Seen on:
as known from New York Timesas known from USA Todayas known from yahoo!
OH

Super Bowl LVIII Winner Betting: Who Is the Most Likely to Win?

Who Will Win Super Bowl 58?

Last Updated on 07/15/2026
Fact checked by: Mark Lewis

One of the largest sporting events of the year produces one of the largest questions of the year – who is going to be the 2024 Super Bowl winner?

Although we can’t predict the future, we can offer you our extensive guide on how to make your predictions on this year’s Super Bowl winner. Below, we look at the main types of Super Bowl winner bets, discuss how past performances and current form play their part, why you should look to unlock a Super Bowl bonus, and much more.

49ers or the Chiefs – Our Super Bowl 58 winner prediction

This game has all of the earmarks of a classic 50/50 matchup. Patrick Mahomes will attempt to win his third Super Bowl, while Mr. Irrelevant Brock Purdy will look to become an elite Quarterback. Both teams can control the game through the air or on the ground.

The 49ers were run through in their first two playoff games by the Packers and the Lions. The Chiefs are a bottom Ten-run defense, and they will face the most complete running back on the planet in Christian McCaffery. If CMC goes off, the 49ers will control the clock and, more importantly, the pace of the game. the Chiefs, on the other hand, should try to establish the run with Isiah Pacheco.

The problem with that is Andy Reid has a tendency to forget he has a running game, and it’s understandable when you have Patrick Mahomes throwing the ball. The issue with Mahomes throwing a lot is that the 49er’s secondary is solid, and outside of Travis Kelce and Rashee Rice, the Chiefs’ wide receivers are not very good. They dropped more passes than any team in the NFL this season.

I think CMC goes off, which sets Brock Purdy up to make some big plays with play-action passing. The spread is at 2.5 points as of right now. I do not think the spread will get any bigger, but I think a good possibility is that it drops to -2 or even -1.5. My play is to bet on the 49ers but wait until Sunday morning to see if the spread does drop. If you get the spread dropped to -1, bet immediately. Prediction: 49ers 27  Chiefs 23!

DraftKings
DraftKings
4.5/5
Prediction: 49ers win Super Bowl
  • Odds -125
  • Claim Exclusive DraftKings Super Bowl 58 Bonus
New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets *Paid Within 14 Days
Open DraftKings
GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/NH/PR/WY). Void in CAN. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days after issuance. Stake removed from payout. Reward issued as $50 in Bonus Bets every 7 days via click-to-claim for 14 days. 7 days = 168hrs. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 8/23/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

Check out our Super Bowl betting Guide!

Video: Super Bowl 58 Betting Special: Is Brock Purdy about to become a Legend: Chiefs vs 49ers Preview !

Super Bowl 58 Betting Special: Is Brock Purdy about to become a Legend: Chiefs vs 49ers Preview !

What Are Super Bowl Winner Bets? – Understanding Our NFL Playoff Predictions

If you have ever looked at odds on football throughout the season, you will have stumbled across Super Bowl winner bets. As the name suggests, these types of bets rely solely on the outcome of the fixture and are most commonly known as moneylines & spreads. This is in contrast with Super Bowl prop bets where you bet on things unrelated to the game result.

Super Bowl Moneylines

When you place a moneyline, you are placing a wager on who you believe will be the Super Bowl winner. It is the most straightforward wager a bettor can place and, unsurprisingly, is one of the most popular types of wager, too.

Super Bowl Spreads

A Super Bowl spread is very similar to a moneyline. But, the spread adds a handicap to both teams in order to level out the Super Bowl odds. The odds themselves are usually set at -110 for both teams.

You would expect the two teams that have made the Super Bowl final to be of a similar caliber. However, you will always have an underdog and a favorite.

Favorite (- 3) vs Underdog (+3)

If you select the favorite in the above example, your wager would be successful if the favorite won by 4 points or above. On the other hand, if you choose the Underdog, your wager would win even if they lost by 2.

