Powered by:
as known from New York Timesas known from USA Todayas known from yahoo!
VA
Contains commercial content
The Grueling Truth - Where Legends Speak / Patriots vs Bills: The Keys to a Patriots win in a must-win situation

Patriots vs Bills: The Keys to a Patriots win in a must-win situation

Publish Date: 12/01/2022
Fact checked by: Mike Goodpaster

Keys to a Patriots win

The New England Patriots (6-5) will host the Buffalo Bills (8-3) for the first time in the 2022 NFL season, and it is set up to be a near must-win for both teams if they want to reach their respective goals.

For the Patriots, a loss would further damage their already dimming hopes for a second consecutive playoff appearance. And for the Bills, they are looking to build some momentum after a mid-season hiccup and continue to vie for the AFC East crown and the conference’s #1 seed. Check out the top football betting strategies for lining your pockets this week.

Both clubs have a lot at stake, so let’s dive into the keys to winning for the Patriots.

Check out the best odds for betting on the Patriots/Bills

Spread Moneyline Total
Bet Spread with Fanduel -198 ODDS From Fanduel Over 43.5 ODDS from betrivers
See Draftkings Odds +168 ODDS From draftkings See Odds from Caesars

Offense has to come through in crucial spots

 Last week, the Patriots offense finally put together multiple drives that ended in a touchdown for the first time since week seven against the Chicago Bears. It was the first time the offense put together multiple drives that culminated in at least 70 yards and a score since week six against the Cleveland Browns.

A big reason why the Patriots have struggled to move the ball down the field is their inability to convert on third down, sustain long scoring drives, and score in the red zone. Here are some alarming statistics for the Patriots offense:

 

  • 25th in third-down conversion percentage
  • 25th in average yards per drive
  • 28th in average plays per drive
  • 26th in per cent of all drives ending in a touchdown
  • 31st in red zone touchdown percentage

 

If the Patriots win on Thursday night, they will need to sustain long drives that end in touchdowns. Keeping Josh Allen and the high-octane Bills offense on the sidelines as much as possible will be key.

The defense has to prove its worth

 The defense’s performance against the Vikings brought back worrisome memories from last year’s defensive collapse. Before the bye week a year ago, the Patriots’ defense gave up an average of 15.4 points per game. That average nearly doubled to 30 points per game allowed in the five games after the bye. Check out our top football odds for betting on the Patriots/Bills!

As currently constituted, this team is incapable of keeping up point for point against Josh Allen and the Bills offense. The Patriots are 0-5 this season when giving up at least 20 points. That’s not a lot of points in today’s NFL, especially for Josh Allen, whose team has not punted in the last two matchups against the Patriots.

Allen is the third most blitzed quarterback in the league, yet he is the fourth-least pressured quarterback. He has the second most scrambles and the highest yards gained per scramble.

The Patriots defense will need to reverse those last three statistics to have a fighting chance. The defensive line has to get pressure early and often, and they must contain Allen in the pocket. Allen is a force of nature, but his hero ball tendencies lead to turnovers (he is tied for most INTs and tied for the second most fumbles lost).

Check out the top sportsbook bonuses for betting on the NFL

DraftKings
1.
Favicon
4.6/5
Bet $5 Get $150 Instantly
Virginia
Players from Virginia accepted
Requirements (WR): 1x Bonus, Min. Deposit: $5
Go to DraftKings
Get Bonus
T&Cs apply, 21+
FanDuel
2.
Favicon
4.6/5
Bet $5 Get $150 in Bonus Bets + 3 Months of NBA League Pass
Virginia
Players from Virginia accepted
Requirements (WR): 1x Deposit, Min. Deposit: $10
Go to FanDuel
Get Bonus
T&Cs apply, 21+
BetMGM
3.
Favicon
4.5/5
up to $1,500 back in Bonus Bets
Virginia
Players from Virginia accepted
Min. Deposit: $10
Go to BetMGM
Get Bonus
T&Cs apply, 21+
Bet365
4.
Favicon
4.5/5
$1000 in Bonus Bets
Virginia
Players from Virginia accepted
Min. Deposit: $10
Go to Bet365
Get Bonus
T&Cs apply, 21+
Place your first cash bet up to $1,000, and if the bet loses, you will have your wager refunded in Bonus Bets. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler 21+
BetRivers.com
5.
Favicon
4.5/5
Virginia
Players from Virginia accepted
Get Bonus
T&Cs apply, 21+

Fourth-quarter woes must end for the Pats

 The Patriots’ offense is 25th in the league in fourth-quarter scoring, averaging 4.5 points in the fourth quarter. That is more than a 50% drop off from last season’s average of 9.6 points scored in the fourth quarter. The Patriots are the only team in the league without a fourth-quarter passing touchdown this season.

Frankly, that is brutal. The Patriots can not afford to go 0 for four on drives like they did last week against the Vikings. If the game is tight in the fourth quarter, Josh Allen can make plays like he did last week in Detroit to win them the game. Are Mac Jones and this Patriots offense finally going to break through in the fourth quarter?

