This series looked over as the Florida Panthers dominated the first three games, and the only question was whether they would sweep. Fast-forward a week, and the Edmonton Oilers have risen from the ashes to force a climatic Game 7 in Florida.
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Oilers vs Panthers
Run Line: Panthers -1.5
Moneyline Oilers -106
Moneyline Panthers -113
Over/Under 5.5
These odds were updated at 6 am EST on 06/23/24, coming from Draft Kings.
Our Best Pick: Bet the Over 5.5
Edmonton Oilers games have become more open in recent games, but I expect the Florida Panthers’ home advantage in Game 7 to tighten things back up, and I expect there will be fewer goals before the third period than there were in Game 6. Game 6 had a potential under 5.5 goal total until two empty-net goals by Edmonton gave a 5-1 result; that could potentially occur again, but my expectation os that it’s not likely.
Game 7s of any series bring an exhilarating rush. We have seen three Game 7s so far this postseason, with 11 goals scored between them: Boston defeated Toronto in overtime 2-1, Dallas edged Vegas 2-1, and Edmonton upset Vancouver 3-2. In Game 7, both sides are forced to limit risks by making safe plays with the puck, tightening things up as risks become less likely.
Sixteen out of seventeen Stanley Cup Final Game 7s since 1950 have produced five or fewer goals; an exception being when Detroit Red Wings beat New York Rangers 4-3 in double overtime.
Over the past 15 years: Blues defeated Bruins 4-1 in 2019, Bruins defeated Canucks 4-0 in 2011, and Penguins edged Red Wings 2-1. Even Edmonton made it into Game 7 but lost to Carolina Hurricanes and under six goals were scored.
History alone won’t tell the full tale; therefore we should also examine recent stats to back our prediction up. For instance, in Game 5 and 6 the Panthers enjoyed expected goal advantages of 2.68 to 0.76 at 5-on-5 play with an expected goals difference between them of between 1.39 to 0.96; therefore we anticipate seeing similar performance in Game 7. An Under 4.5 or even Under 3.5 bet would likely do best as an option in this one-game betting series.
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Over 5.5
Expect a tight game
Panthers at home
YOilers have won three in a row
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Oilers vs Panthers Moneyline
There is great moneyline value on both teams as the odds have made this game almost a pick’em. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the
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DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Oilers to Win
Oilers special teams have been special
Panthers at home
Oilers playing well
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Oilers vs Panthers Over/Under Analysis
The Over/Under in this game is 5.5. This is not a tricky over/under, I will hammer the Under.
DraftKings
4.5/5
Tip: Bet the Under 8.5
Odds favor Lower scoring game
Pitching should be good for both teams
Yankees should win
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Oilers vs Panthers Head-to-Head
The Panthers won the first three games of this series, but then the roles reversed, and the Oilers won the next three to force a game 7.
Conclusion
I have to go with the hotter team and right now that is Edmonton I expect a close low-scoring game and the Oilers will pull it out in the end. Oilers 3 Panthers 2
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