Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers 2026 Preview: Prediction, Betting Odds & 4 Prop Bets

Thursday, September 24, 2026 Time: 8:15 PM ET Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin TV/Streaming: Prime Video Tickets: As low as $137 Line: Green Bay -7 Over/Under: 43.5

Thursday Night Football brings two teams heading in opposite directions as the 0-2 Atlanta Falcons visit the 1-1 Green Bay Packers for Green Bay’s regular-season home opener.

Atlanta is coming off an ugly 34-3 home loss to Carolina. The Falcons turned the ball over repeatedly, and Cooper Rush was replaced by rookie Jack Strand after completing 10 of 17 passes for 86 yards with two interceptions. Atlanta’s biggest positive remained Bijan Robinson, who finished with 81 scrimmage yards and now has 254 yards from scrimmage through two games.

Green Bay, meanwhile, rallied from a 17-7 fourth-quarter deficit to beat the Jets 20-17 in overtime. Jordan Love finished 16-of-29 for 145 yards and two touchdowns, while Christian Watson caught four passes for 41 yards and a touchdown.

Atlanta’s biggest storyline is quarterback. Michael Penix Jr. could potentially make his season debut after recovering from his knee injury, while Tua Tagovailoa is also working back from an oblique injury. Neither was active against Carolina, making Atlanta’s quarterback situation essential to monitor before Thursday.

Top Four Prop Bets

Exact player props vary by sportsbook. The numbers below are projected betting targets unless your book offers them.

Prop Bet #1: Bijan Robinson Over 84.5 Scrimmage Yards

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Robinson Over 84.5 Scrimmage Yards

• 254 Scrimmage Yards Through Two Games
• Atlanta Offensive Centerpiece
• Heavy Touch Volume

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Even during Atlanta’s disastrous loss to Carolina, Robinson received 20 touches and produced 81 total yards. He also became the fastest Falcons player to reach 4,000 career rushing yards before age 25.

Regardless of which quarterback starts, Atlanta needs to build its offense around Robinson.

Projected Bet: Bijan Robinson Over 84.5 Scrimmage Yards

Prop Bet #2: Jordan Love Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

FanDuel

4.6/5

Tip: Love Over 1.5 Passing TDs

• Two TDs vs Jets
• Atlanta Turnover Problems
• Lambeau Home Opener

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Love didn’t produce huge yardage against New York, but he threw two touchdowns and helped Green Bay erase a 10-point fourth-quarter deficit.

Atlanta’s offense has also created short fields for opponents through turnovers, which could give Love additional red-zone possessions.

Projected Bet: Jordan Love Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

Prop Bet #3: Christian Watson Over 49.5 Receiving Yards

Caesars

4.4/5

Tip: Watson Over 49.5 Receiving Yards

• Touchdown Week 2
• Green Bay Deep Threat
• Favorable Home Matchup

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Watson caught four passes for 41 yards against the Jets and scored Green Bay’s crucial fourth-quarter touchdown.

He remains one of Love’s best vertical and red-zone weapons, and Atlanta may struggle to keep the Packers from attacking downfield if Green Bay’s running game establishes favorable play-action situations.

Projected Bet: Christian Watson Over 49.5 Receiving Yards

Prop Bet #4: Under 43.5 Points

BetMGM

4.5/5

Tip: Under 43.5 Points

• Atlanta Averaging 8 Points
• QB Uncertainty
• Green Bay Coming Off 20-17 Game

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Atlanta has scored only 16 points through two games, losing 20-13 to Pittsburgh and 34-3 to Carolina.

Green Bay’s first two games have produced very different results, but its offense managed only 20 points in overtime against New York.

Unless Atlanta receives an immediate offensive boost from Penix or Tagovailoa, the Falcons may struggle to contribute enough scoring to push this beyond 43.5.

Bet: Under 43.5 Points

Players to Watch

Jordan Love, QB, Packers: Threw two touchdowns in Green Bay’s overtime comeback against the Jets.

Christian Watson, WR, Packers: Scored the fourth-quarter touchdown that started Green Bay’s comeback.

Lukas Van Ness, DE, Packers: Had a major Week 2 performance, helping Green Bay’s defense shut down the Jets late with multiple impact plays and sacks.

Bijan Robinson, RB, Falcons: Atlanta’s most reliable offensive weapon with 254 scrimmage yards through two games.

Michael Penix Jr., QB, Falcons: His status bears watching because he could potentially make his 2026 debut Thursday.

Za’Darius Smith, DE, Falcons: Atlanta will need pressure on Love to prevent Green Bay from controlling the game at home.

Keys to the Game

Atlanta

The Falcons must stop giving the football away. Three of their first four possessions against Carolina ended with a turnover or turnover on downs, putting their defense in impossible situations.

Atlanta also needs to feature Robinson and avoid putting its quarterback into constant third-and-long situations.

Green Bay

Green Bay needs cleaner offensive-line play after losing multiple linemen to injuries against the Jets. Jayden Reed, Zach Bako-Bewele, Aaron Banks and Donovan Jennings all exited Sunday’s game with injuries.

If the Packers protect Love, Atlanta’s struggling offense may not be able to keep pace.

Betting Preview Show

NFL Week 3 Falcons vs Packers: Betting Preview and Prediction #falcons #packers

Betting Prediction

Green Bay has not played dominant football yet, but Atlanta’s offensive situation makes laying seven points considerably easier to justify.

The Falcons have scored only one offensive touchdown through two games and now must travel on a short week while sorting through multiple quarterback possibilities.

Green Bay’s home-field advantage, Love’s experience and Atlanta’s turnover problems provide the Packers with the stronger matchup.

The Verdict

Expect Atlanta to lean heavily on Robinson and attempt to keep the game low scoring.

Green Bay eventually creates separation behind Love and Watson, while the Packers’ defense forces Atlanta into another difficult passing situation.

Final Score Prediction: Green Bay Packers 27, Atlanta Falcons 13

Best Bet: Green Bay -7

Total Pick: Under 43.5

Moneyline: Green Bay

Top Player Prop: Bijan Robinson Over 84.5 Scrimmage Yards

Additional Props: Jordan Love Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns | Christian Watson Over 49.5 Receiving Yards