Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens 2026 Preview: Prediction, Betting Odds & 4 Prop Bets

Thursday Night Football brings an intriguing AFC showdown to M&T Bank Stadium when the Jacksonville Jaguars visit the Baltimore Ravens in a matchup featuring two teams headed in dramatically different directions.

Jacksonville enters 5-2 following a commanding 42-7 victory over Indianapolis, while Baltimore has fallen to 4-4 after suffering its third consecutive loss, a 36-10 defeat against Buffalo.

The Jaguars enter as substantial 8.5-point road favorites, with Baltimore facing serious quarterback concerns following injuries to Lamar Jackson and Tyler Huntley.

Game Information

Matchup: Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens Date: Thursday, November 5, 2026 Kickoff: 8:15 PM ET TV/Streaming: Prime Video Venue: M&T Bank Stadium — Baltimore, Maryland Tickets: As low as $39Records: Jacksonville 5-2 | Baltimore 4-4 Point Spread: Jacksonville -8.5 Over/Under: 43.5

The Jacksonville -8.5 spread means the Jaguars must win by nine points or more to cover. Baltimore +8.5 covers if the Ravens win outright or lose by eight points or fewer.

The 43.5 over/under represents the projected combined scoring total. A combined 44 points or more wins an over wager, while 43 or fewer wins an under wager.

Jacksonville: Lawrence and Tuten Have the Jaguars Rolling

Jacksonville enters Thursday looking like one of the AFC’s most dangerous teams.

Quarterback Trevor Lawrence delivered an outstanding performance against Indianapolis, completing 10 of 14 passes for 210 yards and three touchdowns without an interception.

Lawrence has thrown for approximately 1,690 yards and 17 touchdowns this season, providing the Jaguars with an increasingly productive passing attack.

Running back Bhayshul Tuten has emerged as an important offensive weapon.

Tuten rushed for 104 yards and a touchdown on 16 carries against Indianapolis and added a receiving touchdown. His explosiveness complements Jacksonville’s passing attack and gives the Jaguars another way to control games.

Receiver Parker Washington leads Jacksonville with 432 receiving yards, while Brian Thomas Jr. remains a dangerous downfield option.

Jacksonville’s defense has been equally impressive, holding Indianapolis to seven points and producing a defensive touchdown.

The Jaguars now have an opportunity to exploit a Baltimore offense struggling with injuries and turnovers.

Baltimore: Quarterback Injuries Threaten Ravens’ Season

Baltimore enters Thursday facing one of its most difficult challenges of the season.

The Ravens have lost three consecutive games, including defeats against Cleveland, Cincinnati and Buffalo.

More concerning is the uncertainty surrounding their quarterback situation.

Lamar Jackson suffered a thumb injury against Buffalo that requires surgery, placing him on injured reserve. Backup Tyler Huntley also exited with a toe injury.

Rookie quarterback Joe Fagnano entered against Buffalo and completed 10 of 21 passes for 91 yards, throwing an interception and losing a fumble.

That creates a potentially significant advantage for Jacksonville’s defense.

Baltimore’s best opportunity to remain competitive may come through running back Derrick Henry.

Henry has rushed for 632 yards and eight touchdowns this season. His physical running style can help Baltimore sustain possessions and protect an inexperienced quarterback.

Wide receiver Zay Flowers has accumulated 608 receiving yards, although he was held without a reception against Buffalo.

Baltimore desperately needs its offensive line to improve after Buffalo generated four sacks and 12 quarterback hits.

If the Ravens cannot protect their quarterback, Jacksonville could dominate possession and field position throughout the evening.

Four Prop Bets to Consider

These are projected betting targets, not verified sportsbook player-prop lines. Availability and odds vary by sportsbook. Confirm the starting quarterbacks and final injury reports before placing wagers.

Prop Bet #1: Bhayshul Tuten Over 69.5 Rushing Yards

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Tuten Over 69.5 Rushing Yards

• 104 Rush Yards vs Indianapolis
• Explosive Running Ability
• Favorable Game Script

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Tuten enters Thursday following one of his strongest performances of the season.

Baltimore’s offensive struggles could allow Jacksonville to establish an early advantage and emphasize its running game during the second half.

