Publish Date: 06/18/2022
Fact checked by: Simon Briffa
Josh Emmett will be taking on Calvin Kattar in the Octagon for UFC Fight Night’s main event.
Let’s take an in-depth look at the performances of both fighters ahead of Saturday’s fight in Austin Texas. Check out the best bookmakers for betting on UFC!
Calvin Kattar, “The Boston Finisher”, averages 5.19 strikes per minute at 41% accuracy and 7.64 defense.
Calvin Kattar has an average of 0.51 takedowns per 15 minutes on the ground. This is a 29% success rate. Calvin Kattar’s defense has an 89% takedown defense.
Kattar’s striking defense seems to be much better than the statistics suggest. It is hard to forget about the battle Kattar had against Max Holloway, a former champion who gave a stunning display.
Will Emmett be capable of replicating that technical plan?
Josh Emmett averages 4.28 hits per minute and a 39% accuracy in striking.
On defense, Josh Emmitt absorbs 4.1 strikes per minute at 62% defense.
Josh Emmett tries an average of 1.25 takedowns per 15 minutes. This is a 47% success rate and a 58% defense.
We got a decent underdog price for Calvin Kattar’s last fight against Giga Chukadze after the war and a one-sided fight with Max Holloway. The line for Kattar is now a little higher this time, but Kattar was able to bounce back and showed off his striking abilities. Josh Emmett has impressive wins over Shane Burgos and Dan Ige. Emmett is 37 years old and this could be his last chance to win a title shot.
It is worth noting that the fight is a main event of 5 rounds and Emmett has never been beyond round 3 in UFC. This is important because we’ve seen Kattar fight for 5 rounds, and it was almost impossible to stop. Kattar has never lost by TKO.
How will Josh Emmett fare going into the championship rounds. Here, I favor Kattar’s cardio. If it lasts that much, I believe he will win rounds 4 and 5. It’s expected to be decided due to the odds of the total rounds favoring the over-4.5.
Kattar will likely be the technical striker, with Emmett the brawler who is willing to trade shots. Josh Emmett should be careful not get too excited throwing big strikes and then have nothing left to fight the second half.
The current line (Calvin Kattar-233) is currently priced at about the right price.
I believe Kattar will win this fight.
But, Emmett’s tendency to throw big punches makes it difficult to predict if the fight will last 5 rounds. TKO’s Kattar is priced at +190. This is also about right.
Here’s my top pick if you don’t want to be fancy but want to keep it safe.