How To Predict Who Wins The Super Bowl 2026 – Stick To The Stats And Facts

Unfortunately, there are no guarantees with sports betting. However, in this next section, we look to offer a little overview of how you can better predict the outcome of Super Bowl LVIII.

Current Form

A simple look at past meetings, head-to-heads, and last five matches, is a great way to help decide which way this Super Bowl matchup could go. Although let’s not forget that this is the biggest stage in American football – anything could happen!

News

That’s why we like to back our stats with a little news, too. By keeping up-to-date on the latest breaking news stories at TheGruelingTurth.com, you can be the first to find out if any key players are injured, what the weather is doing, and much more.

Official Lineups

As game day draws closer, team sheets and rumors begin to flood the scene. Thankfully, over at TheGruelingTruth.com, our gurus can filter through the nonsense, leaving you with cold hard facts. Want to know who has missed training? Interested to know who is a game day official? We’ve got you covered.

SB History

Sometimes it’s best to leave things in the past. When predicting the Super bowl winner 2026, we suggest the complete opposite. American football is a team game that is heavy on strategy and tactics. So, make sure you review past playoff and Super Bowl meetings to see if a certain head coach, team, or individual, is renowned for crumbling under the bright lights!

Top Tips To Consider When Super Bowl Winner Betting – Find The Best Super Bowl 2026 Winner Odds

Now you have an understanding of how to predict the Super Bowl winner, it’s now time to review our top tips on what to consider when Super Bowl betting online.

Make sure you find a licensed sportsbook

If you think you’re ready to place a Super Bowl winner bet, then your first step is to find a legal and licensed online sportsbook. Here at TheGruelingTruth.com, our gurus spend their time researching and reviewing the best Super Bowl betting sites around, in the hopes of finding our readers their perfect platform. You can freely take advantage of our operator comparisons, where you’ll quickly be able to identify whether they are legal, licensed, and live across your state.

Do your homework

If we didn’t make it clear earlier in our Super Bowl winner guide, then let us confirm it for you now. Research is critical when trying to predict the Super Bowl winner. Thankfully, you don’t need to go to the lengths our experts have, because we present all of our findings in easy-to-read guides over at TheGruelingTruth.com.

Deposit only what you can afford

There is no doubt that the Super Bowl is a huge sporting event. Often, this is when fans of the sport will make their only bet of the year. With this in mind, it is important to remember that despite the enormity of the event, your deposit must still remain sensible. Your Super Bowl winner bet should add to the excitement of the event itself, not cause additional and unwanted stresses.

Find the best odds

The best way to boost your Super Bowl winner bet is by finding the best odds. We don’t expect you to flick from sportsbook to sportsbook waiting for the right time to strike, which is why we’ve got our gurus to do exactly that instead! Our dedicated Super Bowl odds comparisons will soon highlight the most favorable odds for you, all you need to do is determine whether you’re looking for a moneyline or a spread!

Bet with your head

If you’re one of the lucky ones whose team has made it within touching distance of lifting the Lombardi trophy, then it can be easy to get sucked into the idea that they have already won the Super Bowl. Unfortunately, when it comes to sports betting, you need to bet with your head. If your team is the outright favorite, perhaps a moneyline is the right choice for you. However, if your team is the underdog and you can’t bring yourself to place a wager against them, then a spread is going to be the best type of Super Bowl winner bet for you.

Super Bowl Winner Bets And Bonus Offers – Boosting Your Super Bowl 58 Winner Bets

All of the best sportsbooks provide new bettors with handsome welcome bonuses, with the aim of luring them onto their site. Thankfully, for any of our readers looking to join a new sportsbook, most welcome bonuses will be eligible on Super Bowl moneylines and spreads. Of course, we’d always recommend reviewing the terms and conditions first.

For those of you who aren’t looking to jump ship, and are quite happy with your online sportsbook, we are confident that your operator will present plenty of promotions leading up to the big day. As we’ve mentioned, the Super Bowl is the biggest event across the US, so we would expect to see some big bonuses to match!

