Seattle Seahawks at Kansas City Chiefs 2026 Preseason Preview: Prediction, Betting Odds & 4 Prop Bets

Friday, August 28, 2026

Time: 8:00 PM ET / 7:00 PM CT / 5:00 PM PT

Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

TV: KSHB 41 Kansas City / KING 5 Seattle / NFL+

Tickets: As low as $14

Betting Line: Kansas City Chiefs -1.5

Moneyline: Kansas City approximately -122 / Seattle +100

Over/Under: 36.5 Points

The Seattle Seahawks and Kansas City Chiefs close out their 2026 preseason schedules Friday night at Arrowhead Stadium in a matchup between two teams still looking for their first exhibition victory.

Kansas City is officially 0-2, losing 20-12 to the Los Angeles Rams before falling 16-15 at Tampa Bay. Seattle is also 0-2, dropping its opener 17-7 to Dallas before losing 19-16 at Tennessee. Every preseason game involving either team has finished with 35 or fewer combined points, which immediately makes the supplied 36.5-point total one of the most interesting betting angles Friday night.

The current FOX market matches the supplied betting information almost exactly, listing Kansas City -1.5, Chiefs -122 on the moneyline and an over/under of 36.5.

Seattle’s quarterback plan is also becoming clearer. Head coach Mike Macdonald has indicated that Drew Lock will start with Jalen Milroe rotating into the game, allowing Seattle to continue evaluating both quarterbacks behind defending Super Bowl-winning starter Sam Darnold.

Kansas City’s situation is different.

Patrick Mahomes has not played this preseason while continuing his recovery from the ACL and LCL injuries he suffered late last season. Andy Reid has used Justin Fields, rookie Garrett Nussmeier and Chris Oladokun instead. Mahomes’ status for the finale had not been formally announced as of Tuesday, but Reid said earlier that the percentages leaned against using him during the preseason because Kansas City wanted additional work for the quarterbacks behind him.

That sets up a preseason finale built around quarterback development, roster battles and players trying to make one final impression before roster cuts.

Top Four Prop Bets

Preseason player props are not consistently available at every sportsbook. Unless your sportsbook lists the exact number below, these should be considered projected betting targets based on expected roles, preseason production and roster circumstances.

Prop Bet #1: Drew Lock Over 99.5 Passing Yards

DraftKings

4.5/5

Tip: Lock Over 99.5 Passing Yards

• 103 Yards vs Tennessee
• Expected Starter
• Veteran Backup Experience

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Drew Lock enters Friday with perhaps the clearest quarterback role in the matchup.

Macdonald has indicated Lock will start while Seattle continues rotating Milroe behind him.

That alone makes a projected passing total around 100 yards attractive.

Lock also cleared that number against Tennessee.

He threw for 103 yards in the first half, including a 36-yard touchdown, while helping Seattle build an early lead before the Titans rallied in the second half.

Why the Over Is a Good Bet

Lock is not a developmental quarterback learning how to operate an NFL offense.

He has extensive starting experience.

That gives him a major advantage against reserve defenders during preseason games.

Seattle’s opener against Dallas also showed that Lock can immediately establish rhythm. He led a 13-play, 80-yard opening touchdown drive, finishing it with a five-yard touchdown pass to Montorie Foster Jr.

Against Tennessee, he followed that with another productive first half.

The pattern matters.

Seattle’s offense has been much more efficient with Lock than it has been once it shifts deeper into the quarterback rotation.

If Lock receives something close to two quarters Friday, 100 passing yards is reasonable.

Why the Under Could Hit

Milroe needs snaps.

Seattle invested a third-round pick in him in 2025 and still needs to determine exactly what kind of quarterback he can become.

Macdonald has used a rotating approach rather than simply giving Lock an entire first half followed by Milroe for the second.

That can reduce Lock’s total attempts.

Seattle could also emphasize the running game after Jacardia Wright’s breakout performance against Tennessee.

If Lock only throws 12-to-14 passes, the number becomes much tighter.

Still, his efficiency makes the over the preferred side.

Projected Bet: Drew Lock Over 99.5 Passing Yards

Prop Bet #2: Jacardia Wright Over 44.5 Rushing Yards

FanDuel

4.6/5

Tip: Wright Over 44.5 Rushing Yards

• 81 Yards vs Tennessee
• 69-Yard Touchdown
• Final Roster Audition

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Jacardia Wright produced one of Seattle’s biggest offensive plays of the entire preseason Sunday night.

The second-year running back rushed for 81 yards, including a 69-yard touchdown, in the 19-16 loss at Tennessee.

