
There’s not long to go now until the Lombardi trophy is lifted, the Super Bowl Champions are crowned, and one star player is announced as the Super Bowl MVP.
With this in mind, we thought it was prudent to create a quick guide on how best to predict and place your Super Bowl MVP bets. As you read on, you’ll quickly discover what Super Bowl MVP bets are, how you can formulate your own predictions, why it’s important to find a sports betting site for you, and plenty more.




Open DraftKings

Open DraftKings

Open DraftKings

Super Bowl 60 once again raises the same question: who will claim Super Bowl MVP? History strongly favors the winning quarterback, but recent Super Bowls have shown that elite playmakers at other positions can still break through when game script allows it.
If the winning QB delivers an efficient, mistake-free performance, the award will likely follow. However, a balanced or lower-scoring game opens the door for a running back who controls tempo with multiple touchdowns, or a wide receiver who delivers a signature performance on the biggest stage.
Defensive MVPs remain rare, but they are always in play when a pass rusher or linebacker creates game-changing moments—strip sacks, turnovers, or late stops that decide the outcome.
The key to betting Super Bowl MVP is understanding value. Favorites offer safety, but long shots gain appeal when matchup advantages or unique game scripts emerge. Super Bowl 60 has the depth and star power for the MVP race to extend well beyond the obvious names.
As people start betting on Super Bowl LX, it is imperative that they first understand how the odds display and read them. Super Bowl MVP odds will typically appear as a list with odds corresponding to every player considered an MVP candidate; these will reflect the implied probability that the player will win MVP.
Some sportsbooks will provide a long and detailed list with several players available; others may list only key skill positions and defensive contributors while providing an “other” option, including any non-listed player.
Most sportsbooks in North America will list Super Bowl MVP odds in American format:
This means that a $100 bet on Darnold would have profited 125 (or a $100 dollar bet would win $125), or a $100 bet on Maye would have profited $230. Read our guide about how to bet on the Super Bowl if you need any more help understanding things like this.
Thirty-four quarterbacks have been named Super Bowl MVPs. Running backs and wide receivers have each won MVP eight times, while a defensive player has been named MVP five times, and a special teams player (kick returner) has won the award once.
Early money has started to settle around Sam Darnold as a legitimate Super Bowl MVP candidate, and at +125, the value is hard to ignore. If his team wins, it’s difficult to envision a scenario where Darnold isn’t front and center in the MVP conversation. The odds reflect both opportunity and game script: when Darnold plays efficiently and protects the football, the offense operates at its highest level.
Darnold’s path to MVP is straightforward. He doesn’t need a record-breaking performance—he needs command. A 250-plus yard passing day with two to three touchdowns, combined with situational poise in the red zone and on third down, would put him firmly in control of the narrative. Super Bowl MVP voting historically leans toward quarterbacks who deliver clean, decisive performances rather than raw volume.
Drake Maye represents the high-upside MVP play on the board, and at +300, the price reflects both risk and real opportunity. If his team wins the Super Bowl, Maye’s path to MVP is clear: he must be the reason they get there. Unlike offenses built around a dominant run game or a single superstar skill player, this one will lean heavily on Maye’s arm, decision-making, and composure.
What makes Maye intriguing is his ability to rise in high-pressure moments. When defenses tighten and windows shrink, he has shown the willingness to attack vertically and trust his reads. That’s exactly what MVP voters tend to reward—big throws in big spots. A stat line in the range of 260–280 passing yards with multiple touchdowns would immediately put him at the center of the MVP conversation.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is one of the most intriguing skill players on the board, and at nearly 5-1 odds, this is simply too much value to ignore. His role has expanded dramatically, and he now operates as a true focal point rather than just a complementary piece. I would strongly consider playing JSN as an anytime touchdown scorer, because his route running and feel for space make him a nightmare in the red zone.
The defense will be forced to account for him on critical downs, but that hasn’t stopped him from producing explosive plays all season. I can easily see a stat line north of 90–100 receiving yards, including one or two chunk gains that flip field position, plus a touchdown that swings momentum.
If the offense comes out emphasizing rhythm throws and quick reads, Smith-Njigba could get hot early. And if that happens, those 5-1 odds could turn into a massive payout by the end of the night.