Prediction: Bhayshul Tuten — 88 rushing yards

Prop Bet #2: Trevor Lawrence Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

FanDuel

4.6/5

Tip: Lawrence Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

• 17 Season Passing TDs
• 3 TDs vs Indianapolis
• Jacksonville Offensive Momentum

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Lawrence has become increasingly comfortable distributing the football among Jacksonville’s receiving weapons.

Baltimore has struggled defensively in recent weeks, and Jacksonville should generate multiple scoring opportunities.

Prediction: Trevor Lawrence — 2 passing touchdowns

Prop Bet #3: Derrick Henry Over 64.5 Rushing Yards

Caesars

4.4/5

Tip: Henry Over 64.5 Rushing Yards

• 632 Season Rush Yards
• 8 Rushing TDs
• Baltimore Needs Offensive Balance

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Henry remains Baltimore’s most dependable offensive weapon.

With Jackson sidelined and Huntley’s availability uncertain, expect the Ravens to prioritize their rushing attack.

The concern is Jacksonville establishing an early lead and forcing Baltimore to abandon the run.

Prediction: Derrick Henry — 72 rushing yards

Prop Bet #4: Zay Flowers Over 54.5 Receiving Yards

BetMGM

4.5/5

Tip: Flowers Over 54.5 Receiving Yards

• 608 Season Receiving Yards
• Baltimore Primary Receiver
• Potential Heavy Target Volume

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Flowers remains Baltimore’s most dangerous receiving threat despite being shut out against Buffalo.

A healthy Huntley would improve the outlook for this selection, but even an inexperienced quarterback may rely on short and intermediate throws to Flowers.

Prediction: Zay Flowers — 61 receiving yards

Players to Watch

Trevor Lawrence — Jacksonville

Lawrence’s efficiency and ability to capitalize on Baltimore’s defensive weaknesses will determine whether Jacksonville can establish an early lead.

Bhayshul Tuten — Jacksonville

Tuten’s explosiveness makes him dangerous between the tackles and as a receiving option. Another productive performance could help Jacksonville control possession.

Derrick Henry — Baltimore

Henry must deliver a physical rushing performance to reduce pressure on Baltimore’s passing game.

Zay Flowers — Baltimore

Flowers needs a bounce-back performance after his disappointing outing against Buffalo. His ability to create separation could give Baltimore opportunities to move the chains.

Keys to the Game

Jacksonville must pressure Baltimore’s quarterback while preventing Henry from controlling the game on the ground.

Offensively, the Jaguars should establish Tuten early and allow Lawrence to exploit favorable matchups through play-action passes.

Baltimore needs to protect the football, establish Henry and avoid falling behind by multiple possessions.

The Ravens must also improve their third-down efficiency and prevent Jacksonville from generating explosive plays.

Betting Prediction

The Jacksonville -8.5 spread represents a significant number for a road favorite, particularly on Thursday Night Football.

However, Baltimore’s quarterback situation makes Jacksonville the stronger selection.

The Jaguars have demonstrated the ability to score through both their passing and rushing attacks, while Baltimore’s offense may struggle to sustain drives.

The 43.5 total presents an interesting decision. Jacksonville could score 28 or more points, but Baltimore’s quarterback limitations make a low-scoring performance from the Ravens plausible.

Jacksonville’s defensive advantage makes the under an appealing option.

The Verdict

Baltimore has home-field advantage and a proven running back in Henry, but Jacksonville enters with significantly more momentum and offensive stability.

Lawrence should find success against the Ravens’ defense, while Tuten provides enough rushing production to control the second half.

Baltimore keeps the game competitive early, but the Jaguars eventually pull away.

Final Score Prediction

Jacksonville 27 Baltimore 13

Picks Summary

Betting Category Pick Best Bet Jacksonville -8.5 Against the Spread Jacksonville -8.5 Moneyline Jacksonville Over/Under Under 43.5 Top Prop Bhayshul Tuten Over 69.5 Rushing Yards

Final Prediction: Jacksonville 27, Baltimore 13

Jacksonville wins by 14 points, covering the 8.5-point spread. The projected 40 combined points finish under the 43.5 total.

The Jaguars improve to 6-2, while Baltimore falls to 4-5 as quarterback injuries continue to threaten the Ravens’ playoff aspirations.