That performance creates an obvious question for the finale:

Can he do it again?

Why the Over Is a Good Bet

Seattle’s established running backs do not need excessive preseason work.

Wright does.

He is competing for a role.

That should create another meaningful workload.

The 69-yard touchdown against Tennessee demonstrated something particularly valuable in preseason football—he can create production without needing 20 carries.

One explosive run changes the entire prop.

Wright also has experience inside Seattle’s system, having spent time with the organization during its Super Bowl season.

He isn’t trying to learn the offense from scratch.

He is trying to convince the coaching staff he deserves meaningful regular-season opportunities.

Why the Under Could Hit

Seattle has other backs to evaluate.

The preseason finale is not about building one player’s statistical line.

It is about distributing enough snaps to make final roster decisions.

Kansas City’s defense also held Tampa Bay to only three first downs during the first half last Saturday and generated sacks from Jaden Hicks and Felix Anudike-Uzomah.

If the Chiefs control the line of scrimmage, Wright may have trouble finding the type of explosive lane he saw in Nashville.

But at 44.5, he does not need another 69-yard touchdown.

Projected Bet: Jacardia Wright Over 44.5 Rushing Yards

Prop Bet #3: Jalen Royals Over 29.5 Receiving Yards

Caesars

4.4/5

Tip: Royals Over 29.5 Receiving Yards

• Six Catches vs Tampa Bay
• 51 Receiving Yards
• Young WR Opportunity

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–

Jalen Royals was Kansas City’s most productive receiver against Tampa Bay.

The young wideout caught six passes for 51 yards, leading the Chiefs in both receptions and receiving yardage.

That makes a projected number around 30 yards appealing in the finale.

Why the Over Is a Good Bet

Kansas City already knows what its established receivers can do.

The preseason finale matters much more for players fighting for the final receiving spots.

Royals fits that description.

His six-catch performance against Tampa Bay demonstrated that he can handle volume rather than relying entirely on one explosive play.

That is important.

Three catches for 10 yards each clears this projected number.

Kansas City’s quarterback structure should also help.

Fields has NFL starting experience.

Nussmeier has shown enough accuracy to move the offense.

Oladokun knows Reid’s system.

Royals should have competent quarterback play regardless of which reserve is on the field.

Why the Under Could Hit

Kansas City has a crowded receiver competition.

Nikko Remigio remains heavily involved in the return competition.

Tyquan Thornton is another option.

Brashard Smith can contribute as both a runner and receiver.

Kansas City is also evaluating tight ends and other roster-bubble players.

That could reduce Royals’ targets.

His six-catch performance may also have already given Reid enough information to shorten his finale workload.

But 29.5 remains modest for a player coming off 51 yards.

Projected Bet: Jalen Royals Over 29.5 Receiving Yards

Prop Bet #4: Game Total Under 36.5 Points

BetMGM

4.5/5

Tip: Under 36.5 Points

• All Four Preseason Games Under 37
• Mahomes Likely Limited or Out
• Seattle Offensive Inconsistency

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The under is the strongest overall wager.

The statistics are difficult to ignore.

Seattle’s preseason scores:

Dallas 17, Seattle 7.

Tennessee 19, Seattle 16.

Kansas City’s scores:

Los Angeles Rams 20, Kansas City 12.

Tampa Bay 16, Kansas City 15.

That means the combined point totals have been:

24.

35.

32.

31.

Every game would have stayed under Friday’s 36.5.

Why the Under Is a Good Bet

Neither team needs its established starting quarterback.

Seattle has already been using Lock and Milroe while protecting Darnold.

Kansas City has yet to use Mahomes during the preseason while focusing on Fields, Nussmeier and Oladokun.

That immediately reduces offensive ceiling.

Kansas City’s offense has also repeatedly stalled in scoring territory.

Against Tampa Bay, the Chiefs generated enough yardage to reach field-goal range repeatedly but settled for three Harrison Butker field goals before halftime, including an incredible 69-yarder.

That is exactly the type of offensive profile that creates an under.

Move the football.

Take time off the clock.

Settle for three.

Seattle has experienced similar issues.

The Seahawks scored on their opening drive against Dallas and then never scored again, finishing with only 156 total yards.

They were better at Tennessee but still finished with only 16 points.

Why the Over Could Hit

Explosive plays are the threat.

Wright already produced a 69-yard rushing touchdown.

Lock threw a 36-yard scoring pass against Tennessee.

Kansas City has explosive athletes throughout the roster.

One long return or defensive touchdown could transform a 17-13 game into something much more dangerous.

