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The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Betting Tips / NHL Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers

NHL Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers: Odds, Tips and Predictions 04-07-25

Hockey Betting Tips · - ·

Publish Date: 04/07/2025
Fact checked by: Simon Briffa

The Tampa Bay Lightning (44-26-6) are set to face the New York Rangers (36-33-7) tonight at Madison Square Garden. The Lightning, currently second in the Atlantic Division, have secured a playoff spot but are aiming to close the four-point gap behind the division-leading Toronto Maple Leafs. The Rangers, positioned fourth in the Metropolitan Division, are six points behind the final Wild Card spot in the Eastern Conference, making this game crucial for their postseason aspirations.​

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers

  • Puck Line: Tampa Bay -1.5
  • Moneyline Rangers +120
  • Moneyline Lightning -140
  • Over/Under 6

The Lightning have experienced a slight downturn, losing their last two games, including a 3-2 shootout defeat to the Buffalo Sabres. Their offense, ranking second in the NHL with an average of 3.54 goals per game, has been uncharacteristically quiet, tallying only three goals over these two losses. ​

The Rangers are coming off a 4-0 loss to the New Jersey Devils, which snapped a two-game winning streak. Their offense has been inconsistent, and their defense has allowed four or more goals in three of their last four games.

Lightning vs Rangers Moneyline

Moneyline value exists for a MoneyLine bet on both teams, but the Lightning are the better team at this time and will win this game, and the best bet is a ML bet on Tampa, that bet gets you the best line possible. To find the best line, you need accounts with multiple sportsbooks, and we got you covered as we break down the best sports betting app

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet Lightning ML –
  • Lightning are playing better
  • Control the neutral zone
  • Rangers at Home
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Key Players to Watch:

  • Tampa Bay Lightning:

    • Nikita Kucherov: Leads the team with 78 assists and 111 points, and has taken 251 shots this season. ​

    • Brayden Point: Top goal-scorer with 39 goals and a shooting percentage of 21.8%. ​

    • Brandon Hagel: Contributed 34 goals and 48 assists, with a team-best plus-minus rating of +30. ​

  • New York Rangers:

    • Igor Shesterkin: The goaltender has a record of 25-27-5 and will be pivotal in defending against Tampa Bay’s potent offense.

Betting Trends:

  • Against the Spread (ATS):

    • Lightning: 40-35 overall; 18-20 on the road.​

    • Rangers: 32-44 overall; 18-21 at home. ​

  • Over/Under:

    • Lightning: 33-38-4.​

    • Rangers: 35-40-1.

Lightning vs Rangers Over/Under Analysis

The Lightning’s potent offense, despite recent setbacks, combined with the Rangers’ defensive vulnerabilities, makes the over on total goals (6) a compelling bet. Both teams have the potential to contribute to a high-scoring game.

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.6/5
Tip: Bet the Over 6
  • Offense will be big in this game
  • controlling the Neutral zone to be key
  • Rangers at Home
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Considering the Lightning’s recent offensive struggles and the Rangers’ defensive inconsistencies, this matchup presents challenges for both teams. However, the Lightning’s superior offensive capabilities and the Rangers’ recent defensive lapses suggest that Tampa Bay may have the edge. Therefore, the prediction leans towards a Lightning victory.

Bet Lightning ML

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