Conclusion – Who Will Win Super Bowl 2026?

Like we said, we cannot predict the future. However, we are confident that we have enhanced your knowledge on the strategies you can use to better predict the Super Bowl winner.

Just to recap – when it comes to selecting a Super Bowl winner bet, you have the option to choose an outright winner (moneyline) or a handicapped outright winner (spread). Most online sportsbook bonuses will be eligible to be used against both types of Super Bowl winner bet. However, we would always advise checking the small print to confirm. When compiling your research make sure you review the current form, official lineups, and even try some Super Bowl MVP betting on the player who can significantly affect the outcome of the match.

All that’s left for us now is to wish you a safe and healthy wagering experience, remember to deposit only what you can afford, and enjoy the biggest sporting event of the year!

Awesome Betting Sites For The Super Bowl

FanDuel
1.
4.6/5
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
USA
USA Players Welcome
PayPal
Bank Transfer
Cheque
Ohio Casino Control Commission (OCCC)
Bet now
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET. Call 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT). Hope is here. GamblingHelplineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). Call 1-877-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). 21+ (18+ DC, IA, KY, WV) only. New users only or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Casino, First online real money wager only. $5 first deposit required. Min $5 wager required for 5 consecutive days. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable Bet Reset tokens. Refund from token issued as nonwithdrawable bonus bet that expire 7 days after receipt. Max refund $200 per day. Restrictions apply, including token expiration. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook. Call 1-877-770-7867 (LA).
BetMGM
2.
4.5/5
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
USA
USA Players Welcome
PayPal
Bank Transfer
VIP Preferred
Ohio Casino Control Commission (OCCC)
Bet now
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (Available in the US) 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. Promotional offers not available in Mississippi, New York, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.
DraftKings
3.
4.5/5
New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets *Paid Within 14 Days
USA
USA Players Welcome
PayPal
VIP Preferred
Play+
Ohio Casino Control Commission (OCCC)
Bet now
GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/NH/PR/WY). Void in CAN. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days after issuance. Stake removed from payout. Reward issued as $50 in Bonus Bets every 7 days via click-to-claim for 14 days. 7 days = 168hrs. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 8/23/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.
Fanatics
4.
4.2/5
10 x $100 bet match in FanCash
USA
USA Players Welcome
Venmo
PayPal
Apple Pay
Ohio Casino Control Commission (OCCC)
Bet now
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER OR CALL 1-800-MY-RESET, www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), (800)-327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA), Call (877)8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), (888) 789-7777 or ccpg.org (CT), morethanagame.nc.gov (NC), 1800gambler.net (WV)
Caesars
5.
Bet $1 and get double the winnings up to $25 for your next 10 bets
USA
USA Players Welcome
PayPal
Bank Transfer
E-Check
Ohio Casino Control Commission (OCCC)
Best Alternative
FanDuel Open FanDuel
21+ New users only. Must register using eligible promo code. First bet after registration must qualify. Max. Bonus Bet: $1,000. Bonus Bet expires 14 days after receipt. Void where prohibited. See Caesars.com/promos for full terms. Gambling Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537)

Super Bowl Winner FAQs

🌟 Can I unlock a Super Bowl bonus in WV?

With the Super Bowl just around the corner, excitement is building across the US. With rumors, predictions, and picks being thrown around already, you may have found yourself interested to find out whether you can place a bet on the Super Bowl in West Virginia. If this sounds like you, then we suggest checking out our latest Super Bowl betting West Virginia review. We cover everything you need to know about betting across the Mountain State.

💯 What kind of odds can I expect when placing a Super Bowl winner bet?

When it comes to predicting the Super Bowl winner, there are plenty of things to take into consideration. Over at TheGruelingTruth.com, we suggest researching into past performances, Super Bowl appearances, and keeping up-to-date with the latest news. Once your predictions have been made, make sure you check out our odds comparison to get the best Super Bowl odds, too.  

🏈 How do I predict the Super Bowl winner?