Milroe’s athleticism is another wild card.

His Week 2 performance was poor—he threw two interceptions—but his scrambling ability can create offense when the designed play breaks down.

Still, the evidence strongly supports a low-scoring game.

Bet: Under 36.5 Points

The Matchup Context: Two 0-2 Teams With Very Different Priorities

Neither Seattle nor Kansas City cares very much about finishing 0-3.

Preseason records disappear the moment Week 1 begins.

The concern is how those losses happened.

Seattle’s offense has lacked consistency.

Kansas City has moved the football but repeatedly failed to turn drives into touchdowns.

That creates different objectives Friday.

Seattle needs better quarterback execution once Lock exits.

Kansas City needs to finish possessions.

Both coaching staffs also need final answers on roster spots.

That could make the fourth quarter far more important to the players on the field than the first quarter is to the stars watching from the sideline.

Sam Darnold Has Nothing to Prove

Darnold enters 2026 in a very different position than he did a few years ago.

He is now the quarterback of the defending Super Bowl champions.

Seattle’s training-camp coverage has emphasized his leadership and continuity within an offense that remains rooted in familiar West Coast concepts despite a coordinator change.

That means Seattle doesn’t need Darnold absorbing hits in Kansas City.

The meaningful preseason quarterback work belongs to Lock and Milroe.

If Seattle follows its current plan, Lock starts and Milroe rotates behind him.

That should keep Darnold out of the betting equation entirely.

Drew Lock Has Done His Job

Lock’s preseason has been better than Seattle’s record suggests.

He led the Seahawks on an 80-yard touchdown drive against Dallas.

He followed it with 103 passing yards and a touchdown against Tennessee.

That is what Seattle needs from a veteran backup.

Come into a preseason game.

Get everyone aligned.

Make the correct protection checks.

Get the ball out.

Produce points.

Lock isn’t trying to become Seattle’s starter.

He is proving that the offense can survive if Darnold misses time.

So far, he has done that.

Jalen Milroe Needs a Bounce-Back Game

Milroe’s Friday night matters considerably more.

His Week 1 performance offered encouraging moments.

Against Dallas he completed five of eight passes for 36 yards and rushed five times for 36 yards, showing exactly why Seattle remains intrigued by his athleticism.

Week 2 was different.

Milroe struggled after halftime and threw two interceptions as Tennessee erased Seattle’s early advantage.

That does not erase his developmental progress.

It simply gives him a clear goal against Kansas City.

Protect the football.

Take the easy completion.

Use the legs when necessary.

Do not force throws.

For a developmental quarterback, those decisions matter much more than the final score.

Jacardia Wright Has Created a Real Opportunity

Before Sunday, Wright was another player competing deep in Seattle’s running-back room.

Then came the 69-yard touchdown.

That is the type of play coaches remember.

His 81 rushing yards against Tennessee led Seattle and demonstrated the burst that made him a productive college back at Missouri State.

The finale gives Wright one final chance to prove the performance was not simply one giant running lane.

Can he create four-yard gains?

Can he pick up blitzes?

Can he catch?

Can he contribute on special teams?

Those questions determine roster spots.

Seattle’s Receiver Depth Has Become More Important

The Seahawks have dealt with multiple injuries in the receiver room during August.

That has created opportunities for players such as Montorie Foster Jr., who caught Seattle’s only touchdown against Dallas.

The situation became even more important after Jake Bobo suffered a serious knee injury during the joint-practice period with Tennessee.

Seattle therefore needs final answers at receiver.

Which player can function with Lock?

Who can help Milroe?

Who can contribute on special teams?

The Kansas City game will be the final live audition.

Seattle’s Safety Injuries Are Worth Watching

The Seahawks’ secondary also enters the finale short-handed.

Rookie Bud Clark suffered a broken ankle in Tennessee and is expected to miss significant time.

Rodney Thomas II underwent surgery for a fractured hand, although his recovery timeline is less severe.

Those injuries create opportunities for A.J. Finley, D’Anthony Bell, Maxen Hook and other defensive backs.

They also create a potential matchup advantage for Kansas City’s reserve quarterbacks.

Expect the Chiefs to test Seattle’s depth in the middle of the field.

Patrick Mahomes’ Situation Changes Kansas City’s Entire Preseason

Normally, Kansas City’s preseason includes at least a small amount of Mahomes.

2026 is different.

Mahomes is coming back from major knee surgery after tearing his ACL and LCL late last season.

Reid said before the preseason that the odds leaned toward not using him at all because the quarterbacks behind him needed the work.

