Hereâs tonightâs matchup details, followed by an in-depth betting preview:
Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets
Run Line: Braves -1.5
Moneyline Braves -132
Moneyline Mets +112
Over/Under 8.5
These odds were updated at 9 am EST on 06/23/25, coming from DraftKings. Check out the
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đ Probable Pitchers & Matchup
đ Spencer Schwellenbach (Atl, RHP)
Season:
5â4, 3.26 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 92âŻK over 96.2âŻIP
Strong history vs Mets:
1.93 ERA in 28 career innings, allowing just 9 runs
Throws 96.5âŻmph fastball (94th percentile)
As a favorite ML: 8â5 (61.5%) and ATS: 6â7 this season
Paul Blackburn (NYM, RHP)
Season:
0â1, 6.92 ERA, 1.69 WHIP, 8âŻK in 13âŻIP
Rough start: allowed 4âŻER in just 3.2âŻIP vs Brewers
Career: 4.89 ERA, 1.415 WHIP
Edge: Braves clearly favored in this matchup.
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âïž Team Trends & Analytics
Atlanta Braves
Road record: 13â26, but won 3 of last 4 series
Last 8 games vs Mets: 7â1 SU
Total UNDER in 5 of last 7 games on road vs Mets, and 4 of last 5 overall on the road
New York Mets
At Citi Field: 27â10 (home)
Recent skid: 1â8 SU in last 9 games, and 3 straight home losses
Over has hit in 6 of last 9 games overall; Mets have an Over record of just 29-44-2 this year
Head-to-Head
Braves currently lead regular-season series 4â0
Braves have dominated recent pitching matchups with Schwellenbach vs Mets starters
Braves vs Mets Moneyline
This is a 50/50 game but the Braves have a slight matchup advantage on the mound.
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Braves ML
High Scoring game
Starting Pitchers advantage for the Braves
Mets at home
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Braves vs Mets Over/Under Analysis
The starting pitching will struggle for both teams tonight, bet the over.
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet the Over 8.5
Both starting pitchers will struggle
I Expect a high-scoring game
Bullpen will be key
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Conclusion
I loke the Braves in this game, they have a significant starting pitching advantage and should jump out to a quick early lead.
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