Before you can consider placing a bet on the Super Bowl winner, make sure you’ve found yourself a legal, licensed, and live online sportsbook. You can visit our operator comparisons to see who our gurus believe is top of the charts, however, bear in mind that every sportsbook holds unique qualities – we suggest finding one that appeals to you.

Top Betting Sites
Top Betting Bonuses
FanDuel
4.6/5
BetMGM
4.5/5
DraftKings
4.5/5
Fanatics
4.2/5
4.4/5
4.5/5
FanDuel
FanDuel Promo
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
T&Cs apply
4.6/5
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET. Call 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT). Hope is here. GamblingHelplineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). Call 1-877-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). 21+ (18+ DC, IA, KY, WV) only. New users only or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Casino, First online real money wager only. $5 first deposit required. Min $5 wager required for 5 consecutive days. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable Bet Reset tokens. Refund from token issued as nonwithdrawable bonus bet that expire 7 days after receipt. Max refund $200 per day. Restrictions apply, including token expiration. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook. Call 1-877-770-7867 (LA).
BetMGM
BetMGM Promo
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
T&Cs apply
4.5/5
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (Available in the US) 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. Promotional offers not available in Mississippi, New York, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.
DraftKings
DraftKings Promo
New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets *Paid Within 14 Days
T&Cs apply
4.5/5
GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/NH/PR/WY). Void in CAN. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days after issuance. Stake removed from payout. Reward issued as $50 in Bonus Bets every 7 days via click-to-claim for 14 days. 7 days = 168hrs. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 8/23/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.
Fanatics
Fanatics Promo
10 x $100 bet match in FanCash
T&Cs apply
4.2/5
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER OR CALL 1-800-MY-RESET, www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), (800)-327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA), Call (877)8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), (888) 789-7777 or ccpg.org (CT), morethanagame.nc.gov (NC), 1800gambler.net (WV)
Caesars Promo
Bet $1 and get double the winnings up to $25 for your next 10 bets
T&Cs apply
4.4/5
21+ New users only. Must register using eligible promo code. First bet after registration must qualify. Max. Bonus Bet: $1,000. Bonus Bet expires 14 days after receipt. Void where prohibited. See Caesars.com/promos for full terms. Gambling Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537)
Latest Sport News
Ranking the Top 10 Big Ten Running Backs Heading Into the 2026 Season
The Big Ten lost several outstanding running backs ...
Top 5 Tailgating Traditions in College Football
Right about now, somewhere in Columbia, South Carolina, ...
Breaking Down the University of Kentucky Wildcats’ 2026 Football Schedule
The University of Kentucky enters the 2026 football ...
Pit Boss Grappling: The Combat Sports Promotion Reinventing Brazilian Jiu-Jit...
Over the last several years, combat sports have ...
NHL Columbus Blue Jackets 2026-27 Position Preview: Goaltenders
As the Columbus Blue Jackets continue building toward ...
Our Team
Mike GoodpasterJames ErnestMark LewisAuthor IconJohn Raspanti
+8
Mike Goodpaster
Mike Goodpaster
Chief Editor
James Ernest
James Ernest
Author
Mark Lewis
Mark Lewis
Editor
Author Icon
Christopher Carlson
Author
John Raspanti
John Raspanti
Author
Samuel Teets
Samuel Teets
US Sports Veteran
Daniel Kornhauser
Daniel Kornhauser
Author
Ellis Williams
Ellis Williams
Author
Chris Benedict
Chris Benedict
Editor
Shelley Harcar
Shelley Harcar
Sports Writer
Marvin Uzor
Marvin Uzor
Author
Dr. Jay Gee
Dr. Jay Gee
Author
LaMarr Fields
LaMarr Fields
Author

21+ and present in OH. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

This site is using Cloudflare and adheres to the Google Safe Browsing Program. We adapted Google's Privacy Guidelines to keep your data safe at all times.
CloudflareSSL
×
Your Promo Code:
The bonus offer of was already opened in an additional window. If not, you can open it also by clicking the following link:
Play now