Mahomes did not play against the Rams.

He did not play against Tampa Bay.

As of Tuesday, Reid had not publicly committed to giving him Friday-night snaps.

From a betting perspective, that matters.

A Chiefs offense led by Mahomes for a quarter is very different from one built entirely around Fields, Nussmeier and Oladokun.

Justin Fields Gives Kansas City an Experienced Backup

Kansas City acquired Fields during the offseason to strengthen the quarterback room behind Mahomes.

His first Chiefs preseason appearance was efficient.

Against the Rams he completed all four of his passes for 41 yards and rushed twice for nine more.

The sample size was small.

The operation was clean.

That is enough.

Fields doesn’t need to prove he can start NFL games.

He has already done that in Chicago, Pittsburgh and New York.

The Chiefs need him comfortable in Reid’s system.

Every preseason snap helps accomplish that.

Garrett Nussmeier Is One of Kansas City’s Most Interesting Projects

Nussmeier might be the quarterback most worth watching Friday.

Kansas City selected him with the 249th overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft after a productive LSU career that included a 4,052-yard, 29-touchdown season in 2024.

His first preseason appearance was encouraging.

13-of-19.

98 yards.

No interceptions.

Against Tampa Bay he completed 9 of 17 passes for 74 yards.

That gives Kansas City meaningful film.

Friday gives Reid one more opportunity to evaluate whether Nussmeier belongs on the active roster, practice squad or in a larger developmental role.

Chris Oladokun Is Fighting for His Place Too

Oladokun understands Kansas City’s system better than the other quarterbacks behind Mahomes.

That familiarity is valuable.

He has shown mobility during multiple preseasons and remains capable of creating yards when protection collapses.

But roster math is difficult.

Mahomes.

Fields.

Nussmeier.

Oladokun.

Carrying four quarterbacks is unusual.

Friday could therefore become one of the most important games of Oladokun’s Chiefs career.

Kansas City’s Biggest Offensive Issue Has Been Finishing Drives

The Tampa Bay game demonstrated this perfectly.

The Chiefs moved the football.

They controlled possession for more than 31 minutes.

They repeatedly crossed midfield.

But they scored only 15 points.

Three first-half drives ended with Butker field goals.

One came from 45 yards.

Another from 58.

Then Butker somehow connected from 69 yards before halftime.

That is impressive kicking.

It is not ideal offense.

Reid needs to see touchdowns.

Jalen Royals Is Making a Strong Case

Royals’ six-catch, 51-yard performance against Tampa Bay was one of Kansas City’s most encouraging offensive developments.

Young receivers often struggle with consistency.

They make one spectacular play and disappear.

Royals instead became a reliable chain-moving target.

That may be even more valuable.

Kansas City already has speed.

It already has established stars.

A receiver who can consistently separate, find open space and convert routine opportunities can earn a roster position quickly.

Friday is his final chance to strengthen that argument.

Brashard Smith Adds Another Explosive Option

Smith was Kansas City’s leading rusher against Tampa Bay.

He carried only six times but gained 37 yards, averaging 6.2 yards per attempt.

He is also part of Kansas City’s return competition.

Special teams coordinator Dave Toub recently made clear that the return job remains open, with Smith competing against Remigio, Thornton and potentially Xavier Worthy.

That makes Friday especially important.

One explosive return could decide a roster battle.

Harrison Butker Could Decide the Betting Result

No kicker should be ignored in a game with a 36.5-point total and 1.5-point spread.

Butker hit from:

45 yards.

58 yards.

69 yards.

A 69-yard preseason field goal sounds almost ridiculous.

But it demonstrates Kansas City’s scoring range.

Seattle may stop a drive near midfield and still surrender three points.

In a projected one-score game, that matters.

Players to Watch

Drew Lock, QB, Seahawks: Lock threw for 103 yards and a touchdown against Tennessee after leading an 80-yard touchdown drive against Dallas.

Jalen Milroe, QB, Seahawks: Milroe needs a cleaner performance after throwing two second-half interceptions in Tennessee. His rushing ability remains one of Seattle’s most intriguing developmental weapons.

Jacardia Wright, RB, Seahawks: Wright exploded for 81 rushing yards against Tennessee, including a 69-yard touchdown.

Montorie Foster Jr., WR, Seahawks: Foster caught Seattle’s lone touchdown against Dallas and continues fighting for a larger receiving role.

A.J. Finley, S, Seahawks: Seattle’s injuries at safety should create additional opportunities for Finley and the other reserves in Kansas City.