Rhamondre Stevenson at +3000 is the kind of Super Bowl MVP long shot that’s worth a serious look. Remember, fans account for 20 percent of the MVP vote, and narratives matter more than people like to admit. If the Patriots win and Stevenson is the engine behind it, the storyline writes itself — a physical, workhorse running back carrying the offense on the biggest stage.
If Stevenson puts together a monster performance — something like 120+ rushing yards, multiple touchdowns, and heavy involvement in the passing game — he immediately jumps to the front of the non-QB MVP conversation. Voters love dominance, and they love unexpected heroes even more.
As for longshot wagers, I suggest Cooper Kupp as a longshot play. He has already proven he can get it done on the biggest stage. I know, O know. how would this even be possible, but that is why they call it a longshot!
Take Sam Darnold at +125 to win MVP. Darnold has the weapons to put up big numbers in this game and the winning Quarterback has won the Super Bowl MVP more than half of the sixty games played.
The Super Bowl is the biggest sporting event of the year, requiring some big performances on the night, for the team that plans on lifting the Lombardi trophy. It is these big performances that we are interested in when curating our Super Bowl MVP bets.
The Super Bowl MVP is the Most Valuable Player. They are the person that scores the winning touchdown, throws for 300+ yards, forces a last-minute turnover, and, generally, adds to the outcome of the match.
Unlike NFL bets, Super Bowl bets are made on one performance alone, meaning a player has 80 minutes to prove why they are the Super Bowl MVP.
Before you can begin predicting and placing your Super Bowl MVP bets, you’ll need to find yourself a respectable football betting site or download one of the best football betting apps around. From here, you can follow our guide below and enjoy piecing together your own Super Bowl MVP bets.
After each Super Bowl is concluded, its MVP is determined by a panel of 16 NFL journalists (writers and broadcasters) and by popular vote, introduced in 2001.
The panel represents 80% of the voting, while fan balloting is 20%. The most consequential player in helping their team succeed will be named Most Valuable Player for Super Bowl 58.
As with any Super Bowl betting online, it is important to do your research first. In this section of our Super Bowl MVP bets guide, we look to detail the simplest ways that you can help better predict the Super Bowl’s Most Valuable Player.
We will start with the basics. Whether it’s Super Bowl prop bets, moneylines, or predicting the MVP, you need to focus on the facts. A good place to start is by looking back in time and checking out any star player performances throughout the playoffs. From this, you can judge who is able to perform on the big stage. Although not quite as large a moment as the Super Bowl itself, there will still be plenty of pressure that comes from the playoff fixtures.
After you’ve reviewed the past performances of the individuals, it will be a good idea to review the past matchups between the two teams who have successfully made it to the Super Bowl. How have they fared against each other? Are there any glaringly obvious weaknesses and strengths?
Sticking with the facts, we believe it is interesting to note that the majority of Super Bowl MVP winners have been QBs, WRs, or RBs. In fact, on less than 10 occasions have we seen a defensive player be crowned the MVP.
As with any football betting tips and predictions, nothing is set in stone. This is one of the main reasons that we believe your opinion and understanding of the game matters, too.
Predicting the winner of the Super Bowl is one step you can take in order to better judge the MVP. Generally, the winner of the Super Bowl MVP will come from the winning side, as they will have made a play, or plays, throughout the match that has affected the outcome.
With this in mind, there is no reason that you cannot select a player from the underdogs. If you have been closely following both teams on the run-up to the big game and noticed a gap in the favorite’s secondary, then an underdog wide receiver may well be your best pick. Provided you’ve researched and thought it through!
Before you can place any Super Bowl MVP bets, you need to find yourself a solid sportsbook that suits you. We present our top choices of online bookmakers over on our operator comparisons page. However, bear in mind that who we believe to be the pick of the bunch is based on our preferences alone. If you are after a specific payment method, sports bonus, or an operator that offers a mobile app, you may have to search a little further down our list.
We aren’t bothered how you do it – set notifications, reminders, follow the NFL on social media, or you can check out our latest breaking news article, too. Whichever method you choose to stay up-to-date, make sure you take note when creating those final predictions on the Super Bowl MVP. The last thing you want is to hear the player you’ve chosen in your Super Bowl MVP bets is ruled out through injury!
A simple way to boost your football odds is by adding a little bonus to them. Often, football betting sites will provide generalized sportsbook bonuses and promotions leading up to matchday. However, just be certain that the terms and conditions confirm that your selected bonus can be utilized across the Super Bowl MVP market. If so, make sure you can responsibly surpass the minimum deposit requirements, know how to unlock the bonus, and give those Super Bowl bets a boost!
