Here’s a detailed betting preview for the (July 4, 2025) matchup between the Cincinnati Reds @ Philadelphia Phillies:
Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies
Run Line: Phillies -1.5
Moneyline Reds +132
Moneyline Phillies -156
Over/Under 8.5
These odds were updated at 9 am EST on 07/04/25, coming from DraftKings. Check out the
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🔍 Why the Market Leans Phillies
Home and Heavy Favorites
Philadelphia is 32‑10 (76%) straight-up when favored at –156 or shorter, including 44‑23 this season overall when favored.
Reds as Resilient Underdogs
Cincinnati is 8‑8 ATS as +132+ chalk and has won 26 of 49 games as an underdog (~53%).
Recent Trends
Phillies have gone 7‑3 ATS in their past 10; Reds are 6‑4 ATS .
🧠 Keys to Watch
Starting Pitchers: Though not specified, Phillies likely give the nod to Jesus Luzardo (7–4, ~4.0 ERA) vs. Reds’ Andrew Abbott (7–1, ~1.8 ERA) —Abbott’s hot form could make a difference.
Power Matchup:
Phillies: Kyle Schwarber leads the club with 26 HR and 58 RBI; Alec Bohm is on a five-game hit streak; Trea Turner solid but in a slight slump.
Reds: Elly De La Cruz paces team with 18 HR and 58 RBI; TJ Friedl batting .281; steady contributions from Spencer Steer and Gavin Lux.
Total Run Expectation: Season data shows Phillies games rarely go over (36 of 87), Reds around half (37 of 85) Yet combined, both have seen fluctuations—key is whether Abbott can contain Philly’s bats late.
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