Justin Fields, QB, Chiefs: Fields completed all four passes in his Kansas City preseason debut and remains the veteran insurance policy behind Mahomes.

Garrett Nussmeier, QB, Chiefs: The seventh-round rookie has thrown for 172 yards across his first two preseason appearances and remains one of Kansas City’s most interesting developmental players.

Jalen Royals, WR, Chiefs: Royals led Kansas City with six catches for 51 yards against Tampa Bay.

Brashard Smith, RB/Returner, Chiefs: Smith rushed for 37 yards on six attempts last week and remains involved in Kansas City’s return competition.

Felix Anudike-Uzomah, DE, Chiefs: Anudike-Uzomah recorded a sack against Tampa Bay and has been one of Kansas City’s more encouraging young defensive players.

Keys to the Game

Seattle Seahawks

Seattle’s first priority is getting another efficient performance from Lock.

He does not need 250 yards.

He needs to establish rhythm and leave the offense in good shape for Milroe.

Second, Milroe must protect the football.

Two interceptions helped Tennessee erase Seattle’s advantage last week.

Third, Seattle needs to continue evaluating Wright.

His explosive Week 2 performance deserves more opportunities.

Fourth, the Seahawks’ reserve secondary must survive its injuries.

Kansas City’s quarterbacks will test those replacements.

Finally, Seattle needs to finish.

The Seahawks have led during both preseason games but failed to score enough once the deeper reserves entered.

That cannot happen again if they want to win Friday.

Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City’s first priority is converting drives into touchdowns.

Three field goals before halftime against Tampa Bay kept the game close enough for the Buccaneers to rally.

Second, Reid needs another long look at Nussmeier.

The rookie has shown promise but still needs live repetitions.

Third, Kansas City should continue involving Royals.

His Week 2 production deserves another opportunity.

Fourth, the Chiefs’ offensive-line depth must improve.

Kansas City has dealt with injuries and protection concerns throughout August, particularly at tackle.

Finally, the Chiefs must reduce penalties.

Reid specifically pointed to penalties in crucial situations after the Tampa Bay loss.

Betting Prediction

At Kansas City -1.5, the Chiefs are the preferred side.

Home field matters.

Quarterback depth matters.

And Kansas City’s ability to generate points through Butker changes the mathematics of a close game.

Seattle has the more established backup quarterback in Lock.

That is the biggest reason the Seahawks remain dangerous.

But once Lock exits, the matchup becomes more favorable to Kansas City.

Milroe is still developing.

He threw two interceptions against Tennessee.

Kansas City can counter with some combination of Fields, Nussmeier and Oladokun—three quarterbacks who have all received significant preseason repetitions.

The Chiefs have also played two competitive games.

They lost both.

But neither defeat came by more than eight points, and Tampa Bay needed a late rally to win by one.

The spread is small enough that a 20-16 Kansas City victory covers comfortably.

The total remains the strongest wager.

Neither team has participated in a game reaching 36 points this preseason.

Seattle has scored only 23 points total.

Kansas City has scored 27.

Both teams are still evaluating quarterbacks.

That combination points toward another low-scoring finale.

The Verdict

Prediction: Chiefs 20, Seahawks 16

Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -1.5

Moneyline: Kansas City Chiefs -122

Total Pick: Under 36.5

Seattle’s quarterback plan gives the Seahawks a chance to control the early portion of the game.

Lock has played well.

Wright gives Seattle an explosive rushing option.

The Seahawks’ defense remains well coached even as the depth chart becomes younger deeper into the game.

But Kansas City has several advantages.

Arrowhead Stadium.

More preseason quarterback depth.

Butker’s extraordinary range.

A defense that held Tampa Bay scoreless for the entire first half.

And young offensive players such as Royals and Smith who still have meaningful roster battles to win.

Expect Lock to help Seattle produce points early.

Expect Milroe to create several plays with his legs but remain inconsistent as a passer.

Expect Nussmeier and Kansas City’s reserve offense to move the football without necessarily finishing every possession with touchdowns.

And expect Butker to matter.

In a game projected to be decided by only a few points, Kansas City’s ability to score from beyond normal field-goal range becomes a genuine advantage.

The Chiefs should finish the preseason with their first victory.

But the stronger betting position remains the under.

Final Score Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs 20, Seattle Seahawks 16

Best Bet: Under 36.5

Against the Spread: Kansas City Chiefs -1.5

Top Player Prop: Jacardia Wright Over 44.5 Rushing Yards

Additional Props: Drew Lock Over 99.5 Passing Yards | Jalen Royals Over 29.5 Receiving Yards