Over at thegruelingtruth.com, we’ve dedicated a great amount of time in ensuring our readers have the most user-friendly, and favorable, Super Bowl experience going. Our gurus have meticulously scoured through the stats, markets, and news, in the hopes of curating the most favorable Super Bowl bet predictions and tips on the market. By reviewing our Super Bowl odds comparisons, you can see just how well your chosen online sportsbook stacks up, too. If you aren’t getting the best bang for your buck, maybe it’s worth a quick switch!
No – we aren’t talking about all those wings you’ve preordered for that Super Bowl Party! We are talking about your deposits. When it comes to placing your Super Bowl MVP bets, we believe that you should not go beyond your usual limits. We appreciate that it is the biggest sporting event on the calendar, but we also care about our readers maintaining healthy habits. If you haven’t already, make sure you check your own circumstances, set yourself a realistic deposit limit, and stay ahead when placing your Super Bowl MVP bets.
While it might not always be easy to win a Super Bowl MVP bet, it’s actually a pretty simple process to make this type of bet. Follow this step by step guide to make your MVP bet for Super Bowl LX:
It’s often a good idea to look back over previous Super Bowl MVP winners so as to get an idea of who’s most likely to win the award this time around. Here’s a quick overview as to the Super Bowl MVPs since 2000:
| Year | Player | Team | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Kurt Warner | St. Louis Rams | Quarterback |
| 2001 | Ray Lewis | Baltimore Ravens | Linebacker |
| 2002 | Tom Brady | New England Patriots | Quarterback |
| 2003 | Dexter Jackson | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Safety |
| 2004 | Tom Brady | New England Patriots | Quarterback |
| 2005 | Deion Branch | New England Patriots | Wide receiver |
| 2006 | Hines Ward | Pittsburgh Steelers | Wide receiver |
| 2007 | Peyton Manning | Indianapolis Colts | Quarterback |
| 2008 | Eli Manning | New York Giants | Quarterback |
| 2009 | Santonio Holmes | Pittsburgh Steelers | Wide receiver |
| 2010 | Drew Brees | New Orleans Saints | Quarterback |
| 2011 | Aaron Rodgers | Green Bay Packers | Quarterback |
| 2012 | Eli Manning | New York Giants | Quarterback |
| 2013 | Joe Flacco | Baltimore Ravens | Quarterback |
| 2014 | Malcolm Smith | Seattle Seahawks | Linebacker |
| 2015 | Tom Brady | New England Patriots | Quarterback |
| 2016 | Von Miller | Denver Broncos | Linebacker |
| 2017 | Tom Brady | New England Patriots | Quarterback |
| 2018 | Nick Foles | Philadelphia Eagles | Quarterback |
| 2019 | Julian Edelman | New England Patriots | Wide receiver |
| 2020 | Patrick Mahomes | Kansas City Chiefs | Quarterback |
| 2021 | Tom Brady | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Quarterback |
| 2022 | Cooper Kupp | Los Angeles Rams | Wide receiver |
| 2023 | Patrick Mahomes | Kansas City Chiefs | Quarterback |
| 2024 | Patrick Mahomes | Kansas City Chiefs | Quarterback |
| 2025 | Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles | Quarterback |
The end of our Super Bowl MVP bets guide is here. Hopefully, you now feel in a better position to make your own Super Bowl MVP bets.
To confirm, Super Bowl MVP bets are made on one single performance. Although it may well be the biggest performance of many players’ careers, only one can be crowned the Super Bowl’s Most Valuable Player. Although facts and figures play a huge part in the match, take into account if any players have been there before. The nerves of the big day will no doubt get to some! It’s also worth remembering that the majority of past winners have been WRs, QBs, or RBs. Although, perhaps it’s time for a change?
If you are still a little unsure of where to start, head on over to thegruelingtruth.com. Here, we can offer you a wealth of resources to help boost your Super Bowl experience. Whether it’s operator reviews, bonus comparisons, strategy guides, or if you’re just looking for the best odds on Super Bowl MVP bets or even Super Bowl prop bets, we’ve got you covered.


If you’re wondering whether it’s worth placing any Super Bowl MVP bets, then it sounds like you need to do some research first. Find yourself a reputable sportsbook, unlock a sizable bonus, and check out the best Super Bowl odds at thegruelingtruth.com.
In order to find the best bonuses to boost your Super Bowl MVP bets, you need to head to the bonus comparisons page at thegruelingtruth.com. Here, you’ll see a full rundown of how to use the bonus, what markets it can be used on, how easy it is to redeem, and what our gurus thought of the bonus overall.
Before researching further into who you think this year’s Super Bowl MVP may be, you may want to research whether online sports betting is legal in your state! Due to the varied views across the US, our gurus have created state-specific guides to help keep you in the know. For example, if you are after answers on MI, you should check out our Super Bowl betting Michigan review.
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