. I don’t look for Bowman to run an aggressive race this weekend which may keep him out of victory lane, however, I look for him to be in contention at the end of the race finishing in the top 5. Bowman is +1000 to win, +280 to finish in the top 3, and +110 to finish in the top 5.