LFA 242: Lozej vs. Bittencourt Prediction, Betting Odds & Prop Bets

Date: Friday, September 18, 2026 Main Card: 9:00 PM ET Location: Mystic Lake Casino Hotel, Prior Lake, Minnesota TV: VICE TV Main Event: Devon Lozej vs. Davi Bittencourt Costa — Flyweight

Legacy Fighting Alliance returns to Mystic Lake Casino Hotel with an important flyweight showdown between former LFA title challenger Devon “The Dream” Lozej and Brazilian Dana White’s Contender Series veteran Davi Bittencourt Costa. LFA confirms the main card begins at 9:00 PM ET on VICE TV.

Lozej vs. Bittencourt Betting Odds

Devon Lozej: Approximately -140 to -162Davi Bittencourt: Approximately +100 to +140

Lozej enters as the betting favorite, although the market remains competitive enough to reflect Bittencourt’s experience and finishing ability.

Lozej vs. Bittencourt Fight Preview

Lozej enters at 9-3 after one of the strongest performances of his career. In April, he stopped previously 11-1 Ernesto Ibarra with punches in the second round at LFA 231, improving his record and putting himself back into the flyweight championship discussion.

The 33-year-old Canadian has recorded four knockouts, two submissions and three decision victories. At 5-foot-8, Lozej also possesses a noticeable size advantage over the 5-foot-5 Bittencourt.

Bittencourt brings considerably more professional experience.

The Brazilian enters at 16-4, with six knockouts and seven submissions among his victories. Thirteen of his 16 wins have therefore come inside the distance, demonstrating that he is dangerous both standing and on the ground.

His résumé also contains an important LFA connection. The promotion notes that Bittencourt owns victories over both Eduardo Chapolin and Marcos Degli, fighters LFA identifies as its current flyweight champions. He also competed on Dana White’s Contender Series in 2023.

The matchup should revolve around Lozej’s size and striking against Bittencourt’s experience and submission threat.

Lozej should try to maintain distance, use his longer frame and force Bittencourt to cross open space before attacking. His left hook has become particularly dangerous; it hurt Ibarra twice in their April fight before Lozej finished the second sequence with ground strikes.

Bittencourt cannot afford to remain at the end of Lozej’s punches.

His best opportunities may come by closing distance, forcing scrambles and attacking the back. Seven career submission victories—including multiple rear-naked chokes—show how dangerous he becomes when opponents expose their neck while attempting to stand.

Lozej has never been submitted professionally, however. His three defeats have come by one knockout and two decisions, which suggests Bittencourt may have to work considerably harder than usual to create a grappling finish.

Top 4 Betting Angles

Prop Bet #1: Devon Lozej Moneyline

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Devon Lozej Moneyline

• Size Advantage
• Recent TKO
• Home-Venue Experience

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Lozej is the strongest overall selection. He is coming off a second-round stoppage at this same venue and should hold advantages in height, reach and long-range striking.

At approximately -140 to -162, the price remains more reasonable than many favorites on regional MMA cards.

Prop Bet #2: Fight Does Not Go the Distance

FanDuel

4.6/5

Tip: Fight Does Not Go the Distance

• Combined Finishing Ability
• Aggressive Styles
• Submission Threat

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Both fighters are proven finishers.

Lozej has finished six of nine victories, while Bittencourt has finished 13 of 16. Bittencourt has also never lost by decision; all four defeats have ended by knockout or submission.

Prop Bet #3: Devon Lozej by KO/TKO

Caesars

4.4/5

Tip: Lozej by KO/TKO

• Recent Finishing Form
• Reach Advantage
• Counter Left Hook

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Lozej’s recent victory over Ibarra demonstrated his ability to punish aggressive opponents with the left hook.

Bittencourt has suffered two knockout losses, so Lozej’s striking represents a legitimate finishing threat.

Prop Bet #4: Davi Bittencourt by Submission

BetMGM

4.5/5

Tip: Bittencourt by Submission

• Seven Career Submissions
• Grappling Experience
• Underdog Value

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Bittencourt by submission is the strongest long-shot alternative.

Seven of his victories have come by submission, including several rear-naked chokes. If he can force Lozej into extended scrambles, the Brazilian has the experience to capitalize.

Keys to Victory

Devon Lozej

• Use his height and reach.
• Establish the jab and left hook.
• Keep Bittencourt outside.
• Avoid unnecessary scrambles.
• Punish aggressive entries.
• Make Bittencourt absorb damage before reaching grappling range.

Davi Bittencourt

• Close distance quickly.
• Avoid prolonged exchanges at Lozej’s preferred range.
• Mix takedowns with striking.
• Force scrambles along the cage.
• Attack the back when Lozej stands.
• Make the fight physical from the opening round.

Fighters to Watch

Devon Lozej: The former LFA title challenger attempts to build on his impressive knockout of Ernesto Ibarra.

Davi Bittencourt: The DWCS veteran brings 20 professional fights and victories over two fighters identified by LFA as current flyweight champions.

Shuya Kamikubo: The 16-3-1 Japanese bantamweight brings 20 professional fights and six submission victories into the updated co-main event.

Marcos Breno: Current listings show the Brazilian replacing Daniiar Toichubek Uulu against Kamikubo in the co-main event.

Steve Collins: The unbeaten lightweight enters at 7-0 against Kevin Carrier.

The Verdict

Prediction: Devon Lozej by Second-Round TKO

Best Bet: Devon Lozej Moneyline

Best Supporting Prop: Fight Does Not Go the Distance

Best Method-of-Victory Bet: Devon Lozej by KO/TKO

Long-Shot Bet: Davi Bittencourt by Submission

Bittencourt’s experience and submission ability make this a dangerous matchup, particularly if Lozej becomes careless during grappling exchanges.

But Lozej’s size, improving striking and recent finishing form should make the difference.

Expect Bittencourt to aggressively close distance during the opening round while Lozej uses his jab and movement to establish range.

As Bittencourt becomes increasingly willing to rush forward, Lozej should begin finding opportunities with the same left hook that caused Ibarra significant problems.

The decisive moment arrives during Round 2.

Bittencourt moves forward looking to initiate another exchange, Lozej lands a clean counter and forces the Brazilian backward. Lozej follows with punches and finishes with ground strikes.

Devon Lozej wins by second-round TKO and strengthens his case for another opportunity at the LFA Flyweight Championship.