 

 

Read Also
1985 New England Patriots: A Wild ride to the Super Bowl
The Patriots were not always a dynasty, it may be hard to ...
The Greatest College Basketball Team of All Time
Rating the greatest college basketball teams ever has been done many times ...
BetMGM Promo
Come Fly with me: How the 1988-89 Chicago Bulls pushed forward to an NBA dynasty.
Find the best sportsbook to bet on the NBA Playoffs! Prologue: By ...
Esteban de Jesus, Roberto Duran y AIDS (1972-89)
Many of us dream of celebrity sports fame, but only cruel individuals ...
Grading every NFL team’s picks from the 2021 NFL Draft
Quickly, click away if you’re going to get upset by reading draft ...
Sam Teets 2021 NFL three-round predictive mock draft 6.0
This is a predictive NFL mock draft and my final of the ...
Predicting the next five Pro Football Hall of Fame classes
Induction into the Pro Football Hall of Fame in Canton, Ohio is ...
Ranking the top 200 players in the NFL ahead of the 2021 season
This list isn’t based solely on performances from the 2020 NFL season. ...
Top 100 NFL free agents entering the 2021 offseason
Below is a list of the top 100 free agents available this ...
Sportsbook of the month
PointsBet - Get your Bonus Bet now!
-
Latest News
Top-21 Shortstops in MLB History: Where does ARod rank?
Today we look at the greatest shortstops in ...
The Top 10 Puerto Rican Boxers of All time
Active boxers are not eligible for this list! ...
Devin Haney vs. Regis Prograis: Talking All That Jazz  
The back and forth between the fighters and ...
Our Latest YouTube Videos
Video: Indiana Basketball weekly W/Steve Risley: IU/Harvard Preview and UCONN and Louisville Recaps!
Indiana Basketball weekly W/Steve Risley: IU/Harvard Preview and UCONN and Louisville Recaps!
Video: Bearcats on the Prowl: Cincinnati vs Xavier Preview Show
Bearcats on the Prowl: Cincinnati vs Xavier Preview Show
Video: #NFC East Clash - #Eagles at #Cowboys
#NFC East Clash - #Eagles at #Cowboys
Betting Tips
12/09/2023 - 3:00 pm
Gillett Stadium
Tip:
Navy to Cover
3.00
FanDuel
12/07/2023 - 8:15 pm
Acrisure
Tip:
Patriots to Cover
6.00
FanDuel
12/05/2023 - 9:00 pm
Chrysler
Tip:
Indiana to Cover
7.50
FanDuel
Sportsbook of the month
PointsBet - Get your Bonus Bet now!
-
Top Betting Sites
Top Betting Bonuses
DraftKings
DraftKings
DraftKings Review
4.6/5
FanDuel
FanDuel
FanDuel Review
4.6/5
BetMGM
BetMGM
BetMGM Review
4.5/5
Bet365
Bet365
Bet365 Review
4.5/5
BetRivers.com
BetRivers.com
BetRivers.com Review
4.5/5
DraftKings
DraftKings Bonus
Bet $5 Get $150 Instantly
T&Cs apply
4.6/5
FanDuel
FanDuel Bonus
Bet $5 Get $150 in Bonus Bets
T&Cs apply
4.6/5
BetMGM
BetMGM Bonus
up to $1,500 back in Bonus Bets
T&Cs apply
4.5/5
Bet365
Bet365 Bonus
$1000 in Bonus Bets
T&Cs apply
4.5/5
Place your first cash bet up to $1,000, and if the bet loses, you will have your wager refunded in Bonus Bets. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler 21+
Caesars
Caesars Bonus
100% up to $1000
T&Cs apply
4.5/5
Our Team
Mike GoodpasterJosh SchwartzAuthor IconSimon BriffaMark Lewis
+10
Mike Goodpaster
Mike Goodpaster
Chief Editor
Josh Schwartz
Josh Schwartz
Editor
Author Icon
Christopher Carlson
Content Writer
Simon Briffa
Simon Briffa
Sports Editor
Mark Lewis
Mark Lewis
Editor
Samuel Teets
Samuel Teets
US Sports Veteran
John Raspanti
John Raspanti
Author
Chris Benedict
Chris Benedict
Editor
Author Icon
Daniel Kornhauser
Author
Author Icon
Malik Zorrok
Author
Author Icon
Buddy Gibbs
Author
Brian Coburn
Brian Coburn
Author
aukje
aukje
Author
Peter Bonahoom
Peter Bonahoom
Author
berina
berina
Author
Find out what the legends have to say about sports this week....

Players must be 21 years of age or older or reach the minimum age for gambling in their respective state and located in jurisdictions where online gambling is legal. Please play responsibly. Bet with your head, not over it. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, and wants help, call or visit: (a) the Council on Compulsive Gambling of New Jersey at 1-800-Gambler or www.800gambler.org; or (b) Gamblers Anonymous at 855-2-CALL-GA or www.gamblersanonymous.org.

This site is using Cloudflare and adheres to the Google Safe Browsing Program. We adapted Google's Privacy Guidelines to keep your data safe at all times.

21+NCPG
Move to Top
Close
Players accepted in the US US Flag
Stake.us Exclusive Bonus
$25 No Deposit + 250,000 Gold Coins + 5% Rakeback
Promo Code
Copy
Visit Site
T&Cs apply, 18+
Payment Methods
Bitcoin
Litecoin
Ethereum
Dogecoin
Highlights
  • Exclusive promo code: TGTSOCIAL
  • Play Plinko, Hilo, Crash and more!
  • Get Stake Cash bonuses every day!
Stake Originals
Dice
Crash
Plinko
Mines
×
Your Promo Code:
The bonus offer of was already opened in an additional window. If not, you can open it also by clicking the following link:
Visit Site